農(nóng)業(yè)出口在埃及總出口中占很大的比重,2000至2009年期間，年均農(nóng)業(yè)出口產(chǎn)值達16億美元，而同期埃及出口總額為118億美元。 由于橘子是一項重要的埃及出口農(nóng)產(chǎn)品，所以了解橘子國際貿(mào)易模式與影響因素十分重要，這有助于設計并實行合理的國家與公司的政策與戰(zhàn)略以提高貿(mào)易水平，尤其是對推動埃及農(nóng)業(yè)出口大有裨益。 本文的意義在于開發(fā)分析埃及橘子出口競爭力分析的框架,并探索埃及橘子出口供給與進口需求的較為全面的模型。 本文有三個主要的成果。首先，解析了埃及橘子國際貿(mào)易模式的量與價值。其次，探討了埃及橘子出口的主要影響因素。最后，本文總結了最大化埃及橘子出口收益的理論框架及方法。 本文旨在分析埃及橘子出口。將闡述橘子在世界市場中的現(xiàn)狀，尤其是在埃及市場以及區(qū)域分布和市場份額。進一步論述埃及橘子的出口優(yōu)勢。本文還試圖找到最大化橘子出口價值的其他方法。 結果表明埃及的橘子產(chǎn)量在非洲占第一位。從貿(mào)易的角度說，埃及的橘子出口占非洲第三位。埃及橘子的主要輸入國是阿拉伯國家、歐洲以及APEC。在阿拉伯國家，沙特阿拉伯是主要的進口國，在歐洲為英國。在APEC為俄羅斯。 ... 

【文章頁數(shù)】：198 頁

【學位級別】：博士

【文章目錄】：
摘要
ABSTRACT
TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF TABLES
LIST OF FIGURES
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Overview
    1.2 Problem Statement
    1.3 Objectives and Significance of the Thesis
        1.3.1 Thesis Objectives
        1.3.2 Significance and Contribution of the Thesis
    1.4 Methodology
    1.5 Data Sources
    1.6 Thesis Structure
CHAPTER 2: THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK AND LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1 Introduction
    2.2 Theoretical Framework of the Competitiveness and Competitive Position Concepts
        2.2.1 Concept of Competitiveness
        2.2.2 Elements of Competitiveness
        2.2.3 Competitiveness Indicators
            2.2.3.1 Market Share Index
            2.2.3.2 Export Strength
            2.2.3.3 Market Penetration Index
            2.2.3.4 Export Dependence Index
            2.2.3.5 Export Stability
            2.2.3.6 Price Competitiveness
            2.2.3.7 Production Competitiveness
        2.2.4 Determinants of Competitive Position
            2.2.4.1 Relative Export Price
            2.2.4.2 Production Stability
            2.2.4.3 Export Efficiency
    2.3 Literature Review of the Previous Studies
        2.3.1 Review of Literature in Global Perspectives
        2.3.2 Review of Literature in Egypt Perspectives
CHAPTER 3: THE CURRENT SITUATION OF ORANGES ALL OVER THE WORLD
    3.1 Introduction
    3.2 Orange’s Global Area
        3.2.1 Orange’s Cultivated Area by Continents
        3.2.2 Orange’s Cultivated Area by World Countries
    3.3 Orange’s Global Production
        3.3.1 Orange’s Production by Continents
        3.3.2 Orange’s Production by World Countries
    3.4 Orange’s Global Exports
        3.4.1 Export Quantities of Orange by Continents
        3.4.2 Export Quantities of Orange by World Countries
        3.4.3 Export Values of Orange by Continents
        3.4.4 Export Values of Orange by World Countries
    3.5 Orange’s Global Imports
        3.5.1 Imported Quantity of Orange by Continents
        3.5.2 Imported Quantity of Orange by World Countries
        3.5.3 Imports Value of Orange by Continents
        3.5.4 Import Values of Orange by World Countries
    3.6 Egypt’s Orange Exports in the Global Market
        3.6.1 Development of Egypt’s Orange Exports Volume
        3.6.2 Development of Egypt’s Orange Exports Value
        3.6.3 The Geographical Distribution of Egypt’s Orange Exports
            3.6.3.1 Arab Countries
            3.6.3.2 EU Countries
            3.6.3.3 APEC Countries
            3.6.3.4 Other Countries
CHAPTER 4: COMPETITIVENESS AND COMPETITVE POSITION OF EGYPT’S ORANGE EXPORTS (EOE)
    4.1 Introduction
    4.2 Competitiveness and Competitive Position of Egypt’s Orange Exports in Saudi Arabia
        4.2.1 Competitiveness Indicators of Egypt’s Orange Exports in Saudi Arabia
            4.2.1.1 Price Competitiveness
            4.2.1.2 Production Competitiveness
            4.2.1.3 Market Penetration Index (MPI)
            4.2.1.4 Market Share Index (MSI)
                4.2.1.4.1 Export Market Share (in Volume Terms)
                4.2.1.4.2 Export Market Share (in Value Terms)
            4.2.1.5 Export Growth Rate
            4.2.1.6 Export Stability
            4.2.1.7 Export Strength
            4.2.1.8 Export Dependence Index
        4.2.2 Determinants of Competitive Position for Egypt’s Orange Exports at Saudi Arabia
