本文選題：生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)　切入點(diǎn)：制造業(yè)　出處：《成都理工大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：在經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的大背景下,生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)已逐漸發(fā)展成為發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè),成為各國(guó)在經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展上的新增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn)。然而,與發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家相比,我國(guó)的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)在互動(dòng)發(fā)展中卻呈現(xiàn)出了“中國(guó)悖論”,即:我國(guó)的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展進(jìn)程遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)滯后于我國(guó)制造業(yè)的發(fā)展進(jìn)程,并且由于我國(guó)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的相對(duì)滯后,從很大程度上就制約了我國(guó)制造業(yè)的發(fā)展。“中國(guó)悖論”的存在,說(shuō)明了我國(guó)目前的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展程度不能充分、有效地支撐和滿足制造業(yè)企業(yè)的業(yè)務(wù)需求,這就導(dǎo)致了我國(guó)在進(jìn)一步提升制造業(yè)核心競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力上還存在著較大的阻力。在制造業(yè)產(chǎn)出比重降低的情況下,要實(shí)現(xiàn)“三去一降一補(bǔ)”的改革任務(wù),就要進(jìn)一步發(fā)展生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè),從整體上進(jìn)行“產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)軟化”。因此,本文結(jié)合我國(guó)的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀及我國(guó)的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展滯后于制造業(yè)所帶來(lái)的影響,通過(guò)收集整理2004年到2016年的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)增加值、制造業(yè)增加值、外商直接投資值作為變量,建立以Engle和Granger(1987)構(gòu)建的誤差修正模型(Error Correction,簡(jiǎn)稱ECM模型)為基礎(chǔ)的“三變量誤差修正——二階自回歸分布滯后”模型來(lái)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。在通過(guò)理論分析與實(shí)證分析相結(jié)合的方式進(jìn)行分析后,發(fā)現(xiàn)在兩個(gè)產(chǎn)業(yè)的短期互動(dòng)發(fā)展中,我國(guó)的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)之間的互動(dòng)、協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展關(guān)系比較弱,但是在長(zhǎng)期的互動(dòng)發(fā)展中,我國(guó)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)與制造業(yè)之間呈現(xiàn)出了一種相對(duì)穩(wěn)定的相互影響、相對(duì)協(xié)調(diào)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展?fàn)顟B(tài)。最后,結(jié)合本文的研究結(jié)論和其他先進(jìn)國(guó)家的經(jīng)驗(yàn)做法,提出了相應(yīng)的一些建議。
[Abstract]:Under the background of economic globalization, producer services have gradually developed into the leading industries in developed countries and become new growth points in economic development. However, compared with the developed countries, In the interactive development of producer service industry and manufacturing industry in China, however, there is a "Chinese paradox", that is, the development process of producer service industry in China lags far behind the development process of manufacturing industry in our country. And because of the relative lag in the development of producer services in China, the development of manufacturing industry in China is restricted to a great extent. The existence of "China Paradox" shows that the development of producer services in our country is not sufficient at present. Effectively support and meet the business needs of manufacturing enterprises, which leads to the further improvement of the core competitiveness of the manufacturing industry in China there is still a greater resistance. In order to realize the reform task of "three go, one cut and one supplement", it is necessary to further develop producer services and to "soften the industrial structure" as a whole. This paper combines the present situation of producer service industry and manufacturing industry in our country and the influence that the development of producer service industry lags behind that brought by manufacturing industry, through collecting and sorting out the added value of producer service industry from 2004 to 2016, manufacturing added value. The value of foreign direct investment as a variable, An error Correction Model (ECM Model) based on Engle and Granger 1987) is established for empirical analysis, which is based on three-variable error correction and second-order autoregressive distribution lag model. The empirical analysis is carried out through theoretical analysis and empirical analysis. After the analysis of the combined method, It is found that in the short-term interactive development of the two industries, the coordinated development relationship between producer services and manufacturing industry in China is weak, but in the long-term interactive development, There is a relatively stable interaction and coordinated development between producer services and manufacturing industry in China. Finally, combined with the conclusions of this paper and the experience of other advanced countries, Some suggestions are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：成都理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F719;F424

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本文編號(hào)：1571967