西安市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)互動發(fā)展研究
本文選題:生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè) 切入點:制造業(yè) 出處:《西安工程大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:工業(yè)化是一國的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與社會進步不可跨越的階段。制造業(yè)是工業(yè)化的產(chǎn)業(yè)支撐點,也是生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的前提及其產(chǎn)出的重要需求部門。隨著工業(yè)化進程的加快,制造業(yè)迅速發(fā)展,競爭力不斷提升,以制造企業(yè)為服務(wù)對象的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)得到了充足的需求來源。具有中間投入性、知識性等特征的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)是工業(yè)化發(fā)展的推進劑?梢钥闯,生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)相互聯(lián)系、相互作用,這種良性互動關(guān)系可以提升區(qū)域競爭力,有效的改善產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)。 基于上述背景及實際的需要,本研究主要立足于生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)互動發(fā)展,以西安市為研究對象,以《西安市統(tǒng)計年鑒》、《陜西省統(tǒng)計年鑒》數(shù)據(jù)為依托,選取1992-2011年時間序列,運用偏離——份額(SSM)分析、協(xié)整檢驗、格蘭杰(Granger)因果檢驗、灰色關(guān)聯(lián)等分析方法,以Eviews6.0軟件作為分析工具進行實證研究,并針對西安市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)和制造業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀及實證結(jié)論提出合理、有效的對策建議來推動西安市未來的產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展。 本研究的主要研究工作及創(chuàng)新點可以歸結(jié)為以下三個方面: (1)以西安市為研究對象,剖析生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)和制造業(yè)的互動關(guān)系,F(xiàn)有研究主要集中在北京、天津、上海、寧波等城市,而關(guān)中——天水規(guī)劃,西咸新區(qū)建設(shè),西安國際化大都市打造等目標(biāo)使得西安市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)互動發(fā)展迫在眉睫。本文不僅拓寬了研究的范圍,也進一步證實了生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)互動關(guān)系理論。 (2)對西安市產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進行偏離——份額(SSM)分析及現(xiàn)狀討論。結(jié)果表明:西安市“三、二、一”產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)基本合理,,但內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)仍需進一步完善。生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展相對滯后,制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)需進一步優(yōu)化。 (3)在實證研究方面,基于生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)整體及各行業(yè)與制造業(yè)的互動關(guān)系進行研究。A.協(xié)整關(guān)系結(jié)果表明:西安市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)存在著長期均衡。生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)增加值每增加1%,制造業(yè)增加值將增加0.57%。制造業(yè)增加值每增加1%,生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)增加值將增加1.75%。B.格蘭杰(Granger)因果關(guān)系結(jié)果表明:西安市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)互為單向因果關(guān)系,制造業(yè)對生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的作用更加明顯。C.灰色關(guān)聯(lián)結(jié)果表明:生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)各個行業(yè)與制造業(yè)的關(guān)聯(lián)關(guān)系排序為交通運輸及倉儲郵政業(yè)科學(xué)研究、技術(shù)服務(wù)和地質(zhì)勘探業(yè)租賃和商務(wù)服務(wù)業(yè)金融保險業(yè)信息傳輸、計算機服務(wù)和軟件業(yè),金融業(yè)、信息傳輸、計算機服務(wù)和軟件業(yè)等需要進一步加強。
[Abstract]:Industrialization is the economic development and social progress of a country can not be across the stage. The manufacturing industry is an important industry support for industrialization, and its output is the premise requirement of producer services development. With the accelerated process of industrialization, the rapid development of manufacturing, continuously improve the competitiveness of manufacturing enterprises, to serve the production the service industry has been sufficient sources of demand. With intermediate inputs, such as the characteristics of knowledge production service industry is the industrialization development of propellant. It can be seen that the productive service industry and manufacturing industry, mutual connection, interaction, this interaction relationship can enhance regional competitiveness, improve the industrial structure effectively.
Based on the above background and the actual needs, this study is mainly based on the interaction between producer services and manufacturing industry in Xi'an city as the research object, in "Xi'an City Statistical Yearbook > >, < statistical yearbook of Shaanxi Province Based on the data, select the 1992-2011 year time series, using the shift share analysis (SSM), Co Grainger (Granger) integration test, Granger causality test, grey correlation analysis method, taking Eviews6.0 software as the empirical research analysis tool, and the development status and empirical for Xi'an producer services and manufacturing the conclusion put forward reasonable, effective countermeasures and suggestions to promote the economic development of Xi'an city in the future.
The main research work and innovation point of this study can be summed up in the following three aspects:
(1) in Xi'an city as the research object, analyzes the interactive relationship between producer service industry and manufacturing industry. The existing research mainly concentrated in Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Ningbo and Guanzhong Tianshui City, planning and construction of Xi Xian new area, Xi'an international metropolis building goal makes the imminent interaction between producer service industry in Xi'an city with the development of the manufacturing industry. This paper not only broadens the scope of the study, further confirmed the theory of interaction between producer service industry and manufacturing industry.
(2) on the industrial structure of Xi'an city shift share (SSM) is discussed and the status quo analysis. The results show that Xi'an city "three, two" industrial structure is basically reasonable, but the internal structure still needs further improvement. The productive service industry development lags behind, the need to further optimize the industrial structure of manufacturing industry.
(3) in the empirical research, the relationship between.A. co interaction between producer services and manufacturing industry based on the industry and the results show that the productive service industry and manufacturing industry in Xi'an city there is a long-term equilibrium. The increase of producer services value increased 1%, manufacturing value added will increase 0.57%. the added value increased 1%, the increase of producer services will increase the value of 1.75%.B. Grainger (Granger) the causal relationship between the results show that the Xi'an City productive service industry and manufacturing industry are one-way causal relationship, the role of manufacturing of producer services is more obvious.C. grey correlation results show that producer services in various industries and the manufacturing industry Association ranking for scientific research transportation and warehousing postal services, finance and insurance, technical services and geological prospecting industry leasing and business services industry information transmission, computer services and software Industry, financial industry, information transmission, computer services and software industry need to be further strengthened.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西安工程大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F424;F719
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