            4.2.2.1 Describing Determinants of Competitive Position
                4.2.2.1.1 Relative Export Price Index
                4.2.2.1.2 Production Stability Index
                4.2.2.1.3 Export Efficiency Index
            4.2.2.2 Impact of Competitive Position’s on EOE at Saudi Arabia
                4.2.2.2.1 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis South Africa
                4.2.2.2.2 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Lebanon
                4.2.2.2.3 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Turkey
                4.2.2.2.4 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Syria
                4.2.2.2.5 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Morocco
                4.2.2.2.6 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Zimbabwe
    4.3 Competitiveness and Competitive Position of Egypt’s Orange Exports at UK
        4.3.1 Competitiveness Indicators of Egypt’s Orange Exports at UK
            4.3.1.1 Price competitiveness
            4.3.1.2 Production Competitiveness
            4.3.1.3 Market Penetration Index (MPI)
            4.3.1.4 Export Market Share Index
                4.3.1.4.1 Export Market Share (in Volume Terms)
                4.3.1.4.2 Export Market Share (in Value Terms)
            4.3.1.5 Export Growth Rate
            4.3.1.6 Export Stability
            4.3.1.7 Export Strength
            4.3.1.8 Export Dependence Index
        4.3.2 Determinants of Competitive Position for EOE at UK Market
            4.3.2.1 Describing Determinants of Competitive Position
                4.3.2.1.1 Relative Export Price Index
                4.3.2.1.2 Production Stability Index
                4.3.2.1.3 Export Efficiency index
            4.3.2.2 Impact of Competitive Position (CP) on EOE at UK Market
                4.3.2.2.1 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Morocco
                4.3.2.2.2 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis South Africa
                4.3.2.2.3 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Israel
                4.3.2.2.4 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Uruguay
                4.3.2.2.5 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Cyprus
                4.3.2.2.6 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Argentina
                4.3.2.2.7 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Spain
                4.3.2.2.8 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Brazil
    4.4 Competitiveness and Competitive Position of Egypt’s Orange Exports at Russia
        4.4.1 Competitiveness Indicators of Egypt’s Orange Exports at Russia
            4.4.1.1 Price Competitiveness
            4.4.1.2 Production Competitiveness
            4.4.1.3 Market Penetration Index (MPI)
            4.4.1.4 Export Market Share Index
                4.4.1.4.1 Export Market Share (in Volume Terms)
                4.4.1.4.2 Export Market Share (in Value Terms)
            4.4.1.5 Export Growth Rate
            4.4.1.6 Export Stability
            4.4.1.7 Export Strength
            4.4.1.8 Export Dependence Index
        4.4.2 Determinants of Competitive Position for EOE at Russian Market
            4.4.2.1 Describing Determinants of Competitive Position
                4.4.2.1.1 Relative Export Price Index
                4.4.2.1.2 Production Stability Index
                4.4.2.1.3 Export Efficiency index
            4.4.2.2 Impact of Competitive Position on EOE at Russian market
                4.4.2.2.1 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Greece
                4.4.2.2.2 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Turkey
                4.4.2.2.3 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Israel
                4.4.2.2.4 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Cyprus
                4.4.2.2.5 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis South Africa
                4.4.2.2.6 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Morocco
