發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-21 19:33

  本文選題：住房市場(chǎng)　切入點(diǎn)：互動(dòng)機(jī)理　出處：《南京工業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：隨著我國(guó)住房體制改革的深化，逐步建立起完善的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)體系，城市住房體系建設(shè)的投資與規(guī)模不斷擴(kuò)大，我國(guó)廣大城市居民的居住條件有了巨大的改善，人均住房面積從2002年的24.5m2增加到2012年的32.9m2。但同時(shí)我國(guó)住房市場(chǎng)也面臨著商品房市場(chǎng)供求不平衡，高房?jī)r(jià)與收入的差距讓普通民眾望樓興嘆；保障房建設(shè)過(guò)程中出現(xiàn)了土地、資金等資源短缺，分配、退出、管理機(jī)制不完善帶來(lái)的住房保障可持續(xù)發(fā)展問(wèn)題。住房保障政策的出臺(tái)和保障房的建設(shè)本應(yīng)是平衡住房市場(chǎng)供需的有力杠桿和滿足城鎮(zhèn)低收入及中低收入家庭住房需求的工具，現(xiàn)實(shí)卻成為政府公益性建設(shè)的沉重包袱。住房市場(chǎng)何以出現(xiàn)兩類市場(chǎng)發(fā)展冰火兩重天的矛盾現(xiàn)象；保障房供給和商品住房之間的相互影響的關(guān)系能否轉(zhuǎn)為有效互動(dòng)進(jìn)而解決住房市場(chǎng)供需不平衡的矛盾；最終在協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展中構(gòu)建完善的住房市場(chǎng)環(huán)境使住房需求者有能力由市場(chǎng)解決住房需求問(wèn)題。 因此，從發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)和調(diào)節(jié)居民住房供需的角度，既要平穩(wěn)發(fā)展商品住房市場(chǎng)，保證推動(dòng)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展引擎的正常運(yùn)作，又要擴(kuò)大住房保障政策的惠及面讓更多的城鎮(zhèn)普通收入居民住有所居。住房市場(chǎng)中的保障房和商品住房就需要在一個(gè)互動(dòng)影響關(guān)系下良性循環(huán)，將社會(huì)效用發(fā)揮到最大。 本文正是在這樣的背景下，，首先對(duì)我國(guó)住房市場(chǎng)的發(fā)展歷程進(jìn)行了梳理，并對(duì)現(xiàn)階段的住房供應(yīng)結(jié)構(gòu)分析后得出住房市場(chǎng)出現(xiàn)的問(wèn)題，為下一步研究工作的目的指明了方向；接著用供需原理和格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)的方法發(fā)現(xiàn)長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來(lái)看商品住房與保障房存在住房過(guò)濾效應(yīng)，而各類型保障房與商品住房的互動(dòng)機(jī)理分別為：租賃型保障房對(duì)商品住房影響時(shí)間短且作用較小，產(chǎn)權(quán)型保障房同時(shí)影響供給和需求情況下通過(guò)實(shí)證表明對(duì)需求的影響高于供給，對(duì)調(diào)控商品住房市場(chǎng)具有積極作用。最后在互動(dòng)關(guān)系研究的基礎(chǔ)上以系統(tǒng)理論將保障房和商品住房市場(chǎng)視作兩個(gè)系統(tǒng)探討二者的耦合關(guān)系，并對(duì)二者的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展關(guān)系提出相關(guān)建議。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of housing system reform in China, a perfect real estate market system has been gradually established, and the investment and scale of urban housing system construction have been continuously expanded, and the living conditions of the vast number of urban residents in China have been greatly improved. The per capita housing area increased from 24.5m2 in 2002 to 32.9 m2 in 2012. However, at the same time, the housing market in China is also facing an imbalance between supply and demand in the commercial housing market. The gap between high house prices and income has made ordinary people look at buildings and lament. Land has appeared in the course of indemnificatory apartment's construction. Shortage of funds and other resources, allocation, withdrawal, The introduction of housing security policy and indemnificatory apartment's construction should be a powerful lever to balance the supply and demand of housing market and a tool to meet the housing needs of low-income and low-income families in cities and towns. But the reality becomes the heavy burden of the public welfare construction of the government. Why does the housing market appear the contradiction phenomenon of two kinds of market development ice and fire; Whether the relationship between indemnificatory apartment supply and commodity housing can be transformed into effective interaction and then solve the contradiction between supply and demand imbalance in housing market; Finally, to construct a perfect housing market environment in the coordinated development enables the housing demanders to solve the housing demand problem by the market. Therefore, from the point of view of developing the economy and regulating the supply and demand of housing for the residents, it is necessary to develop the commodity housing market smoothly and ensure the normal operation of the engine for the development of the national economy. In order to expand the benefits of housing security policy, more and more urban ordinary income residents live in the housing market. Indemnificatory apartment and commodity housing in the housing market need a virtuous circle under an interactive relationship to maximize social effectiveness. Under this background, this paper firstly combs the development course of our country's housing market, and points out the problems of housing market after analyzing the current housing supply structure, and points out the direction for the next research work. Then using the principle of supply and demand and Granger causality test, we find that in the long run, there is a housing filter effect between commodity housing and indemnificatory apartment. However, the interactive mechanism between indemnificatory apartment and commodity housing is as follows: the impact time of the rental indemnificatory apartment on the commodity housing is short and the effect is relatively small. In the case of both supply and demand affected by property right indemnificatory apartment, the empirical results show that the influence on demand is higher than that on supply. Finally, on the basis of the study of interaction, indemnificatory apartment and the commodity housing market are regarded as two systems to discuss the coupling relationship between indemnificatory apartment and commodity housing market. And put forward the related suggestion to the coordination development relation between them.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.23

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