基于博弈論的我國發(fā)電企業(yè)競價(jià)策略研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-02 23:27
本文關(guān)鍵詞:基于博弈論的我國發(fā)電企業(yè)競價(jià)策略研究 出處:《哈爾濱理工大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 發(fā)電企業(yè) 競價(jià)策略 博弈論 暗標(biāo)拍賣 貝葉斯博弈模型
【摘要】:電力工業(yè)改革首先在發(fā)電領(lǐng)域引入競爭,目的在于提高電力生產(chǎn)效率,促進(jìn)電力工業(yè)的發(fā)展。發(fā)電企業(yè)成為獨(dú)立的經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)體,在發(fā)電側(cè)市場競爭中進(jìn)行策略性報(bào)價(jià),爭取獲得企業(yè)的最大化收益。因此,研究當(dāng)前電力市場環(huán)境下發(fā)電企業(yè)的最優(yōu)競價(jià)策略問題,是我國發(fā)電企業(yè)面臨的重要課題。發(fā)電企業(yè)的競價(jià)策略研究,具有重要的理論價(jià)值和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義,,有助于分析競價(jià)行為,能夠?yàn)槠髽I(yè)參與競價(jià)提供科學(xué)的理論指導(dǎo),使其有效參與市場競爭,在競爭中立于不敗之地。 本文首先介紹了電力市場的特征、結(jié)構(gòu)和運(yùn)行模式,從交易模式、交易類型、結(jié)算方式和競價(jià)模式方面,分析我國電力市場的運(yùn)行現(xiàn)狀,指出我國電力市場運(yùn)行中存在的問題,并對我國電力市場的發(fā)展趨勢進(jìn)行分析。通過對現(xiàn)有競價(jià)方法的比較,將博弈論作為本文研究我國發(fā)電企業(yè)競價(jià)策略的方法。分析競價(jià)上網(wǎng)規(guī)則,并對我國發(fā)電企業(yè)參與電力市場競價(jià)上網(wǎng)的過程進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)分析。由于電力市場是不完全信息下的寡頭壟斷競爭市場,且普遍采用密封報(bào)價(jià)拍賣方式,所以發(fā)電企業(yè)的競價(jià)是不完全信息靜態(tài)博弈。運(yùn)用博弈論中的暗標(biāo)拍賣原理構(gòu)建暗標(biāo)拍賣的貝葉斯博弈模型,通過求解貝葉斯納什均衡得出我國發(fā)電企業(yè)的最優(yōu)競價(jià)策略,并研究了我國發(fā)電企業(yè)在有約束條件下的最優(yōu)競價(jià)策略選擇;討論了我國發(fā)電企業(yè)如何在競價(jià)中進(jìn)行競爭與合作。最后,文章提出我國發(fā)電企業(yè)應(yīng)對競價(jià)上網(wǎng)的策略。
[Abstract]:The reform of electric power industry firstly introduces competition in the field of power generation in order to improve the efficiency of electric power production and promote the development of electric power industry. Power generation enterprises become independent economic entities. In order to maximize the profit of the power generation enterprises, the paper studies the optimal bidding strategy of power generation enterprises in the current electricity market environment. The research on bidding strategy of power generation enterprises has important theoretical value and practical significance, and it is helpful to analyze bidding behavior. It can provide scientific theoretical guidance for enterprises to participate in bidding, make them participate in market competition effectively and remain invincible in competition. This paper first introduces the characteristics, structure and operation mode of the electricity market, and analyzes the current situation of the electricity market in our country from the aspects of the transaction mode, the transaction type, the settlement mode and the bidding mode. This paper points out the problems existing in the operation of our country's electricity market, and analyzes the development trend of our country's electricity market. This paper takes the game theory as the method to study the bidding strategy of power generation enterprises in China and analyzes the bidding rules. The paper also makes a detailed analysis on the process of Chinese power generation enterprises participating in the bidding process of electricity market. Because the electricity market is an oligopoly competitive market with incomplete information, sealed bidding auction is widely used. Therefore, the bidding of power generation enterprises is incomplete information static game. Using the theory of hidden auction in game theory, the Bayesian game model of hidden auction is constructed. By solving Bayesian Nash equilibrium, the optimal bidding strategies of Chinese power generation enterprises are obtained, and the optimal bidding strategies of Chinese power generation enterprises under constrained conditions are studied. This paper discusses how Chinese power generation enterprises compete and cooperate in bidding. Finally, the paper puts forward some strategies for Chinese power generation enterprises to deal with bidding.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:哈爾濱理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F426.61;F224.32
【引證文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條
1 任利成;劉瓊;;基于最優(yōu)反應(yīng)動(dòng)態(tài)機(jī)制下發(fā)電企業(yè)競價(jià)策略研究[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)師;2015年07期
相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條
1 李曉彤;跨區(qū)電力交易均衡優(yōu)化模型及輸電價(jià)格機(jī)制研究[D];華北電力大學(xué);2015年
相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條
1 劉瓊;基于不完全信息博弈下發(fā)電企業(yè)競價(jià)策略研究[D];太原科技大學(xué);2015年
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