【摘要】：城市化是人類社會發(fā)展的必然趨勢,也是現(xiàn)階段我國經濟增長的內生動力。2011年中國城市化率達到51.3%,城鎮(zhèn)人口首次超過農村人口,這意味著我國的城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展進入了新的發(fā)展階段,城市的空間結構、產業(yè)定位、城市規(guī)劃等都將面臨新的發(fā)展機遇。房地產業(yè)作為國民經濟的基礎性、先導性產業(yè),是城市化的物質載體,隨著城市化進程的加快,必然有大量農村剩余勞動力進入城鎮(zhèn)生存、生活,這為房地產業(yè)的發(fā)展提供了廣闊的空間。然而我國地區(qū)經濟發(fā)展不平衡,各地區(qū)城市化和房地產業(yè)發(fā)展水平存在很大差距,因此,從區(qū)域角度研究城市化和房地產業(yè)的互動關系,對于推動該區(qū)域城市化與房地產業(yè)的健康發(fā)展有著重要的現(xiàn)實意義。 本文以城市經濟學、區(qū)域經濟學、房地產經濟學等理論為基礎,選擇長三角地區(qū)作為研究對象,運用歸納與演繹、規(guī)范與實證、定性與定量等方法,從橫向和縱向兩個角度研究長三角地區(qū)城市化與房地產業(yè)的互動發(fā)展關系。定性角度：從長三角地區(qū)城市化和房地產業(yè)發(fā)展的實際情況出發(fā),分析兩者的互動影響機制。定量角度：首先運用因子分析法對長三角地區(qū)城市化和房地產業(yè)發(fā)展水平進行綜合評價,建立兩者的主成分回歸模型；然后,運用協(xié)調度模型,揭示各地區(qū)城市化與房地產業(yè)的協(xié)調關系；再者,從縱向的角度,選取上海作為代表城市,對時間序列數據進行Granger因果檢驗,考察城市化與房地產業(yè)之間的因果關系。最后,就如何促進長三角地區(qū)城市化與房地產業(yè)互動發(fā)展提出相關政策建議。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is the inevitable trend of the development of human society and the endogenous driving force of China's economic growth at the present stage. In 2011, the urbanization rate in China reached 51.3 percent, and the urban population surpassed the rural population for the first time. This means that China's urbanization has entered a new stage of development, the urban spatial structure, industrial positioning, urban planning and so on will face new development opportunities. As the basic and leading industry of the national economy, the real estate industry is the material carrier of urbanization. With the acceleration of the urbanization process, a large number of rural surplus labor force will inevitably enter the cities and towns to survive and live. This provides a broad space for the development of the real estate industry. However, the regional economic development in China is not balanced, and there is a big gap between urbanization and real estate development in different regions. Therefore, the interactive relationship between urbanization and real estate industry is studied from a regional perspective. It has important practical significance to promote the regional urbanization and the healthy development of the real estate industry. Based on the theories of urban economics, regional economics and real estate economics, this paper chooses the Yangtze River Delta region as the research object, and applies the methods of induction and deduction, norm and demonstration, qualitative and quantitative analysis, etc. The relationship between urbanization and real estate industry in Yangtze River Delta is studied from the horizontal and vertical angles. Qualitative angle: starting from the actual situation of urbanization and real estate development in Yangtze River Delta, this paper analyzes the interaction mechanism between them. Quantitative point of view: firstly, we use factor analysis method to comprehensively evaluate urbanization and real estate development level in Yangtze River Delta region, and then establish the principal component regression model of both, and then use the coordination degree model to evaluate the development level of urbanization and real estate industry in Yangtze River Delta region. Furthermore, from the vertical point of view, Shanghai is selected as the representative city, and the Granger causality test of time series data is carried out to investigate the causality between urbanization and real estate industry. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to promote the interactive development of urbanization and real estate industry in Yangtze River Delta.
【學位授予單位】：華東師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F299.23

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前4條

1 張美麗;;中國城市化與房地產業(yè)發(fā)展研究[J];現(xiàn)代商業(yè);2011年12期

2 裘麗嵐;WTO下房地產價格的走勢分析[J];西南民族大學學報(人文社科版);2003年08期

3 湯鈴;李建平;余樂安;覃東海;;基于距離協(xié)調度模型的系統(tǒng)協(xié)調發(fā)展定量評價方法[J];系統(tǒng)工程理論與實踐;2010年04期

4 趙愈;李世蓉;鄭亮;;中國城市化進程中房地產業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展截面分析[J];中國軟科學;2010年S2期

相關博士學位論文 前5條

1 張莉;我國貨幣政策的利率傳導機制及效率研究[D];蘇州大學;2010年

2 李玉杰;中國房地產業(yè)與國民經濟關聯(lián)關系及協(xié)調發(fā)展研究[D];東北財經大學;2011年

3 林國蛟;中國城市化的動力機制研究[D];浙江大學;2004年

4 吳淑蓮;城市化與房地產業(yè)互動發(fā)展關系研究[D];華中農業(yè)大學;2006年

5 才元;中國房地產業(yè)波動對國民經濟的影響研究[D];吉林大學;2007年

，

本文編號：2223725