貨幣政策調(diào)控房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的有效性研究
本文選題:貨幣政策 切入點(diǎn):房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格 出處:《廣西大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:近幾年來(lái),高房?jī)r(jià)已成為受到普遍關(guān)注的話(huà)題,不斷高企的房?jī)r(jià)會(huì)影響我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)健康發(fā)展,也前所未有地滲透到黎民百姓的日常生活。貨幣政策作為國(guó)家宏觀調(diào)控政策的重要工具,應(yīng)該對(duì)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格波動(dòng)給予充分的關(guān)注,因此,提高貨幣政策調(diào)控房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的有效性具有十分重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文首先介紹了該選題的研究背景,在對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外貨幣政策調(diào)控房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格研究成果進(jìn)行歸類(lèi)整理的基礎(chǔ)上,形成了本文的寫(xiě)作思路和行文框架:其次,從理論上為貨幣政策工具調(diào)控房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格尋找依據(jù),結(jié)合我國(guó)貨幣政策目標(biāo)的實(shí)際情況,本文傾向認(rèn)為于貨幣政策應(yīng)該也可以有效地對(duì)我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格波動(dòng)做出反應(yīng);隨后,對(duì)我國(guó)貨幣政策調(diào)控房?jī)r(jià)的實(shí)踐劃分為四個(gè)階段,并對(duì)各階段貨幣政策工具調(diào)控房?jī)r(jià)效果進(jìn)行了初步評(píng)價(jià);最后,通過(guò)建立狀態(tài)空間模型進(jìn)行實(shí)證檢驗(yàn),并得出了以下結(jié)論: 房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格波動(dòng)影響物價(jià)穩(wěn)定和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),應(yīng)予以充分關(guān)注;不同類(lèi)型貨幣政策工具對(duì)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的影響彈性不同,同時(shí)對(duì)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)供給和需求的影響也不盡相同;房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格波動(dòng)對(duì)于貨幣政策工具調(diào)整的反應(yīng)具有二重性。建議從房地產(chǎn)需求信貸規(guī)模管理、協(xié)調(diào)不同類(lèi)型貨幣政策工具、建立貨幣政策應(yīng)對(duì)房?jī)r(jià)波動(dòng)預(yù)警機(jī)制和增加供給、合理引導(dǎo)需求等方面著手,以提高貨幣政策調(diào)控房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的有效性。
[Abstract]:In recent years, high house prices have become a topic of general concern. Constant high housing prices will affect the sustained and healthy economic development of our country. Monetary policy, as an important tool of the state's macro-control policy, should pay full attention to the fluctuation of real estate prices. It is of great practical significance to improve the effectiveness of monetary policy in regulating real estate prices. This paper first introduces the research background of this topic, on the basis of classifying the domestic and foreign monetary policy control real estate price research results, forms the writing thought and the writing frame of this article: secondly, This paper tries to find a theoretical basis for monetary policy tools to control real estate prices, combined with the actual situation of monetary policy objectives in China, this paper tends to believe that monetary policy should also be able to respond effectively to the fluctuation of real estate prices in China. This paper divides the practice of monetary policy into four stages, and evaluates the effect of monetary policy tools on housing price control. Finally, the paper makes an empirical test by establishing a state-space model, and draws the following conclusions:. The fluctuation of real estate price affects price stability and economic growth, which should be paid more attention to, and the influence of different monetary policy tools on real estate price is different, and the influence on the supply and demand of real estate market is also different. The response of real estate price fluctuation to the adjustment of monetary policy tools is dualistic. It is suggested that the scale management of real estate demand and credit, the coordination of different types of monetary policy tools, the establishment of a monetary policy early warning mechanism to deal with the fluctuation of house prices and the increase of supply. Reasonable guide demand and other aspects to improve the effectiveness of monetary policy to control real estate prices.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:廣西大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F822.0;F299.23
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