                4.4.2.2.7 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Spain
                4.4.2.2.8 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Uruguay
                4.4.2.2.9 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis Argentina
                4.4.2.2.10 Competitive Position of EOE Vis-à-Vis China
CHAPTER 5: DETERMINANTS OF DEMANDE FOR EGYPT’S ORANGE EXPORTS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET
    5.1 Introduction
    5.2 Determinants of Demand for Egyptian Orange in Saudi Arabia’s Market
        5.2.1 Economic Variables
        5.2.2 Results of Simple Regression Analysis
        5.2.3 Results of Multiple and Stepwise Regressions
            5.2.3.1 Linear Form Trials
                5.2.3.1.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.2.3.1.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
            5.2.3.2 Double Logarithmic Form Trials
                5.2.3.2.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.2.3.2.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
    5.3 Determinants of Demand for Egypt’s Orange in UK’s Market
        5.3.1 Economic Variables
        5.3.2 Result of Simple Regression Analysis
        5.3.3 Results of Multiple and Stepwise Regressions
            5.3.3.1 Linear Form Trials
                5.3.3.1.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.3.3.1.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
            5.3.3.2 Double Logarithmic Form Trials
                5.3.3.2.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.3.3.2.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
    5.4 Determinants of Demand for Egypt’s Orange in Russia’s Market
        5.4.1 Economic Variables
        5.4.2 Result of Simple Regression Analysis
        5.4.3 Results of Multiple and Stepwise Regressions
            5.4.3.1 Linear Form Trials
                5.4.3.1.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.4.3.1.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
            5.4.3.2 Double Logarithmic Form Trials
                5.4.3.2.1 Results of Multiple Regression Analysis
                5.4.3.2.2 Results of Stepwise Regression Analysis
CHAPTER 6: THE OPTIMAL PLANNING OF EGYPT’S ORANGE EXPORTS IN THE GLOBAL MARKET
    6.1 Introduction
    6.2 Theoretical and Analytical Framework of Linear Programming (LP) Model
        6.2.1 Assumptions of LP Model
        6.2.2 Elements of LP Model
    6.3 LP Models Used in Optimal Distribution of Egypt’s Orange Exports
        6.3.1 Objective Function
        6.3.2 Constraints
            6.3.2.1 Logical Constraint
            6.3.2.2 Alternative Constraints
                6.3.2.2.1 The First Model
                6.3.2.2.2 The Second Model
                6.3.2.2.3 The Third Model
                6.3.2.2.4 The Fourth Model
                6.3.2.2.5 The Fifth Model
    6.4 The Current Plan and the Optimal Alternative Plans of Egypt’s Orange Exports
        6.4.1 The Current Distribution of Egypt’s Orange Exports
        6.4.2 The Optimal Alternative Plans for Egypt’s Orange Exports
            6.4.2.1 The First Optimal Alternative Plan
            6.4.2.2 The Second Optimal Alternative Plan
            6.4.2.3 The Third Optimal Alternative Plan
            6.4.2.4 The Fourth Optimal Alternative Plan
            6.4.2.5 The Fifth Optimal Alternative Plan
    6.5 Sensitivity Analysis of Export Price in Optimal Alternative Plans
        6.5.1 Sensitivity Analysis for the First Alternative Plan
        6.5.2 Sensitivity Analysis for the Second Alternative Plan
        6.5.3 Sensitivity Analysis for the Third Alternative Plan
        6.5.4 Sensitivity Analysis for the Fourth Alternative Plan
        6.5.5 Sensitivity Analysis for the Fifth Alternative Plan
CHAPTER 7: CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    7.1 Introduction
    7.2 Development of the Study
    7.3 Conclusions
    7.4 Recommendations
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
ACKNOLEDGEMENTS



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