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資源型城市能源效率及其影響因素的實(shí)證研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-06-09 00:55

  本文選題:資源型城市 + 超效率SBM-Undesirable模型; 參考:《南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文


【摘要】:能源消耗與污染排放是資源型城市和地區(qū)可持續(xù)發(fā)展面臨的突出問(wèn)題。資源型城市能源利用方式大多是粗放型,能源利用的低效率不僅加劇了相對(duì)不足的能源供應(yīng)支撐經(jīng)濟(jì)高速發(fā)展的壓力,也不可避免地造成了生態(tài)環(huán)境的惡化。因此考察資源型城市能源效率及其影響因素,提出有針對(duì)性的對(duì)策建議,對(duì)于促進(jìn)資源型城市的可持續(xù)發(fā)展具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文首先基于2010-2012年的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),根據(jù)超效率SBM-Undesirable模型計(jì)算得出資源型城市能源效率值。本文同時(shí)考慮國(guó)民生產(chǎn)總值與環(huán)境污染作為產(chǎn)出并區(qū)分為合意產(chǎn)出與非合意產(chǎn)出,運(yùn)用超效率SBM-Undesirable模型得出的能源效率更加貼合現(xiàn)代社會(huì)發(fā)展實(shí)際。能源效率測(cè)度結(jié)果顯示2010-2012年?yáng)|北地區(qū)的能源效率值最高,東部地區(qū)其次,中部地區(qū)與西部地區(qū)均處于能源效率最低位。而基于超效率SBM-Undesirable模型計(jì)算得出資源型城市歷年節(jié)能潛力值,縱向比較發(fā)現(xiàn)61座資源型城市平均節(jié)能潛力呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì);以2012年數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行橫向比較發(fā)現(xiàn)61座資源型城市平均節(jié)能潛力為9.78%,東部地區(qū)平均節(jié)能潛力為15.48%,東北及中西部平均節(jié)能潛力則分別為-1.96%、10.78%和16.94%。其次本文運(yùn)用Tobit模型研究的能源效率影響因素主要有經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、所有制結(jié)構(gòu)、進(jìn)出口、直接利用外資和政府影響力。實(shí)證分析結(jié)果顯示經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平對(duì)于所有地區(qū)的能源效率的影響作用是積極的;產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、所有制結(jié)構(gòu)、進(jìn)出口比重對(duì)于全部資源型城市和東部、東北部和中部地區(qū)的能源效率的影響是反向的,而在西部的影響作用則是正向積極的;直接利用外商投資對(duì)于全部資源型城市和東部、東北部和中部地區(qū)的能源效率的影響是正向的積極影響,而對(duì)于西部地區(qū)資源型城市能源效率值的影響則是反向消極的;政府影響力影響作用為資源型城市財(cái)政支出比例上升,全部資源型城市、中部地區(qū)以及西部地區(qū)能源效率值上升。最后,主要從政府和企業(yè)兩個(gè)層面提出促進(jìn)資源型城市節(jié)能與能源效率提高方面的建議,進(jìn)而促進(jìn)資源型城市的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Energy consumption and pollution emission are the outstanding problems faced by the sustainable development of resource-based cities and regions. The energy utilization mode of resource-based cities is mostly extensive. The low efficiency of energy utilization not only intensifies the pressure of relatively insufficient energy supply to support the rapid development of economy, but also inevitably leads to the deterioration of ecological environment. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to investigate the energy efficiency and its influencing factors of resource-based cities and put forward targeted countermeasures and suggestions to promote the sustainable development of resource-based cities. Based on the data of 2010-2012, the energy efficiency of resource-based cities is calculated according to the SBM-Undesirable model. In this paper, the gross national product (GNP) and environmental pollution are considered as outputs, which are divided into desirable outputs and non-desirable outputs. The energy efficiency obtained by using the ultra-efficient SBM-Undesirable model is more suitable for the development of modern society. The results of energy efficiency measurement show that the energy efficiency in Northeast China is the highest in 2010-2012, followed by the eastern region, the central region and the western region are in the lowest level of energy efficiency. Based on the SBM-Undesirable model of super-efficiency, the energy saving potential of resource-based cities is calculated. The longitudinal comparison shows that the average energy-saving potential of 61 resource-based cities is decreasing. According to the data of 2012, the average energy saving potential of 61 resource-based cities is 9.78, that of the eastern region is 15.48, that of the northeast and the central and western regions is -1.966.78% and 16.94%, respectively. Secondly, Tobit model is used to study the influencing factors of energy efficiency, such as the level of economic development, industrial structure, ownership structure, import and export, direct utilization of foreign capital and government influence. The results of empirical analysis show that the level of economic development has a positive effect on the energy efficiency of all regions; the industrial structure, ownership structure, import and export proportion for all resource-based cities and the eastern part, The impact of energy efficiency in the northeast and central regions is reversed, while the impact in the west is positive; the direct use of foreign investment for all resource-based cities and the east, The effect of energy efficiency in the northeast and central regions is positive, while the impact on the energy efficiency of resource-based cities in the west is negative, and the effect of government influence is the increase of the proportion of fiscal expenditure in resource-based cities. All resource-based cities, the central region and the western region increased energy efficiency. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions on how to promote energy saving and energy efficiency improvement in resource-based cities from the two aspects of government and enterprise, so as to promote the sustainable development of resource-based cities.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F299.2;F206

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