宏觀調(diào)控下房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的社會就業(yè)效應(yīng)研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-12-14 20:38
【摘要】：在經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化背景之下，國家之間的經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系越來越緊密。如何實(shí)現(xiàn)我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的穩(wěn)定增長與失業(yè)率的進(jìn)一步降低，這些都是政府在當(dāng)下與未來值得考慮的問題。這些問題的有效解決關(guān)系到我國經(jīng)濟(jì)與社會的穩(wěn)定發(fā)展。 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)作為國民經(jīng)濟(jì)中的重要產(chǎn)業(yè)，產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈長，關(guān)聯(lián)性強(qiáng)，如何促使其健康成長對于國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展與就業(yè)增長具有重要的意義，但是房地產(chǎn)業(yè)在這幾十年的發(fā)展之中跌宕起伏。在這種發(fā)展經(jīng)歷的背后是政府出臺的各種房地產(chǎn)宏觀調(diào)控政策。通過這些政策的調(diào)控，高漲的房價在短期內(nèi)得到了一定的控制，，但是這些政策是否會帶來其他的社會負(fù)面效應(yīng)，這個問題值得我們思考。 本文從房地產(chǎn)業(yè)社會就業(yè)效應(yīng)方面，分析了政府宏觀調(diào)控下房地產(chǎn)業(yè)引起的社會就業(yè)效應(yīng)的變化。首先收集了歷年房地產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值與就業(yè)人數(shù)的統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)，然后通過運(yùn)用就業(yè)產(chǎn)量彈性模型測算出了房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的直接就業(yè)效應(yīng)，其次以2010年、2007年、2005年、2002年四年的投入產(chǎn)出表為基礎(chǔ)，運(yùn)用投入產(chǎn)出模型，測算出了房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的間接就業(yè)效應(yīng)。同時，在宏觀調(diào)控下，進(jìn)行了房地產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)效應(yīng)的區(qū)域動態(tài)比較。這部分主要運(yùn)用了投入產(chǎn)出模型與2002年與2007年東、中、西部地區(qū)9個省或直轄市的投入產(chǎn)出表，測算出了各個省或直轄市的房地產(chǎn)業(yè)在這兩年的社會就業(yè)綜合效應(yīng)。最后，本文提出了解決當(dāng)前房地產(chǎn)過熱與就業(yè)難雙重問題的對策與建議。 本文的主要結(jié)論與觀點(diǎn)： 1、房地產(chǎn)業(yè)在不同階段、不同區(qū)域的就業(yè)效應(yīng)有了量化結(jié)果 從全國角度測算出，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的直接社會就業(yè)效應(yīng)為47.19%。在2002年-2010年，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)間接就業(yè)效應(yīng)在26.53%-39.63%之間，總就業(yè)效應(yīng)超過74%。從區(qū)域的角度測算，在2002年本文所選的東部三省房地產(chǎn)的就業(yè)效應(yīng)都超過了100%，中部地區(qū)的三省接近90%，西部地區(qū)相對比較少，在70%-80%之間。 2、宏觀調(diào)控對房地產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)效應(yīng)的影響程度有了明確結(jié)論并作出深入分析。 從2002年到2005年房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總就業(yè)效應(yīng)下降了7.09%，到2007年又下降了5.23%，這種變化的主要原因在于政府在2005年-2007年出臺的一系列房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展限制政策，目的在于解決2002年以來的房地產(chǎn)發(fā)展過熱問題；從2007年到2010年總就業(yè)效應(yīng)增加了1.86%，出現(xiàn)這種上升的主要原因在于，政府出臺的一些刺激房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的政策，目的是為了緩解全球經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī)的影響。從以上的分析中可以看出政府的宏觀調(diào)控對于房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的就業(yè)效應(yīng)具有較大的影響，但是這種影響同時表現(xiàn)出了一定的區(qū)域差異性，從本文測算的結(jié)果可以看出，在經(jīng)濟(jì)較發(fā)達(dá)的東部地區(qū)，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)政策對就業(yè)的影響較大，如在2002-2007年，北京地區(qū)，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的社會就業(yè)總效應(yīng)下降大約30%，上海地區(qū)，下降大約25%。而中部地區(qū)的三個省與西部地區(qū)的三個省，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的社會就業(yè)總效應(yīng)下降總體來看接近4%�？傊康禺a(chǎn)業(yè)宏觀調(diào)控政策對于社會就業(yè)效應(yīng)的影響體現(xiàn)出了區(qū)域差異，但這種影響主要集中于北、上、廣等一線城市，對于中西部經(jīng)濟(jì)欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)影響較小。
[Abstract]:In the context of economic globalization, the economic ties between countries are becoming more and more tight. How to realize the steady growth of our economy and the further reduction of the unemployment rate are the problems that the government is worth considering in the present and the future. The effective solution of these problems is the stable development of our country's economy and society. The real estate industry, as an important industry in the national economy, has long industrial chain and strong correlation, and how to promote the healthy growth of the real estate is of great significance to the development of the national economy and the growth of employment, but the real estate industry has fallen in the development of these decades V. Behind the development of this development is the government's various real estate macro-control policies The high rate of housing prices has been controlled in the short term through the regulation of these policies, but whether these policies will bring about other social negative effects is worth our consideration. The paper analyses the social employment effect of the real estate industry under the macro-control of the government from the aspects of the social employment effect of the real estate industry. The change of the real estate value and the employment of the real estate is first collected, then the direct employment effect of the real estate industry is calculated by using the elasticity model of the employment yield, and then the input-output table of the real estate industry is based on the input-output table of four years in 2010, 2007, 2005 and 2002. The model is calculated and the indirect relation of the real estate industry is calculated At the same time, under the macro-control, the regional movement of the real estate employment effect is carried out This part mainly uses the input-output model and the input-output table of 9 provinces or municipalities directly under the Central Government in the east, middle and western regions in 2002 and 2007, and calculates the social employment of the real estate of the provinces or municipalities directly under the Central Government in these two years Finally, this paper puts forward the countermeasures to solve the double problems of the current real estate's overheating and employment and suggestions. The main contents of this paper Conclusion and Viewpoints: 1. The employment of real estate in different stages and different areas The effect has been quantified, and the direct social employment of the real estate industry is calculated from the national perspective The effect was 47. 19%. In 2002-2010, the indirect employment effect of real estate was between 26. 53% and 39. 63%. The employment effect is more than 74%. From the angle of the region, the employment effect of the real estate in the eastern three provinces selected by this article in 2002 is more than 100%, the three provinces in the central region are close to 90%, the western region is relatively small, between 70 and 80%, the effect of macro-control on the employment effect of the real estate industry is From 2002 to 2005, the total employment effect of real estate decreased by 7. 