基于貝葉斯網(wǎng)絡(luò)的城市居民住房需求偏好研究——以天津市為例
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-19 04:04
本文選題:問卷調(diào)查 切入點(diǎn):住房需求偏好 出處:《城市發(fā)展研究》2017年04期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:基于《2016年天津市交通與住房調(diào)查問卷》數(shù)據(jù),構(gòu)建貝葉斯網(wǎng)絡(luò)模型,比較分析不同社會群體的住房需求偏好,結(jié)果顯示:年齡、學(xué)歷及收入等因素與居民住房需求偏好顯著相關(guān);居民居住區(qū)位選擇時關(guān)注的公共服務(wù)配套受年齡、婚姻狀況、有無中小學(xué)生等因素影響;無住房公積金、非本地戶籍人口通常選擇租房,并且在城市居住時間越長其購房意愿越強(qiáng)烈;租房或擁有保障性住房家庭的居住面積普遍小于擁有商品房的家庭。提出應(yīng)加大對居民住房消費(fèi)金融支持力度、完善城市公共服務(wù)供給模式以及有序擴(kuò)大住房保障覆蓋范圍等相關(guān)對策建議,為城市住房有效供給提供決策依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of Tianjin Traffic and Housing questionnaire of 2016, a Bayesian network model is constructed to compare and analyze the housing demand preferences of different social groups. The results show that: age, The factors such as education, income and so on are significantly related to the housing demand preference of residents; the public service matching that residents pay attention to in the choice of housing location is affected by the factors such as age, marital status, and the existence of primary and middle school students, etc. Non-local residents usually choose to rent, and the longer they live in the city, the stronger their willingness to buy houses; The living space of the families who rent or own affordable housing is generally smaller than that of those who own commercial housing. It is suggested that the financial support for residents' housing consumption should be increased. Improving the supply mode of urban public services and expanding the coverage of housing security in an orderly manner to provide a decision basis for the effective supply of urban housing.
【作者單位】: 天津城建大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;天津城建大學(xué)京津冀協(xié)同發(fā)展研究中心;
【基金】:國家社科基金項(xiàng)目“新型城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中我國城市交通擁堵的評估體系、治理模式與政策組合研究”(14BJY043);國家社科基金項(xiàng)目“新型城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中我國城鎮(zhèn)規(guī)模分布及其演進(jìn)機(jī)理研究”(13BJY054) “十二五”天津市高等學(xué)校創(chuàng)新團(tuán)隊(duì)培養(yǎng)計(jì)劃“新型城鎮(zhèn)化與城市可持續(xù)發(fā)展”(TD12-5063)
【分類號】:F299.23
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