資本監(jiān)管對(duì)中國(guó)上市商業(yè)銀行信貸結(jié)構(gòu)的影響研究
[Abstract]:As the intermediaries of financial intermediation, commercial banks play an important basic role in the national economy, which is related to the vital interests of the people. With the financial innovation and financial innovation of various countries, the establishment of the global financial system makes the supervision of the banking industry imminent in the.1974 National Bank of Franklin and Germany. At the beginning of the international financial innovation and development, state bank collapsed, which revealed that in the wave of economic globalization, commercial banks faced great potential risks. Under the call of the times, the Basel committee came into being for.1988 years, which introduced the international agreement of the unified capital measurement and capital standard, that is, the Basel agreement I. This definition, the minimum capital requirement and the risk weighting coefficient for the first time put forward a unified international bank capital regulation standard, created a good external environment, and promoted the steady development of the global banking industry. But the risk definition of the "Basel agreement I>" is narrower, not covering all types of risks faced by the bank, while the capital is delimit. It is not clear that the definition of capital is too broad to affect the quality of capital. Based on the defects of the Basel agreement I, the Basel Association introduced the international agreement on the unified capital measurement and capital standards in 2004: the revised framework > < Basel agreement II >, forming the minimum capital requirements of the bank, supervision and inspection of the regulatory authorities and market constraints. The capital supervision framework based on the three pillars has made a breakthrough in the scope of risk coverage and the method of calculation. However, there is still a high complexity of the model and difficult to use, the narrow and cyclical risk coverage of capital, the lack of supervision over the outside of the watch business and the "shadow banking" system, the outbreak of the.2008 financial crisis. The abuses and shortcomings of the "Basel II" were revealed. On the basis of extensive discussion, the Basel association formally issued the "Basel Agreement III" on the basis of extensive discussion in 2010. It mainly strengthened the supervision of global financial risks from two aspects of micro prudence and macro prudence. The capital framework was improved in the microcosmic aspect, the coverage of risk was expanded, and the minimum capital needed to be made. On the basis of the demand, the leverage index and liquidity regulatory index are introduced, the capital reserve buffer, the reverse cycle capital buffer and the additional capital requirements for the system importance banks are set in the macro aspect. < Basel III > is an effective supplement and improvement to the Basel agreement II, and is the progress of the global financial system regulation. The China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) has issued a series of guidance documents and has made some amendments to the actual situation of China's banking industry, which has more pertinence, flexibility and maneuverability. In 2004, the management method of capital adequacy ratio of commercial banks was introduced. This article, which is called the old "method", and the capital management method of Commercial Bank (Trial) issued in 2012, has an important influence on the commercial banks of our country, one of which is the impact on the credit structure of commercial banks. The supervision of the regulatory agency will change the business of bank credit at the same time. The risk preference of the industrial bank encourages it to adjust the credit structure. The credit structure of the commercial bank determines the flow of funds, not only related to the bank's profit and risk level, but also to the financing and development of individuals and enterprises. The paper tries to study the relationship between capital supervision and credit structure through the horizontal comparison of the bank classification and the longitudinal comparison of the regulatory period classification. First, this paper makes a general review of the two aspects of the impact of capital regulation on the supply of bank credit and the credit structure: the capital supervision and commercial banks. In terms of the relationship of credit supply, most of the foreign scholars' research conclusions are that capital supervision has a certain inhibitory effect on the credit supply behavior of commercial banks, and studies the influence degree of the credit contraction transmission mechanism of commercial banks and capital supervision on the supply of different bank credit from the capital supervision, and the domestic scholars study the research. The conclusion is divided into two kinds of non significant correlation and significant correlation, and the influence degree of different banks and different periods is studied from capital supervision. In the relation of capital supervision and commercial bank credit structure, both domestic and foreign scholars' research are obviously divided into two schools, one believes that capital supervision will lead commercial banks to increase credit assets. The higher risk assets will increase enterprise loans, credit loans, medium and long term loans, while the other holds the opposite view. On the basis of the study of predecessors and scholars, this paper studies the influence of capital supervision on the credit structure of Chinese listed commercial banks through the combination of theoretical model and empirical analysis. This paper demonstrates the relationship between capital supervision and credit structure of commercial banks through three models: (1) use the mean variance model to study the optimal asset allocation point of commercial banks under capital supervision and compare the differences in asset allocation schemes of commercial banks with different capital levels. (2) from the angle of the profit function, the capital of commercial banks is used. The balance sheet is used to find the optimal profit equation of the commercial banks under the cost income measure, and to find out the relationship between the capital level and the credit behavior. (3) a simple linear programming model is established to find the best allocation scheme in the feasible region of high risk credit assets and low risk credit assets and to compare the actual capital adequacy ratio. In the case of empirical research, the idea of this article is to compare whether the strict regulation of capital affects the credit structure of commercial banks from the old "method > to the new method >". This article selects the six months degree of the 15 listed commercial banks in China from 2009 to June 2015, including the ICBC (GS), and China's construction Silver JS, ZG, NY, ZS, JT, PF, MS, XY, Ningbo Bank (NB), CITIC Bank (ZX), the Bank of China (GD), the Bank of Beijing (BJ), the Bank of China, and Ping An Bank (because the Bank of Nanjing can obtain limited data, so it is not included), A total of 195 (13*15) data. The explanatory variables in this article are the credit structure (LS), mainly including the proportion of personal loans to total loans (IL), the proportion of corporate loans to total loans (CL), the proportion of individual housing mortgages to individual loans (IHL), the proportion of credit to total loans (XL). The capital level of commercial banks is mainly through the four categories. Standard measurement: (1) capital adequacy ratio (ZC); (2) core capital adequacy ratio (HZC); (3) the virtual variable (ZC_1, ZC_2, ZC_3) obtained by 0,2% and 4% as threshold value of excess capital adequacy ratio; (4) virtual variables (SWC, WC, UC) based on the mean and variance of distribution functions (SWC, WC, UC). In addition, this article will affect Silver Bank internal variables and macroeconomic variables as control variables, including bank scale (AR), asset return (ROA), deposit ratio (LD), net interest income ratio (NIL), shareholder equity ratio (EA), bad loan ratio (DL), reserve coverage (BB), GDP growth rate (GG) and inflation rate (CPIG). This paper considers the credit knot of commercial banks. The structure is mainly influenced by the capital level of the last phase and the internal structure of the bank and the macro economy in the last phase. On this basis, a static panel model is established to carry out regression analysis to measure and compare the positive results from multiple angles. (1) starting from the whole body of the listed commercial bank, the study is in the supervision of the old "method >" and "new method >". From the time effect, the credit structure of commercial banks in China is becoming more and more stable and reasonable. The proportion of personal loans to 15 listed commercial banks is increasing year by year, the proportion of the company's loan is declining year by year, and the proportion of credit loan is slightly rebounded; from the regression analysis, the capital supervision is repeatedly demonstrated through four models. The relationship between management and credit structure, under the old method, the level of capital adequacy ratio is negatively related to the proportion of personal loans in commercial banks, corporate loans are positively related, credit loans are positively related, and personal housing mortgage loans are negatively related. Under the new method, the first three types of relations remain unchanged, but the fourth types of relations change from negative correlation to positive correlation. This is mainly influenced by the risk weighting coefficient of the individual housing mortgage loan by the regulatory authorities. (2) the influence of capital regulation on the credit structure of the listed commercial banks is classified according to the ownership form. The capital regulation has the same influence on the two types of bank credit structure, but the level of capital adequacy ratio is on the credit of the joint-stock commercial banks. The effect of the structure is more significant. The effect of the credit structure of the commercial banks through regulation and regulation by the regulatory agency is more obvious to the joint-stock commercial banks. (3) the influence of the capital supervision of the listed commercial banks on the credit structure is classified according to the degree of capital adequacy. This article is based on the weight of the total assets of the commercial banks listed from 2009 to 2015. The weighted average excess capital adequacy ratio is divided into 15 commercial banks as capital adequacy and capital restriction commercial banks. Through regression analysis, the influence of capital regulation on the two types of bank credit structure is roughly the same, but the credit structure of capital restricted commercial banks is more significantly influenced by the level of capital adequacy. The bank will constantly adjust the credit structure according to its own capital level, the lower the capital level (high), the larger the capital limit (small) the commercial bank is more inclined to issue low (high) risk and less capital consumption (more) loan. Finally, on the basis of theoretical deduction and empirical analysis, this article from the two aspects of the regulatory and commercial banks put forward the government. Suggestions. In the aspects of supervision department: (1) adhere to the capital supervision as the core, implement differential supervision and establish a sound risk supervision system; (2) the regulatory departments have their respective responsibilities, reduce the transfer of interests and responsibility, and strengthen exchanges and communication with commercial banks, establish corresponding incentive policies and punishment means; (3) develop our country. The stock market provides a variety of financing tools, cultivates the emerging creditor's right market, actively expands the financing channels, while alleviating the financing difficulties of the small and medium-sized enterprises, increasing the bank capital supplement way and improving the economic efficiency of our country. In the commercial bank, (1) establish a long-term and stable multi-party capital supplementary mechanism and regularly pass the pressure test. Check the necessary supplementary amount of capital to avoid the sudden events to make the commercial banks face greater capital risks; (2) promote the adjustment of the credit structure and develop the capital saving mode of business; (3) strengthen the risk prevention and control, improve the level of risk fine management, and closely monitor the loan funds, so as to ensure the capital flow to the real economy rather than the financial investment. On the basis of the research achievements of predecessors, this paper attempts to explore the relationship between capital supervision and the credit structure of Chinese listed commercial banks. The purpose is to optimize and adjust the credit structure of commercial banks in China by means of capital supervision and regulation. There must be a lot of problems and shortcomings in this article. I will continue to explore and work in the future, make positive progress, and strive to improve the academic and practical ability of my own.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2016
【分類號(hào)】:F832.4
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