09%, and by 5.23% in 2007, the main reason for this change is the series of real estate development restriction policies introduced by the government in 2005-2007, with the aim of solving the problem of 2002 The problem of real estate development since the year has increased by 1. 86% from 2007 to 2010. The main reason for this rise is that some of the government's policies to stimulate the development of the real estate industry are aimed at In order to mitigate the impact of the global economic crisis, it can be seen from the above analysis that the macro-control of the government has a great effect on the employment effect of the real estate industry, but this effect shows some regional differences. In the eastern part of the economy, the effect of real estate policy on employment is relatively large, as in the area of 2002-2007, the total effect of social employment of real estate in Beijing is about 30%. In the Shanghai area, it is about 25%, while the three provinces in the central region and the three provinces in the western region and the real estate industry are in social employment. In general, the effect of the macro-control of the real estate industry on the social employment effect shows the regional difference, but the effect mainly focuses on the first-line cities such as the north, the upper, the wide and the like.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.23;F249.2
本文編號：2379282
[Abstract]:In the context of economic globalization, the economic ties between countries are becoming more and more tight. How to realize the steady growth of our economy and the further reduction of the unemployment rate are the problems that the government is worth considering in the present and the future. The effective solution of these problems is the stable development of our country's economy and society. The real estate industry, as an important industry in the national economy, has long industrial chain and strong correlation, and how to promote the healthy growth of the real estate is of great significance to the development of the national economy and the growth of employment, but the real estate industry has fallen in the development of these decades V. Behind the development of this development is the government's various real estate macro-control policies The high rate of housing prices has been controlled in the short term through the regulation of these policies, but whether these policies will bring about other social negative effects is worth our consideration. The paper analyses the social employment effect of the real estate industry under the macro-control of the government from the aspects of the social employment effect of the real estate industry. The change of the real estate value and the employment of the real estate is first collected, then the direct employment effect of the real estate industry is calculated by using the elasticity model of the employment yield, and then the input-output table of the real estate industry is based on the input-output table of four years in 2010, 2007, 2005 and 2002. The model is calculated and the indirect relation of the real estate industry is calculated At the same time, under the macro-control, the regional movement of the real estate employment effect is carried out This part mainly uses the input-output model and the input-output table of 9 provinces or municipalities directly under the Central Government in the east, middle and western regions in 2002 and 2007, and calculates the social employment of the real estate of the provinces or municipalities directly under the Central Government in these two years Finally, this paper puts forward the countermeasures to solve the double problems of the current real estate's overheating and employment and suggestions. The main contents of this paper Conclusion and Viewpoints: 1. The employment of real estate in different stages and different areas The effect has been quantified, and the direct social employment of the real estate industry is calculated from the national perspective The effect was 47. 19%. In 2002-2010, the indirect employment effect of real estate was between 26. 53% and 39. 63%. The employment effect is more than 74%. From the angle of the region, the employment effect of the real estate in the eastern three provinces selected by this article in 2002 is more than 100%, the three provinces in the central region are close to 90%, the western region is relatively small, between 70 and 80%, the effect of macro-control on the employment effect of the real estate industry is From 2002 to 2005, the total employment effect of real estate decreased by 7. 09%, and by 5.23% in 2007, the main reason for this change is the series of real estate development restriction policies introduced by the government in 2005-2007, with the aim of solving the problem of 2002 The problem of real estate development since the year has increased by 1. 86% from 2007 to 2010. The main reason for this rise is that some of the government's policies to stimulate the development of the real estate industry are aimed at In order to mitigate the impact of the global economic crisis, it can be seen from the above analysis that the macro-control of the government has a great effect on the employment effect of the real estate industry, but this effect shows some regional differences. In the eastern part of the economy, the effect of real estate policy on employment is relatively large, as in the area of 2002-2007, the total effect of social employment of real estate in Beijing is about 30%. In the Shanghai area, it is about 25%, while the three provinces in the central region and the three provinces in the western region and the real estate industry are in social employment. In general, the effect of the macro-control of the real estate industry on the social employment effect shows the regional difference, but the effect mainly focuses on the first-line cities such as the north, the upper, the wide and the like.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.23;F249.2
【引證文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條
1 董磊;;論和諧社會下房地產(chǎn)業(yè)與房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)濟(jì)[J];現(xiàn)代商貿(mào)工業(yè);2015年23期
本文編號：2379282
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