本文關(guān)鍵詞： 住宅價(jià)格 房地產(chǎn)泡沫 土地政策 金融政策 稅收政策　出處：《哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：近年來(lái)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的發(fā)展迅速，但是在發(fā)展的同時(shí)也存在著嚴(yán)重的問題，主要問題體現(xiàn)在住宅價(jià)格的持續(xù)上漲，尤其是2004年以來(lái)，住宅價(jià)格的快速上漲。住宅市場(chǎng)的繁榮發(fā)展一方面促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展，另一方面會(huì)使很多居民難以承受如此高昂的房?jī)r(jià)。 本文以我國(guó)住宅價(jià)格為研究對(duì)象，以住房與住房服務(wù)、資產(chǎn)定價(jià)與供求定價(jià)、房地產(chǎn)泡沫、影響因素的計(jì)量分析及住宅價(jià)格調(diào)控政策效果分析為研究框架。 首先，本文對(duì)住房及住房服務(wù)進(jìn)行了區(qū)分，并定義了房地產(chǎn)泡沫及測(cè)度泡沫工具—房?jī)r(jià)收入比、房?jī)r(jià)租售比兩個(gè)指標(biāo)；對(duì)住宅資產(chǎn)定價(jià)及房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)供求定價(jià)理論進(jìn)行了論述，并理順二者的關(guān)系；最后從住房供求兩方面對(duì)住宅價(jià)格的影響因素進(jìn)行分類論述，提出理論假設(shè)。 其次，在進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析前對(duì)我國(guó)土地市場(chǎng)的特殊性進(jìn)行了梳理，并指出地價(jià)對(duì)住宅價(jià)格的影響；然后以全國(guó)30個(gè)大中城市的1998年至2011年9個(gè)解釋變量的面板數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建計(jì)量分析模型，從住房供求兩方面對(duì)住宅價(jià)格的影響因素進(jìn)行了計(jì)量分析；并對(duì)住宅用地價(jià)格、房?jī)r(jià)預(yù)期與住宅價(jià)格之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)。 再次，本文總結(jié)了歷年房?jī)r(jià)調(diào)控政策，在實(shí)證分析的基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)我國(guó)房?jī)r(jià)調(diào)控政策進(jìn)行效果分析；主要從土地政策、金融政策及稅收政策3個(gè)方面來(lái)進(jìn)行分析。 最后，，本文的研究結(jié)論總結(jié)了本文的研究成果以及存在的不足。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the real estate market has developed rapidly, but at the same time there are also serious problems, the main problems are reflected in the continued rise in housing prices, especially since 2004. The boom in the housing market will boost the economy on the one hand and make it difficult for many residents to afford such high prices on the other. This paper takes housing price as the research object, housing and housing service, asset pricing and supply and demand pricing, real estate bubble, influencing factors and the effect of housing price regulation policy analysis as the research framework. First of all, this paper distinguishes housing and housing services, and defines the real estate bubble and the measurement of bubble instruments-house price income ratio, housing rent to sales ratio two indicators; This paper discusses the theory of housing asset pricing and real estate market supply and demand pricing, and straightens out the relationship between them. Finally, the paper classifies and discusses the influencing factors of housing price from two aspects of housing supply and demand, and puts forward theoretical hypotheses. Secondly, the particularity of China's land market is combed before the empirical analysis, and the impact of land price on housing price is pointed out. Then based on the panel data of 9 explanatory variables from 1998 to 2011 in 30 large and medium-sized cities in China, the econometric analysis model is constructed, and the influencing factors of housing price are analyzed from the two aspects of housing supply and demand. And Granger causality test is carried out on the relationship between residential land price, house price expectation and housing price. Thirdly, this paper summarizes the housing price control policies over the years, on the basis of empirical analysis of China's housing price control policy effect analysis; Mainly from the land policy, the financial policy and the tax policy three aspects carries on the analysis. Finally, the conclusion of this paper summarizes the research results and shortcomings.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.23

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