本文關(guān)鍵詞： 金融發(fā)展 農(nóng)民收入增長 城鎮(zhèn)化　出處：《江西師范大學》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：近年來城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的絕對額逐漸拉大,城鎮(zhèn)居民收入的漲幅大大高于農(nóng)民收入的漲幅。增加農(nóng)民收入必須充分挖掘農(nóng)業(yè)內(nèi)部增收潛力,開發(fā)農(nóng)村二三產(chǎn)業(yè)增收空間,拓寬農(nóng)村外部增收渠道,加大政策助農(nóng)增收力度。此外中央一號文件連續(xù)12年聚焦“三農(nóng)”問題,顯示了黨中央和國務(wù)院對農(nóng)村、農(nóng)業(yè)和農(nóng)民問題持續(xù)而高度的重視。當前經(jīng)濟增速步入中高速增長,在經(jīng)濟新常態(tài)下,強化農(nóng)業(yè)基礎(chǔ)地位、促進農(nóng)民收入持續(xù)增長、縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差距,不僅是當前政府工作的重點,而且是學術(shù)界亟待解決的重大課題。因此,本文通過梳理農(nóng)民收入及金融發(fā)展相關(guān)理論,在前人理論研究基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的具體情況,對我國農(nóng)民收入水平變化過程以及農(nóng)民收入構(gòu)成變化進行分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)農(nóng)民工資性收入的增長對農(nóng)民收入增長的影響不斷提高,工資性收入占農(nóng)民純收入的比重呈遞增趨勢。隨后,本文分析了城鎮(zhèn)化進程中金融發(fā)展影響農(nóng)民收入機制,通過查找城鎮(zhèn)化進程中金融發(fā)展和農(nóng)民收入的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),運用向量自回歸模型對二者之間的關(guān)系進行檢驗,對實證結(jié)果進行分析,證明:金融發(fā)展規(guī)模、金融發(fā)展效率、城鎮(zhèn)化率、財政支農(nóng)力度與農(nóng)村居民家庭人均純收入這五個變量之間具有長期的均衡關(guān)系,其中,金融發(fā)展效率、城鎮(zhèn)化率和財政支農(nóng)力度與農(nóng)民家庭人均純收入之間正相關(guān);金融發(fā)展規(guī)模、金融發(fā)展效率、城鎮(zhèn)化率、財政支農(nóng)力度這四個時間序列變量與農(nóng)村居民家庭人均純收入之間都互為格蘭杰因果關(guān)系;城鎮(zhèn)化進程中金融發(fā)展規(guī)模和國家財政支農(nóng)力度對農(nóng)村居民家庭人均純收入的影響相似,前期影響主要是正的,但是隨著時間的推移,后期的影響卻是負的;城鎮(zhèn)化進程中金融發(fā)展效率和城鎮(zhèn)化率對農(nóng)村居民家庭人均純收入影響也相似,前期的影響是負的,但是隨著時間的推移,后期對農(nóng)民收入水平一直有著穩(wěn)定的正向影響;金融發(fā)展規(guī)模、金融發(fā)展效率、城鎮(zhèn)化率以及國家財政支農(nóng)力度這四個時間序列變量對農(nóng)村居民家庭人均純收入增長的貢獻率大致也是呈上升趨勢。此外,國家財政支農(nóng)力度的貢獻率最大,與金融發(fā)展規(guī)模相比,金融發(fā)展規(guī)模的貢獻率要相對較大。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the absolute amount of urban-rural income gap has gradually widened, and the increase of urban residents' income is much higher than that of farmers' income. We should develop the second and third industries in rural areas to increase income, widen the channels of external income increase in rural areas, and increase the intensity of policies to increase agricultural income. In addition, the first document of the Central Committee has focused on the issue of "agriculture, countryside and farmers" for 12 consecutive years. This shows that the CPC Central Committee and the State Council attach great importance to the rural, agricultural and peasant problems. The current economic growth rate has stepped into a medium and high speed. Under the new normal state of the economy, the basic position of agriculture has been strengthened. Promoting the sustainable growth of farmers' income and narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas is not only the focus of the current government work, but also an important subject to be solved urgently in academia. This article combs the farmer income and the financial development correlation theory, in the predecessor theory research foundation, unifies our country economic development concrete situation. Through the analysis of the change process of farmers' income level and the change of farmers' income composition, it is found that the increase of peasants' wage income has an increasing impact on the growth of farmers' income. The proportion of wage income to farmers' net income is increasing. Then, this paper analyzes the influence of financial development on farmers' income mechanism in the process of urbanization. By looking up the relevant data of financial development and farmers' income in the process of urbanization, using the vector autoregressive model to test the relationship between the two, the empirical results are analyzed to prove that: the scale of financial development. Financial development efficiency, urbanization rate, financial support for agriculture and rural households per capita net income of the five variables have a long-term equilibrium relationship, among which, financial development efficiency. The urbanization rate and financial support for agriculture are positively correlated with the per capita net income of peasant families; The scale of financial development, the efficiency of financial development, the rate of urbanization, the degree of financial support for agriculture, the four time series variables and the per capita net income of rural households are all Granger causality; In the process of urbanization, the scale of financial development and the national financial support for agriculture have a similar impact on the per capita net income of rural households. The early impact is mainly positive, but with the passage of time, the late impact is negative; In the process of urbanization, the impact of financial development efficiency and urbanization rate on the per capita net income of rural households is similar, the early impact is negative, but with the passage of time. In the later period, there has been a stable positive impact on farmers' income level. The scale of financial development, the efficiency of financial development, the urbanization rate and the state financial support for agriculture are four time series variables, which contribute to the increase of per capita net income of rural households. In addition, the contribution rate of the four time series variables is also on the rise. Compared with the scale of financial development, the contribution rate of financial development scale is relatively large.
【學位授予單位】：江西師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F299.21;F323.8

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相關(guān)碩士學位論文 前1條

1 黃黎平;農(nóng)民收入構(gòu)成及增長因素分析[D];西南大學;2006年

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本文編號：1443515