農(nóng)業(yè)資金投入促進(jìn)廣西農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的實(shí)證分析
本文選題:農(nóng)業(yè)信貸 + 財(cái)政支農(nóng)。 參考:《廣西師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們一直以來(lái)所關(guān)注和所研究的焦點(diǎn)課題之一,經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的源泉在不同的發(fā)展階段和不同的歷史時(shí)期給出了不一樣的解釋。農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的一個(gè)非常關(guān)鍵的因素就是資金的投入,資金的投入主要來(lái)源于政府和金融機(jī)構(gòu),財(cái)政資金的投入和金融信貸資金的投入是農(nóng)業(yè)資金的主要來(lái)源。 改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),雖然廣西農(nóng)業(yè)信貸總額增長(zhǎng)速度比較快,但是與全國(guó)水平的相比,廣西的農(nóng)業(yè)信貸投入仍然是不足的;與全國(guó)水平的財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對(duì)比,廣西的財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出比較低,不足以支持農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展;廣西農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長(zhǎng),但是增長(zhǎng)率不穩(wěn)定,廣西農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)與全國(guó)水平的農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)還存在一定差距,廣西農(nóng)業(yè)GDP占GDP比重比較大,廣西農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)中占據(jù)很重要的地位。 我們從絕對(duì)規(guī)模和相對(duì)規(guī)模兩個(gè)方面對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)資金促進(jìn)廣西農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了系統(tǒng)全面的描述性分析。 基于C-D生產(chǎn)函數(shù)模型,加入金融要素,構(gòu)建出能夠反映農(nóng)業(yè)信貸、財(cái)政支農(nóng)與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的模型,利用廣西14個(gè)地級(jí)市(其中來(lái)賓市并入柳州市,崇左市并入南寧市)2001年-2011年11年的面板數(shù)據(jù),在考慮了機(jī)械化程度、城鎮(zhèn)化和農(nóng)村固定資產(chǎn)投資的條件下,運(yùn)用面板數(shù)據(jù)的單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn),對(duì)廣西農(nóng)業(yè)信貸、財(cái)政支農(nóng)與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究。研究的結(jié)果表明,廣西農(nóng)業(yè)信貸、財(cái)政支農(nóng)與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)存在長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定的關(guān)系,并且農(nóng)業(yè)信貸、財(cái)政支農(nóng)對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)均有顯著的促進(jìn)作用,但農(nóng)業(yè)信貸的作用(產(chǎn)出彈性為0.224678)明顯大于財(cái)政支農(nóng)(產(chǎn)出彈性為0.118522)的作用。此外,農(nóng)村固定資產(chǎn)投資對(duì)廣西農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)也有顯著的影響(產(chǎn)出彈性為0.088076);而機(jī)械化程度和城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)廣西農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)沒(méi)有顯著影響,但城鎮(zhèn)化的產(chǎn)出彈性為0.098623,說(shuō)明城鎮(zhèn)化水平的提高在一定程度上有助于農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)。 為了促進(jìn)廣西農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)健康穩(wěn)定的發(fā)展,使農(nóng)業(yè)與其他產(chǎn)業(yè)保持協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,廣西在農(nóng)業(yè)投入方面,必需不斷加強(qiáng)農(nóng)村金融工具、金融產(chǎn)品和金融制度的創(chuàng)新;加大財(cái)政支農(nóng)的支出力度,保障財(cái)政支農(nóng)投入水平提高;促進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化水平的提高,不斷調(diào)整農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)趨向合理化;加大農(nóng)村固定資產(chǎn)投資對(duì)廣西農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的投入。
[Abstract]:Agricultural economic growth is one of the focal topics that economists have been paying close attention to and studying all the time. Economists have given different explanations to the headspring of agricultural economic growth in different stages of development and different historical periods. One of the key factors of agricultural economic growth is the input of funds, which mainly comes from the government and financial institutions. The input of financial funds and financial credit funds is the main source of agricultural funds. Since the reform and opening up, although the total amount of agricultural credit in Guangxi has increased relatively rapidly, compared with the national level, the investment in agricultural credit in Guangxi is still insufficient; compared with the national level of fiscal expenditure on supporting agriculture, Guangxi's fiscal expenditure on supporting agriculture is relatively low, which is not enough to support the development of the agricultural economy. Guangxi's agricultural economy continues to grow, but the growth rate is unstable, and there is still a certain gap between Guangxi's agricultural economy and the agricultural economy at the national level. Guangxi's agricultural GDP accounts for a large proportion of GDP, and Guangxi's agricultural economy plays an important role in economic growth. This paper makes a systematic and comprehensive descriptive analysis of the current situation of agricultural funds promoting the agricultural economic growth in Guangxi from the two aspects of absolute scale and relative scale. Based on C-D production function model and adding financial elements, a model which can reflect the relationship between agricultural credit, financial support for agriculture and agricultural economic growth is constructed, and 14 prefecture-level cities in Guangxi are used (among them, Laibin City is incorporated into Liuzhou City. The panel data of 11 years from 2001 to 2011 take into account the degree of mechanization, urbanization and rural fixed assets investment, and apply the unit root test and cointegration test of panel data to Guangxi agricultural credit. The relationship between financial support for agriculture and agricultural economic growth is studied empirically. The results show that there is a long-term and stable relationship between agricultural credit, financial support for agriculture and agricultural economic growth in Guangxi, and agricultural credit and financial support for agriculture play a significant role in promoting agricultural economic growth. But the function of agricultural credit (output elasticity is 0.224678) is larger than that of fiscal support agriculture (output elasticity is 0.118522). In addition, fixed asset investment in rural areas also has a significant impact on the agricultural economic growth in Guangxi (the output elasticity is 0.088076), while the degree of mechanization and urbanization has no significant impact on the agricultural economic growth in Guangxi. However, the output elasticity of urbanization is 0.098623, which indicates that the improvement of urbanization level is helpful to the growth of agricultural economy to some extent. In order to promote the sustainable, healthy and stable development of Guangxi's agricultural economy and maintain the coordinated development of agriculture and other industries, Guangxi must constantly strengthen the innovation of rural financial instruments, financial products and financial system in the aspect of agricultural input. To increase the expenditure of financial support to agriculture, to ensure the level of financial support for agriculture to improve; to promote the level of urbanization, constantly adjust the trend of agricultural industrial structure rationalization; to increase investment in rural fixed assets investment in Guangxi's agricultural economy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:廣西師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F832.43;F812.8;F323
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