我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的影響分析
本文選題:服務(wù)業(yè) + 服務(wù)貿(mào)易; 參考:《遼寧大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:隨著全球經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)不斷的調(diào)整,使得發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家將服務(wù)業(yè)作為未來(lái)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的中心。自改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)迅速發(fā)展,但勞動(dòng)力供過(guò)于求的問(wèn)題仍未解決,吸納就業(yè)的責(zé)任將更多的落在發(fā)展服務(wù)業(yè)身上。根據(jù)配第-克拉克定理,隨著一國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力的增長(zhǎng),國(guó)內(nèi)勞動(dòng)力逐漸向第三產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移,一國(guó)的服務(wù)貿(mào)易將促進(jìn)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展從而對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)就業(yè)產(chǎn)生影響。本文旨在分析我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的影響作用。 首先,服務(wù)貿(mào)易是包含于國(guó)際貿(mào)易之中,,文章通過(guò)對(duì)兩者的比對(duì)以及結(jié)合我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易的特點(diǎn),對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易與服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行理論研究。再根據(jù)歷年來(lái)我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易與服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)二者長(zhǎng)期處于的狀況進(jìn)行分析,得出我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易促進(jìn)服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)增長(zhǎng)還有很大的擴(kuò)展空間。 其次,文章的數(shù)據(jù)選取為1990-2011年我國(guó)服務(wù)進(jìn)出口額和服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)量,對(duì)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行處理后,對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)進(jìn)出口與服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,即在二者的長(zhǎng)期關(guān)系中,我國(guó)服務(wù)出口額每增長(zhǎng)1%,服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)人數(shù)就會(huì)提高0.2329%;我國(guó)服務(wù)進(jìn)口額每增長(zhǎng)1%,服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)人數(shù)就會(huì)提高0.1108%。同時(shí),文章還運(yùn)用格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)法,對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)進(jìn)出口和服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)進(jìn)行因果檢驗(yàn),并分析原因。 最后,文章提出了我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易發(fā)展提高服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的建議,即確保政府職能有效執(zhí)行,促進(jìn)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展;發(fā)揮我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)比較優(yōu)勢(shì),服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級(jí);提高從業(yè)人員素質(zhì),培養(yǎng)優(yōu)秀服務(wù)貿(mào)易人才。
[Abstract]:With the constant adjustment of the global economic structure, the developed countries regard the service industry as the center of future economic development. Since the reform and opening up, China's service industry has developed rapidly, but the problem of oversupply of labor force has not been solved, and the responsibility of absorbing employment will fall more on the development of service industry. According to the pairy-Clark theorem, with the growth of a country's economic strength, the domestic labor force is gradually transferred to the tertiary industry, and the service trade of a country will promote the development of the national economy and thus have an impact on domestic employment. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the influence of China's service trade on service employment. First of all, service trade is included in international trade. This paper makes a theoretical study on the relationship between service trade and employment in service industry by comparing the two and combining the characteristics of China's service trade. According to the relevant data of service trade and employment in service industry over the years, this paper analyzes the long-term situation of the two, and draws a conclusion that there is still great room for expansion of employment growth in service industry in China. Secondly, the data of this paper are selected as the import and export volume of service and the employment volume of service industry from 1990 to 2011. After processing the data, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between the import and export of services and employment in the service industry, that is, in the long-term relationship between the two. For every increase in service export value, the number of service employment will increase by 0.2329, and the employment of service industry will increase by 0.1108 for each increase in service import value of our country. At the same time, the Granger causality test is used to test the service import and export and service employment in China, and the reasons are analyzed. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions to improve the employment of service industry, that is, to ensure the effective implementation of government functions, to promote the development of service industry, to give full play to the comparative advantages of China's service industry, and to optimize and upgrade the structure of service industry. Improve the quality of practitioners, train outstanding service trade personnel.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F752.68;F719;F249.21
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