基于AHP和盲數(shù)理論的房地產(chǎn)投資決策分析
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-13 23:43
本文選題:房地產(chǎn) 切入點:投資決策 出處:《東北林業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:作為我國國民經(jīng)濟的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè),房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資一直是一個高收益、高風險的復(fù)雜工作過程,而在房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資活動中,無論是私人投資還是政府部門的投資,正確的選擇投資項目無疑是關(guān)鍵性的一步。 本文在認真總結(jié)房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀和現(xiàn)有評價及決策方法的基礎(chǔ)上,主要從以下幾部分進行論述:第一部分主要介紹房地產(chǎn)投資決策的影響因素,并將這些因素進行總結(jié)和歸類,建立一個相對合理的房地產(chǎn)投資決策指標體系;第二部分在房地產(chǎn)投資決策指標體系的基礎(chǔ)上,將層次分析法與盲數(shù)理論相結(jié)合,構(gòu)建一個基于AHP和盲數(shù)理論的房地產(chǎn)投資決策模型,用于房地產(chǎn)項目投資決策,本模型符合定量與定性相結(jié)合的原則,計算簡便,應(yīng)用盲數(shù)理論提高未確知信息的準確性,使決策結(jié)果更合理;第三部分采用實證分析的方式,應(yīng)用房地產(chǎn)投資決策模型對具體的房地產(chǎn)項目進行分析和決策,驗證本模型的科學(xué)性和實效性。 本文在房地產(chǎn)投資決策問題上,首次將層次分析法和盲數(shù)理論相結(jié)合,建立新的房地產(chǎn)投資決策模型,為房地產(chǎn)投資決策提供科學(xué)有效的決策工具。
[Abstract]:As the pillar industry of our national economy, real estate development investment is always a complex process of high income and high risk. In real estate development and investment activities, whether private investment or government investment, The right choice of investment projects is undoubtedly a key step. On the basis of summarizing the present situation of the real estate industry development and the existing evaluation and decision making methods, this paper mainly discusses the following parts: the first part mainly introduces the influencing factors of the real estate investment decision. These factors are summarized and classified to establish a relatively reasonable real estate investment decision-making index system. The second part combines AHP with blind number theory on the basis of real estate investment decision index system. A real estate investment decision model based on AHP and blind number theory is constructed, which can be used in the investment decision of real estate projects. The model accords with the principle of combining quantitative and qualitative analysis, and it is simple to calculate, and the blind number theory is used to improve the accuracy of unascertained information. In the third part, the real estate investment decision model is used to analyze and make decisions on the specific real estate projects, which verifies the scientificity and effectiveness of the model. In this paper, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and blind number theory are combined for the first time to establish a new real estate investment decision-making model, which provides a scientific and effective decision-making tool for real estate investment decision-making.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東北林業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F299.23;F224
【引證文獻】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條
1 張云起;梁璐茜;馮漪;;基于盲數(shù)理論的房地產(chǎn)項目投資決策研究[J];山東財經(jīng)大學(xué)學(xué)報;2017年01期
2 白東;;青島黃島油港區(qū)VLCC通航風險評價[J];中國水運(下半月);2015年11期
,本文編號:1608674
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