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基于行為經(jīng)濟學的房地產(chǎn)宏觀調控

發(fā)布時間:2018-01-14 08:00

  本文關鍵詞:基于行為經(jīng)濟學的房地產(chǎn)宏觀調控 出處:《江西師范大學》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文


  更多相關文章: 傳統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟學 行為經(jīng)濟學 行為噪音 BAPM定價模型


【摘要】:1998年房改開始,我國對房地產(chǎn)的調控經(jīng)歷了五個階段,但是全國在不斷上漲。反思我國的房地產(chǎn)宏觀調控機理,筆者認為關鍵問題在于對“絕對理性經(jīng)濟人”的強化上。 文章引入行為經(jīng)濟學理論,認為市場是“有限理性”的,在證明我國房地產(chǎn)市場行為噪音的存在、解釋了行為噪音產(chǎn)生的原因、論證行為噪音對房地產(chǎn)市場的影響機制的基礎之上,提出從行為經(jīng)濟學角度出發(fā)對我國房地產(chǎn)市場進行調控。調控的機理應該是在繼續(xù)深化“信息完全”與“市場出清”的前提下,針對行為噪音產(chǎn)生的微觀原因與行為噪音擴散的宏觀機制,從“經(jīng)濟人”的心理角度出發(fā),制定相應的調控政策。最后基于行為噪音產(chǎn)生的原因和對市場的影響機制,從行為經(jīng)濟學角度出發(fā)提出了針對行為噪音三類七大調控建議。 本文的特色與創(chuàng)新是:(1)將行為經(jīng)濟學引入房地產(chǎn)調控,,證明了我國房地產(chǎn)市場上存在行為噪音;(2)從行為噪音角度解釋了我國房地產(chǎn)市場主體發(fā)生行為偏差產(chǎn)生行為噪音的原因;(3)根據(jù)行為經(jīng)濟學中的BAPM模型對我國50大城市行為噪音報酬率進行了測算,為各城市實施不同的宏觀調控政策提供依據(jù)。 本文的不足在于行為噪音對價格的影響機理還應該做更深入的研究,繼續(xù)深入研究BAPM定價模型在我國房地產(chǎn)資產(chǎn)定價中的運用,只有這樣才能更深一步的了解行為噪音與房價的關系,為我國房地產(chǎn)宏觀調控提出更加切實可行的建議。
[Abstract]:In 1998, housing reform began, China's real estate regulation and control experienced five stages, but the country is constantly rising. Reflect on our real estate macro-control mechanism. The author believes that the key problem lies in the strengthening of absolute rational economic man. This paper introduces the theory of behavioral economics and holds that the market is "limited rational". It proves the existence of behavioral noise in the real estate market of our country and explains the causes of the noise. On the basis of demonstrating the impact mechanism of behavioral noise on the real estate market. This paper puts forward that the real estate market of our country should be regulated from the angle of behavioral economics. The mechanism of regulation and control should be based on the premise of deepening "complete information" and "clearing of market". In view of the microcosmic causes of behavioral noise and the macro-mechanism of behavioral noise diffusion, the psychological point of view of "economic man" is considered. Finally, based on the causes of behavioral noise and the mechanism of its influence on the market, this paper puts forward seven suggestions on behavioral noise from the perspective of behavioral economics. The characteristic and innovation of this paper is that the behavioral economics is introduced into the real estate regulation and control, which proves the existence of behavioral noise in the real estate market of our country. 2) explain the cause of behavioral noise from the angle of behavior noise; (3) based on the BAPM model in behavioral economics, the behavior noise rate of 50 big cities in China is calculated, which provides the basis for implementing different macro-control policies in each city. The deficiency of this paper is that the influence mechanism of behavior noise on price should be further studied, and the application of BAPM pricing model in real estate asset pricing in China should be further studied. Only in this way can we further understand the relationship between behavioral noise and housing prices, and put forward more practical suggestions for macro-control of real estate in China.
【學位授予單位】:江西師范大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F299.23

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