【摘要】：基本養(yǎng)老保險制度的健康安全運行是我國社會保障事業(yè)平穩(wěn)持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要前提,也是促進國家安定、社會和睦和人民幸福的關(guān)鍵所在。因此,運用科學有效的評估技術(shù)對國家現(xiàn)行養(yǎng)老體制的實際執(zhí)行狀況進行客觀、切合實際的評判,已經(jīng)顯得極為重要和緊迫,并且對于進一步優(yōu)化和完善我們國家的社會保障機制有著極其重要的現(xiàn)實意義。本文首先通過文獻研究法,重點探究了養(yǎng)老保險領(lǐng)域評價指標體系的研究現(xiàn)狀,并綜合專家經(jīng)驗選取出了 14項指標元素,構(gòu)成了本文的評估指標體系。接著詳細論述了網(wǎng)絡(luò)層次分析技術(shù)的相關(guān)知識,在領(lǐng)域?qū)＜业闹笇路治隽梭w系指標間的關(guān)聯(lián)關(guān)系,給出了基于該方法建立的養(yǎng)老保險運行安全評估ANP模型,并據(jù)此分析量化了各項指標的具體權(quán)重值,作為衡量各項指標對評估體系而言影響力大小的標度。除此以外,通過分析和比較常用的多指標綜合評估技術(shù),本文提出了將因子分析和熵值分析進行有機結(jié)合的綜合評估方法,給出了標準差標準化算法和計算因子權(quán)重算法,并以我國31個省份的基本養(yǎng)老保險制度數(shù)據(jù)作為實驗數(shù)據(jù),分析得到各省養(yǎng)老保險運行安全情況的綜合得分,從而對我國現(xiàn)行養(yǎng)老保險制度的運行安全性進行了評估。通過實驗分析,驗證了本文提出的綜合評估方法的合理性和有效性,并且對于其它社會保險險種及其它領(lǐng)域的制度研究均具有一定的借鑒價值。
[Abstract]:The healthy and safe operation of the basic old-age insurance system is an important prerequisite for the steady and sustainable development of the social security cause in our country, and also the key to promoting national stability, social harmony and the happiness of the people. Therefore, it is very important and urgent to make an objective and realistic evaluation on the actual implementation of the current national pension system by using scientific and effective assessment techniques. And for further optimizing and perfecting our country's social security mechanism has the extremely important realistic significance. Firstly, through the literature research method, this paper focuses on the research status of the evaluation index system in the field of old-age insurance, and selects 14 index elements to form the evaluation index system of this paper by synthesizing the experience of the experts. Then the related knowledge of network analytic hierarchy process (AHP) technology is discussed in detail. Under the guidance of domain experts, the correlation relationship among the system indexes is analyzed, and the ANP model based on this method for the safety assessment of the operation of endowment insurance is given. Based on this analysis, the weight value of each index is quantified, as a scale to measure the influence of each index on the evaluation system. In addition, through the analysis and comparison of the commonly used multi-index comprehensive evaluation techniques, this paper proposes a comprehensive evaluation method combining factor analysis and entropy analysis, and gives the standard deviation standardization algorithm and the calculation factor weight algorithm. Taking the data of the basic old-age insurance system in 31 provinces as the experimental data, the comprehensive scores of the operation security of the old-age insurance in each province are analyzed, and the operational security of the current endowment insurance system in our country is evaluated. Through the experimental analysis, the rationality and effectiveness of the comprehensive evaluation method proposed in this paper are verified, and it has certain reference value for the system research of other kinds of social insurance and other fields.
【學位授予單位】：哈爾濱工程大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F842.67

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