本文關(guān)鍵詞： 房地產(chǎn) 政府管制 SCP范式 集中度——利潤率假說　出處：《西安建筑科技大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：近年來，我國GDP產(chǎn)值不斷增高，其中，，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)對我國GDP產(chǎn)值增加具有不可忽略的貢獻(xiàn)作用；同時房地產(chǎn)是我國財政收入重要來源之一，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)性極強(qiáng)，直接影響上游企業(yè)和下游企業(yè)的發(fā)展，對就業(yè)的拉動作用也非常明顯�？偠灾�，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)對于推動整個社會的發(fā)展具有不可替代的作用。 考慮到我國房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)在發(fā)展過程中的特殊性，本文認(rèn)為脫離政府談房地產(chǎn)市場本身不具備太多實際意義。因此，在研究我國房地產(chǎn)業(yè)SCP范式之前，本文先對政府管制作出研究。文中通過政府對房地產(chǎn)市場供需兩方面管制的研究，明確政府調(diào)控對于房地產(chǎn)市場的影響；并對政府管制時存款準(zhǔn)備金、長期貸款利率、新開工面積變動對房地產(chǎn)價格及投資的影響做出脈沖響應(yīng)分析和方差分解分析。我國中小型房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)在政府強(qiáng)壓之下紛紛選擇退出房地產(chǎn)市場，大型、有實力的房企趁機(jī)兼并收購中小型企業(yè)，即政府對于房地產(chǎn)市場的調(diào)控并不會直接引起市場結(jié)構(gòu)的變化，而會直接引起企業(yè)行為的變化，因此，本文在進(jìn)行我國31個省份房地產(chǎn)市場SCP范式研究時，先進(jìn)行市場行為研究，然后進(jìn)行市場結(jié)構(gòu)與市場績效的研究。最后運(yùn)用EVIEWS6.0對剔除數(shù)據(jù)不全面省份的23個省份集中度——利潤率假說進(jìn)行面板數(shù)據(jù)計量分析和驗證。 研究結(jié)果表明：政府管制對房地產(chǎn)市場并購行為影響顯著，我國市場并購行為近年來大量增加，但我國市場結(jié)構(gòu)依然是競爭型市場，基本沒有形成壟斷，我國的市場利潤率整體來看也較低，并不是暴利的行業(yè)，但近年來市場利潤率確有增大的趨勢；我國各個地區(qū)集中度——利潤率關(guān)系并不相同。研究結(jié)果對于政府最大啟示是房地產(chǎn)市場政府的調(diào)控手段均有效果，但效果卻大不相同，簡單來說，只要合理抑制房價，過度投資或投機(jī)的問題自然就會得到解決。同時，我國31個地區(qū)的具體情況完全不同，政府在制定政策時，應(yīng)該綜合各個地區(qū)當(dāng)?shù)鼐唧w情況，制定最適合的政策。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China's GDP output value has been increasing, among which, the real estate industry has contributed to the increase of China's GDP output value. At the same time, real estate is one of the important sources of financial revenue in China. The real estate industry has a strong correlation, which directly affects the development of upstream and downstream enterprises, and has a very obvious pull on employment. Real estate industry plays an irreplaceable role in promoting the development of the whole society. Considering the particularity of the development of the real estate industry in our country, this paper thinks that it is not much practical significance to talk about the real estate market without the government. Therefore, before studying the SCP paradigm of the real estate industry in our country. Through the research of the government regulation on the supply and demand of the real estate market, this paper clarifies the influence of the government regulation on the real estate market. And to the government control when the deposit reserve, long-term loan interest rate. Under the pressure of the government, the small and medium-sized real estate enterprises choose to withdraw from the real estate market. Powerful housing enterprises take advantage of the opportunity to merger and purchase small and medium-sized enterprises, that is, the regulation and control of the real estate market will not directly cause changes in market structure, but will directly cause changes in the behavior of enterprises. In this paper, 31 provinces in the real estate market SCP paradigm research, first of all, market behavior research. Then the market structure and market performance are studied. Finally, the panel data analysis and verification of the hypothesis of concentration-profit rate of 23 provinces excluding incomplete data are carried out by using EVIEWS6.0. The results show that: government regulation has a significant impact on the real estate market M & A behavior, China's market M & A behavior has increased in recent years, but the market structure of our country is still a competitive market, basically no monopoly. The market profit rate of our country is also low on the whole, it is not a profiteering industry, but in recent years the market profit margin has a tendency to increase; The relationship between concentration ratio and profit margin is not the same in different regions of China. The biggest revelation to the government is that the real estate market government has effect, but the effect is very different. The problem of excessive investment or speculation will naturally be solved as long as housing prices are reasonably restrained. Meanwhile, the specific situation in 31 regions of China is completely different, when the government formulates policies. Local conditions should be integrated into each region and the most appropriate policies should be formulated.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西安建筑科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F299.23

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