本文選題：保障性住房　切入點(diǎn)：中低收入家庭　出處：《首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2013年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：伴隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)體制的改革,住房分配制度經(jīng)歷了由住房公共福利分配模式,單一的貨幣化分房模式,向商品化住房供應(yīng)制度的轉(zhuǎn)變。經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展為房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)提供了重要發(fā)展契機(jī)。市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)作用下房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的繁榮使住房供給數(shù)量、房屋質(zhì)量、配套標(biāo)準(zhǔn)等指標(biāo)穩(wěn)步提高,但同時(shí)也伴隨著住房?jī)r(jià)格快速上漲,商品房售價(jià)最高記錄被不斷刷新。北京從2007年起房?jī)r(jià)一路走高,在高房?jī)r(jià)面前,中低收入居民家庭住房條件無(wú)力改善、基本住房需求無(wú)法得到滿足。為此,關(guān)于保障性住房制度與中低收入家庭安居問(wèn)題的研究,不僅非常急迫,具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義,同時(shí)也有顯著的理論和學(xué)術(shù)價(jià)值。 本文針對(duì)北京市保障性住房制度特點(diǎn),把數(shù)量分析方法應(yīng)用到對(duì)保障性住房制度問(wèn)題的研究,并提出了針對(duì)保障房準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)、保障規(guī)模、資金需求和退出機(jī)制等保障房主要制度環(huán)節(jié)的一套測(cè)算方法體系。 本文的主要工作為： 首先,提出了保障房準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的測(cè)算方法。構(gòu)建比較靜態(tài)分析模型作為全文理論研究基礎(chǔ)。提出兩種測(cè)算保障房準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的方法,一是在政府給定保障規(guī)模情況下,基于收入分布函數(shù)擬合方法測(cè)算準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)：二是從商品房市場(chǎng)價(jià)格出發(fā),基于房?jī)r(jià)收入配比公式方法測(cè)算準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)。結(jié)合收入分布函數(shù)擬合方法,在既定的保障規(guī)模下測(cè)算廉租住房、經(jīng)濟(jì)適用房、限價(jià)商品房準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)線,并與現(xiàn)行的準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)和制度保障規(guī)模做對(duì)比分析。以廉租房為例,當(dāng)準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)調(diào)整后計(jì)算政策效應(yīng)差異性并進(jìn)行政策模擬。 其次,對(duì)保障房制度保障規(guī)模進(jìn)行測(cè)算。對(duì)于保障規(guī)模賦予兩種角度的解讀,一是制度保障規(guī)模,即收入水平低于廉租住房、經(jīng)濟(jì)適用房、限價(jià)商品房制度準(zhǔn)入標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的中低收入居民人數(shù),并對(duì)“十二五”期間保障規(guī)模的變化趨勢(shì)進(jìn)行預(yù)測(cè)；另一種是對(duì)實(shí)際保障房需求總量的計(jì)算,即按照實(shí)際商品房?jī)r(jià)格和居民實(shí)際收入水平計(jì)算的無(wú)力購(gòu)買商品房居民的人數(shù),這部分居民需要政府為其提供住房保障,以及對(duì)居民可以承受商品房?jī)r(jià)格區(qū)間的測(cè)算。對(duì)保障房體系和商品房市場(chǎng)間的夾心層群體規(guī)模進(jìn)行測(cè)算,提出保障房體系內(nèi)夾心層群體問(wèn)題與群體規(guī)模計(jì)算方法。 再次,對(duì)保障房資金總量的測(cè)算。通過(guò)對(duì)保障房資金需求總量目標(biāo)的任務(wù)分解,先依據(jù)保障房制度規(guī)則,分別構(gòu)建了廉租住房、經(jīng)濟(jì)適用房和限價(jià)商品房的資金需求測(cè)算模型,而后匯總成為北京市保障房資金需求總量模型。并利用相關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析。歸納了保障房資金供給渠道類型,用博弈論方法證明社會(huì)資本參與保障房建設(shè)的可行性。 最后,提出保障房退出機(jī)制設(shè)計(jì)。在住房過(guò)濾理論、住房供求關(guān)系與住房需求理論、居民收入的住房消費(fèi)比例與需要層次理論的基礎(chǔ)上,本文提出了梯度補(bǔ)貼動(dòng)態(tài)退出機(jī)制模型。針對(duì)夾心層群體問(wèn)題,提出了存在夾心層群體時(shí)的保障房退出機(jī)制構(gòu)想。
[Abstract]:Along with the reform of economic system, the housing distribution system experienced by the mode of public welfare housing distribution, housing subsidies single mode, change to the commercial housing supply system. Economic development provides an important opportunity for the development of the real estate industry. The real estate market economic boom so that the supply of housing quantity, the quality of housing. Supporting standard has improved steadily, but also accompanied by the rapid rise in housing prices, the price of real estate, the highest record is constantly refreshed. From 2007 onwards Beijing high prices, in the face of high prices, low-income households to improve housing conditions, the basic housing needs can not be satisfied. Therefore, the research on the protection of the housing system and the housing problems of low-income families, not only very urgent, has important practical significance, but also has significant theoretical and academic value.
According to the Beijing city affordable housing system, the quantitative analysis method is applied to the study of the affordable housing system, and put forward for low-income housing access standards, security scale, capital demand and exit mechanism of low-income housing system links a main method system.
The main work of this article is as follows:
First, put forward the calculation method of low-income housing access standards. Construction of comparative static analysis model as the basis of the theoretical research. This paper proposed two methods to measure the low-income housing access standards, the government is in a given security scale under the condition of income distribution function fitting method based on measured admittance standard: two from the point of view of the real estate market price calculation the admittance standard of housing price to income ratio formula method based on function fitting method. According to the distribution of income, in the established security scale estimates of low rent housing, affordable housing, price of commercial housing access standards, and compared with the current access standards and system security in low rent housing scale. For example, when the access standard calculated after adjustment effect of policy differences and policy simulation.
Secondly, we calculate the low-income housing guarantee scale. For the interpretation of guarantee scale given two angles, one is the institutional guarantee scale, the income level is lower than the low rent housing, affordable housing, the number of low-income residents affordable housing system access standards, and to predict the trend of "12th Five-Year" during the period of guarantee scale the other one is to calculate; the real demand of the total actual security, number is calculated according to the actual commercial housing prices and the actual income level of residents can not afford to buy housing residents, the residents need the government to provide housing security, and the measurement of residents can withstand commercial housing price range. For low-income housing system and the real estate market between the sandwich group size calculation, calculation of sandwich group and population size of low-income housing system.
Again, the estimates of the total capital of low-income housing for low-income housing funds. Through the total demand of target task decomposition, according to low-income housing rules were constructed, low rent housing, affordable housing funds demand model and the price of commercial housing, and then summarized to the model of Beijing City low-income housing funds and the total demand. The empirical analysis by using relevant statistical data. Summarizes the low-income housing fund supply channel type, proof of social capital to participate in the feasibility of the construction of low-income housing with game theory.
Finally, the low-income housing exit mechanism design. In the housing filtering theory, the theory of the relationship between supply and demand of housing and housing demand, the income of the residents of housing consumption ratio and the hierarchy of needs theory basis, this paper put forward the dynamic gradient subsidies exit mechanism model. Aiming at the problem of sandwich group, puts forward the existing sandwich layer groups of low-income housing exit the mechanism of vision.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F224;F299.23

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