本文選題：城鎮(zhèn)化　切入點：商品住宅價格　出處：《山西財經(jīng)大學》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：近二十年來,山西省房地產(chǎn)市場得到了較快發(fā)展,但是不同類型城市的商品住宅價格差別顯著,發(fā)生了明顯的商品住宅價格分異現(xiàn)象。這一現(xiàn)象的發(fā)生與城鎮(zhèn)化的快速發(fā)展有著密切的關(guān)系。因此,有必要基于城鎮(zhèn)化視角來分析山西省商品住宅價格分異的問題,通過正確認識城鎮(zhèn)化對商品住宅價格的影響,對山西省不同地域進行分類,從而判斷當前商品住宅價格與城鎮(zhèn)化進程的協(xié)調(diào)程度,對促進山西省住房市場健康發(fā)展具有較大實踐意義。本文以山西省11個地級市和數(shù)據(jù)可獲取的56個縣(市、區(qū))為研究對象,對它們各自的標準差、變異系數(shù)和分異指數(shù)進行計算發(fā)現(xiàn)這兩個層面的商品住宅價格都產(chǎn)生了分異,其中空間分異狀況更為突出。通過對2006-2014年山西省地級市的商品住宅價格與人口、經(jīng)濟、空間城鎮(zhèn)化指標進行面板數(shù)據(jù)回歸分析,結(jié)果表明,城鎮(zhèn)人口數(shù)量和城鎮(zhèn)居民人均可支配收入對商品住宅價格的影響最顯著。為了便于分析各個地區(qū)商品住宅價格與城鎮(zhèn)化進程的協(xié)調(diào)性,采用聚類分析的方法分別對商品住宅價格單一指標和與城鎮(zhèn)化結(jié)合的多指標進行聚類,對比分析兩種聚類的結(jié)果,得出在地市級層面,太原、大同、陽泉、長治、運城、忻州這六個地區(qū)的商品住宅價格與城鎮(zhèn)化進程的協(xié)調(diào)性較好,晉城、晉中、呂梁的商品住宅價格偏高,臨汾、朔州的商品住宅價格偏低,在縣(市、區(qū))級層面,這種不協(xié)調(diào)的現(xiàn)象較為嚴重,晉城、長治、大同的縣域住宅價格普遍偏高,運城的縣域住宅價格普遍偏低。山西省商品住宅價格的分異現(xiàn)象反映了區(qū)域內(nèi)住房市場的差異性,這種差異性決定了山西省住房市場的調(diào)控應該因地制宜、分類調(diào)控,即采用差別化的調(diào)控策略。因此,本文遵循“分類調(diào)控+重點關(guān)注+多層監(jiān)測”的調(diào)控思路,提出商品住宅價格與城鎮(zhèn)化進程協(xié)調(diào)的城鎮(zhèn)應該調(diào)控供地結(jié)構(gòu)、對各地區(qū)縣域差別化調(diào)控、強化太原都市圈建設、依托產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚造就經(jīng)濟發(fā)展等,住宅價格偏高的城鎮(zhèn)應該擴大城市建成區(qū)面積、加強基礎(chǔ)設施建設、建設特色城鎮(zhèn)等,住宅價格偏低的城鎮(zhèn)應該加大棚戶區(qū)改造貨幣化安置、采用中心城市帶動策略等對策建議。本文認為縣(市、區(qū))一級的商品住宅價格分異現(xiàn)象更加突出,特別是一些特殊縣域的住房市場發(fā)展需要重點關(guān)注,因此,本文在考慮地市級層面的同時又加入了縣(市、區(qū))級層面,對它們進行分別研究,以期更全面反映山西省住房市場的狀況。
[Abstract]:In the past two decades, the real estate market in Shanxi Province has developed rapidly, but the prices of commodity housing in different cities differ significantly. This phenomenon is closely related to the rapid development of urbanization. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the problem of commodity housing price differentiation in Shanxi Province based on the perspective of urbanization. Through the correct understanding of the influence of urbanization on commodity housing prices, this paper classifies different regions of Shanxi Province, and judges the degree of coordination between the current commodity housing prices and the urbanization process. It is of great practical significance to promote the healthy development of housing market in Shanxi Province. In this paper, taking 11 prefectural cities and 56 counties (cities and districts) with data available in Shanxi Province as the research object, their respective standard deviations are analyzed. By calculating the coefficient of variation and the index of differentiation, it is found that both levels of commodity housing prices are differentiated, among which the spatial differentiation is more prominent. Through the analysis of commodity housing prices and the population of Shanxi prefecture-level cities from 2006 to 2014, the economy, The panel data regression analysis of spatial urbanization index shows that, The effect of the number of urban population and the per capita disposable income of urban residents on the commodity housing prices is the most significant. In order to facilitate the analysis of the coordination between the commodity housing prices and the urbanization process in various regions, By using the method of cluster analysis, the single index of commodity housing price and the multiple index combined with urbanization are clustered, and the results of the two kinds of clustering are compared and analyzed. The results show that at the municipal level, Taiyuan, Datong, Yangquan, Changzhi, Yuncheng, The commodity housing prices in Xinzhou are in good harmony with the urbanization process. The commodity housing prices of Jincheng, Jinzhong and Lv Liang are on the high side, while the commodity housing prices in Linfen and Shuozhou are on the low side, at the county (city, district) level. This kind of uncoordinated phenomenon is more serious, Jincheng, Changzhi, Datong county housing prices are generally high, Yuncheng county housing prices are generally low. The differentiation of commodity housing prices in Shanxi Province reflects the difference of the housing market in the region. This difference determines that the adjustment and control of the housing market in Shanxi Province should be adapted to local conditions, classified regulation and control, that is, the adoption of differential control strategy. Therefore, this paper follows the "classified regulation focus on multi-level monitoring" control thinking. The paper puts forward that the cities and towns with the coordination of commodity housing price and urbanization process should adjust and control the land supply structure, adjust and control the difference of counties in different regions, strengthen the construction of Taiyuan Metropolitan area, and rely on industrial agglomeration to bring up economic development, etc. Cities and towns with high housing prices should expand the area of urban built-up areas, strengthen infrastructure construction, and build characteristic towns, etc. Cities and towns with low housing prices should increase the monetization of the transformation of shantytowns. This paper thinks that the differentiation of commodity housing prices at the county (city, district) level is more prominent, especially the development of housing market in some special counties needs to pay more attention to. In this paper, the prefectural level is considered and the county (city, district) level is added to study them separately, in order to reflect the situation of Shanxi housing market more comprehensively.
【學位授予單位】：山西財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F299.23

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