本文關(guān)鍵詞：土地財(cái)政及地方公共支出與房?jī)r(jià)關(guān)系實(shí)證研究　出處：《燕山大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：近幾年來，我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)高速發(fā)展，房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)也繁榮發(fā)展。政府從土地出讓和相關(guān)稅收中獲得了巨大的財(cái)政收益，其出臺(tái)的一系列優(yōu)惠政策又間接促進(jìn)了房地產(chǎn)投資市場(chǎng)的進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大。一些經(jīng)濟(jì)相對(duì)發(fā)達(dá)、公共服務(wù)水平較高的城市，人們對(duì)房屋的需求急劇擴(kuò)張，房?jī)r(jià)一路飆升。因此本文利用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型從定性和定量角度分析了土地財(cái)政及地方公共支出對(duì)房?jī)r(jià)的影響，實(shí)證部分則分別從全國(guó)和區(qū)域兩個(gè)層面進(jìn)行了研究，對(duì)結(jié)果進(jìn)行分析，并以此為依據(jù)有針對(duì)性的提出政策建議，，引導(dǎo)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)健康發(fā)展。 首先，闡述了土地財(cái)政的概念，分析土地出讓價(jià)格與房?jī)r(jià)關(guān)系的四象限模型以及房地產(chǎn)稅收資本化模型。隨后闡述了Tiebout模型以及Oates、Hamilton和Fischel對(duì)該模型的擴(kuò)展研究，并在此基礎(chǔ)上建立模型，對(duì)公共品的資本化過程進(jìn)行推導(dǎo)。 其次，分析我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)、土地財(cái)政和地方公共支出的基本現(xiàn)狀，發(fā)現(xiàn)我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格、土地出讓金、土地相關(guān)稅收和地方公共支出均穩(wěn)步上升且存在區(qū)域差異性。描述了土地財(cái)政及公共支出與房?jī)r(jià)的波動(dòng)特征，兩者均與房?jī)r(jià)存在正相關(guān)關(guān)系。 再次，利用2002-2012年我國(guó)30個(gè)省市自治區(qū)的數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建面板模型，分別從全國(guó)和區(qū)域兩個(gè)層面上探討了土地財(cái)政及地方公共支出對(duì)房?jī)r(jià)的影響，土地出讓收入和地方公共支出始終與房?jī)r(jià)正相關(guān)，土地相關(guān)稅收與房?jī)r(jià)負(fù)相關(guān)。 最后，根據(jù)實(shí)證研究結(jié)果，并結(jié)合我國(guó)現(xiàn)階段的實(shí)際情況，提出合理可行的政策建議。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of our economy and the prosperity of the real estate market, the government has obtained huge financial benefits from land sales and related taxes. The introduction of a series of preferential policies has indirectly promoted the further expansion of the real estate investment market. In some cities with relatively developed economy and high level of public services, the demand for housing has expanded sharply. Therefore, this paper uses panel data model to analyze the impact of land finance and local public expenditure on housing prices from the qualitative and quantitative perspective. The empirical part has carried on the research from the national and the regional level separately, carries on the analysis to the result, and based on this proposed the policy suggestion, guides the real estate industry to develop healthily. Firstly, the paper expounds the concept of land finance, analyzes the four-quadrant model of the relationship between the price of land transfer and house price and the capitalization model of real estate tax, and then expounds the Tiebout model and Oates. Hamilton and Fischel study the extension of the model and establish a model on the basis of which the capitalization process of public goods is deduced. Secondly, it analyzes the basic situation of real estate, land finance and local public expenditure in China, and finds out the real estate price and land transfer fee. Land related taxes and local public expenditure are rising steadily and there are regional differences, describing the fluctuating characteristics of land finance, public expenditure and house prices, both of which are positively correlated with housing prices. Thirdly, using the data of 30 provinces and autonomous regions from 2002 to 2012 to build a panel model, the paper discusses the impact of land finance and local public expenditure on housing prices from the national and regional levels. Land transfer income and local public expenditure are always positively correlated with house prices, and land related taxes are negatively correlated with housing prices. Finally, according to the results of empirical research and the actual situation of our country at present, some reasonable and feasible policy suggestions are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：燕山大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.23;F812.45;F301

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