【摘要】：為促進(jìn)分類(lèi)調(diào)控政策和土地供應(yīng)計(jì)劃的有效實(shí)施施,將房地產(chǎn)投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn)類(lèi)型分為需求風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、供給風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、供需風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和房?jī)r(jià)偏離風(fēng)險(xiǎn)四種類(lèi)型型,并依此構(gòu)建評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,采用K均值聚類(lèi)分析法對(duì)20個(gè)重點(diǎn)城市進(jìn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分類(lèi)。研究結(jié)果表明,由于城市的基本面不同,風(fēng)險(xiǎn)類(lèi)型也不同,采取的應(yīng)對(duì)措施應(yīng)有所差異。對(duì)于供給類(lèi)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)型城市型城市,政府應(yīng)通過(guò)控制土地供應(yīng)節(jié)奏、調(diào)整住房供應(yīng)結(jié)構(gòu)加以防范;對(duì)于需求類(lèi)和供需類(lèi)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)型城市型城市,政府應(yīng)采取優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、強(qiáng)化人口導(dǎo)入以促進(jìn)住房消費(fèi)需求;對(duì)于房?jī)r(jià)偏離風(fēng)險(xiǎn)型城市型城市,政府應(yīng)采取市場(chǎng)化的調(diào)控手段段,促進(jìn)房促進(jìn)房?jī)r(jià)回歸合理水平平。
[Abstract]:In order to promote the effective implementation of classified control policy and land supply plan, the risk types of real estate investment are divided into four types: demand risk, supply and demand risk and house price deviation risk. K-means clustering analysis was used to classify the risk of 20 key cities. The results show that the countermeasures should be different because of the different fundamentals and different risk types. For the supply type risk cities, the government should control the rhythm of land supply and adjust the housing supply structure to prevent it. For the risk cities of demand and supply, the government should optimize the industrial structure, strengthen the introduction of population to promote housing consumption demand; For the housing price deviation from the risk cities, the government should adopt market-oriented regulation and control measures to promote the return of housing prices to a reasonable level.
【作者單位】： 長(zhǎng)春工業(yè)大學(xué)人文信息學(xué)院;
【基金】：吉林省教育廳科研項(xiàng)目“吉林省保障性住房準(zhǔn)入與退出機(jī)制研究”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào)批準(zhǔn)號(hào):吉教科文合[2014]等523號(hào))
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F299.23;F224

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