山西省金融發(fā)展對(duì)碳排放的影響研究
本文選題:金融發(fā)展 切入點(diǎn):碳排放 出處:《山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類(lèi)型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:近年來(lái),全球變暖問(wèn)題日益突出,其中碳減排是緩解全球變暖問(wèn)題的重要途徑。各國(guó)對(duì)此問(wèn)題達(dá)成共識(shí),通力合作,并且不斷致力于節(jié)能減排工作,為全球性面臨的氣候問(wèn)題作出貢獻(xiàn)。我國(guó)更是高度重視并且積極采取應(yīng)對(duì)措施,大力倡導(dǎo)節(jié)能減排,將其落到實(shí)處;主動(dòng)締約《聯(lián)合國(guó)氣候變化框架公約》和《京都議定書(shū)》,努力推動(dòng)碳減排的實(shí)施,在哥本哈根氣候變化會(huì)議上,中國(guó)號(hào)召各國(guó)攜手遏制氣候變暖的趨勢(shì)。作為碳排放量大省,山西省碳減排的任務(wù)艱巨。依托得天獨(dú)厚的的自然資源優(yōu)勢(shì),山西歷來(lái)將煤炭行業(yè)作為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè),向全國(guó)各地乃至國(guó)外輸出煤炭資源,對(duì)山西經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展起著舉足輕重的作用。但是,煤炭產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展也會(huì)帶來(lái)負(fù)外部性,造成環(huán)境污染、碳排放量的增加和資源耗竭等問(wèn)題。當(dāng)下山西面臨經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展困境,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級(jí)勢(shì)在必行,打破原有的煤炭產(chǎn)業(yè)作為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展支柱的格局,重視環(huán)境污染帶來(lái)的一系列負(fù)面影響,將節(jié)能減排等落到實(shí)處,努力破除發(fā)展瓶頸。金融產(chǎn)業(yè)為促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整提供強(qiáng)大的資金后盾,金融的發(fā)展一方面能夠促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的繁榮,保持市場(chǎng)和企業(yè)的活力,在某種程度上也會(huì)刺激碳排放量的增加。但另一方面也為研發(fā)碳減排技術(shù)提供資金,促進(jìn)科技進(jìn)步,減少碳排放流量的增加,所以理清金融發(fā)展和碳排放之間的關(guān)系極為必要,能夠?yàn)樯轿魇∽鞒鼋?jīng)濟(jì)決策提供依據(jù)。本文就山西金省融發(fā)展對(duì)碳排放的影響依次進(jìn)行理論和實(shí)證分析。第一,金融通過(guò)調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、推動(dòng)技術(shù)進(jìn)步、改變生產(chǎn)規(guī)模和消費(fèi)需求的路徑來(lái)影響二氧化碳的排放量。金融行業(yè)的發(fā)展為技術(shù)創(chuàng)新提供資金支持,改進(jìn)碳減排技術(shù),從而降低二氧化碳排放量,同時(shí)金融行業(yè)為產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)提供強(qiáng)大的動(dòng)力,降低第二產(chǎn)業(yè)的比重,進(jìn)而推動(dòng)碳減排的實(shí)現(xiàn),此外,金融發(fā)展刺激企業(yè)擴(kuò)大生產(chǎn)規(guī)模,消費(fèi)者增加消費(fèi)需求,導(dǎo)致對(duì)能耗產(chǎn)品需求的增加,增加二氧化碳排放。第二,實(shí)證方面,本文根據(jù)山西省1996-2016年的數(shù)據(jù),創(chuàng)新性地將金融相關(guān)比率和金融效率作為綜合衡量金融發(fā)展的指標(biāo),通過(guò)時(shí)間序列計(jì)量模型考察了山西省金融發(fā)展對(duì)碳排放的影響,并且運(yùn)用狀態(tài)空間模型評(píng)價(jià)碳排放對(duì)各種影響因素的敏感程度,結(jié)論表明碳排放量與金融相關(guān)率呈反向相關(guān)的關(guān)系,與金融效率呈正向相關(guān)關(guān)系。據(jù)此,本文提出了減少碳排放的相關(guān)建議,為山西省政府作出相關(guān)的政策提供依據(jù)和建議。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the problem of global warming has become increasingly prominent, among which carbon abatement is an important way to alleviate global warming. To contribute to the global climate problem. China attaches great importance to and actively take measures to promote energy conservation and emission reduction, put it into practice; Taking the initiative to conclude the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate change and the Kyoto Protocol, and to work hard to promote the implementation of carbon abatement. At the Copenhagen Climate change Conference, China called on countries to work together to curb the trend of climate change. The task of reducing carbon emissions in Shanxi Province is arduous. Relying on its unique natural resource advantages, Shanxi has always regarded the coal industry as a pillar industry for economic development, exporting coal resources to all parts of the country and even abroad. However, the development of the coal industry will also bring negative externalities, resulting in environmental pollution, increasing carbon emissions and resource depletion. It is imperative to optimize and upgrade the industrial structure, break the original pattern of coal industry as the pillar of economic development, attach importance to a series of negative effects brought by environmental pollution, and implement energy saving and emission reduction. Financial industry provides strong financial backing for promoting industrial restructuring. On the one hand, financial development can promote economic prosperity and maintain the vitality of markets and enterprises. To some extent, it also stimulates the increase in carbon emissions. But on the other hand, it also provides funds for the development of carbon abatement technologies, promotes scientific and technological progress, and reduces the increase in carbon emissions, so it is extremely necessary to clarify the relationship between financial development and carbon emissions. This paper makes a theoretical and empirical analysis on the impact of Shanxi's Jinrong development on carbon emissions. First, finance promotes technological progress by adjusting the industrial structure. The development of the financial industry has provided financial support for technological innovation and improved carbon abatement technologies to reduce carbon dioxide emissions. At the same time, the financial industry provides a powerful impetus for the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure, reduces the proportion of the secondary industry, and then promotes the realization of carbon abatement. In addition, financial development stimulates enterprises to expand their production scale and consumers increase their consumption demand. As a result of increasing demand for energy consumption products and increasing carbon dioxide emissions. Secondly, according to the data of Shanxi Province from 1996 to 2016, this paper innovatively regards financial correlation ratio and financial efficiency as comprehensive indicators to measure financial development. The effects of financial development on carbon emissions in Shanxi Province were investigated by time series econometric model, and the sensitivity of carbon emissions to various influencing factors was evaluated by state space model. The conclusion shows that the carbon emissions are inversely correlated with the financial correlation rate and positively correlated with the financial efficiency. Accordingly, this paper puts forward the relevant suggestions for reducing carbon emissions, which provides the basis and suggestions for the Shanxi Provincial Government to make relevant policies.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:X22;F832.7;F127
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