本文選題：高�？萍� + 卡爾曼濾波��； 參考：《南京信息工程大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：科技進步推動了人類歷史上的三次產(chǎn)業(yè)革命,徹底改變了人類的生活方式。科技進步所帶來的巨大能量引起世界各國的關注,高校作為人才培養(yǎng)和基礎研究的重要基地,其科研角色不容忽視。市場經(jīng)濟體制下,高�？萍紝嵙娙蹶P系到我國在激烈國際競爭中的地位。胡錦濤主席在黨的十八大報告中指出：近年來我國科技改革得到了穩(wěn)步推進,但科技創(chuàng)新能力不強,發(fā)展不平衡、不協(xié)調(diào)、不可持續(xù)的問題仍然突出。深入探討高�？萍枷到y(tǒng)存在的問題,對于提升我國科技水平,促進經(jīng)濟發(fā)展有著重大的理論與現(xiàn)實的雙重意義。 通過對我國高�？萍及l(fā)展現(xiàn)狀與美國、日本、德國等發(fā)達國家的高�？萍纪度胨降臋M向與縱向比較發(fā)現(xiàn),我國對高�？萍纪度肓Χ扰c發(fā)達國家相比仍有一定差距；對我國31省高�？萍纪度氘a(chǎn)出現(xiàn)狀的定性分析中,發(fā)現(xiàn)目前我國高�？萍及l(fā)展嚴重不平衡。本文從高�？萍歼M步貢獻率、高�？萍寂c經(jīng)濟綜合協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展評價、高校科技投入產(chǎn)出結構三個方面層層深入,對高�？萍歼M行全面細致的分析評價。 文章首先采用C-D生產(chǎn)函數(shù)與產(chǎn)出值法結合,將高�？萍歼M步貢獻率從科技貢獻率中有效的分離出來,并運用卡爾曼濾波估計對參數(shù)進行有效估計,減少估計誤差,建立高�？萍歼M步對經(jīng)濟發(fā)展貢獻率的量化模型。實證分析我國與美國、德國、日本的高�？萍歼M步貢獻率差異,比較分析發(fā)現(xiàn)我國高�？萍歼M步貢獻率水平與美國、德國仍存在較大差距,高�？萍嫉牡匚蝗杂写岣�。為定量分析我國高校科技與經(jīng)濟協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平,將模糊綜合評價理論與協(xié)同學理論結合,建立我國高�？萍寂c經(jīng)濟綜合協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展評價模型。利用我國2009年至2011年31省數(shù)據(jù)進行實證分析結果表明,我國高�？萍寂c經(jīng)濟的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀不容樂觀,超過一半省份瀕臨失調(diào)或嚴重失調(diào)。為優(yōu)化我國高�？萍纪度虢Y構,采用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型對我國31省高�？萍纪度氘a(chǎn)出結構進行進一步分析,計算高�？萍纪度胫笜说倪呺H貢獻,為優(yōu)化資源配置提供科學的政策依據(jù)。結果表明,各項投入指標對不同產(chǎn)出指標的邊際貢獻差異顯著。因此在發(fā)展地區(qū)高�？萍紩r,需要根據(jù)地區(qū)實際情況,提高邊際貢獻較高的高�？萍纪度胍�,調(diào)整科技投入結構,優(yōu)化科技資源配置。
[Abstract]:The progress of science and technology has promoted the three industrial revolution in human history, completely changed the way of human life. The great energy brought by the progress of science and technology arouses the attention of all countries in the world. As an important base of talent training and basic research, colleges and universities can not be ignored. Under the market economy system, the strength of scientific and technological strength of colleges and universities is related to In the eighteen major report of the party, President Hu Jintao pointed out that China's scientific and technological reform has been steadily advancing in recent years, but the ability of scientific and technological innovation is not strong, and the problems of unbalance, incoordination and unsustainable development are still outstanding. The problems existing in the scientific and technological system in Colleges and universities are deeply explored to promote the science and technology of our country. To promote economic development is of great theoretical and practical significance.
Comparing with the horizontal and vertical comparison of the scientific and technological development of universities in China and the developed countries of the United States, Japan, Germany and other developed countries, it is found that there is still a certain gap between China and the developed countries. In the qualitative analysis of the present situation of scientific and technological input-output in 31 provinces and universities in China, it is found that the University of our country is present at present. The development of science and technology is seriously imbalanced. This paper makes a comprehensive and detailed analysis and evaluation of University Science and technology from three aspects: the contribution rate of scientific and technological progress in Colleges and universities, the evaluation of the comprehensive coordinated development of science and technology and economy in Colleges and universities, and the structure of the input and output of science and technology in Colleges and universities.
The article first uses the C-D production function and the output value method to separate the contribution rate of the scientific and technological progress from the scientific and technological contribution rate, and use the Calman filter to estimate the parameters effectively, reduce the estimation error and establish the quantitative model of the contribution rate of the University's scientific and technological progress to the economic development. The contribution rate of scientific and technological progress in Universities in Germany and Japan is different. It is found that the contribution rate of scientific and technological progress in universities and colleges in our country still exists a big gap between the United States and Germany, and the status of science and technology in Colleges and universities still needs to be improved. The evaluation model of the comprehensive coordinated development of science and technology and economy in China's colleges and universities is made. The results of the empirical analysis of 31 provinces in China from 2009 to 2011 show that the current situation of the coordinated development of science and technology and economy in China's colleges and universities is not optimistic, and more than half of the provinces are on the verge of misalignment or serious maladjustment. The model makes a further analysis on the input and output structure of science and technology in 31 provinces and universities in China, calculates the marginal contribution of the index of scientific and technological input in Colleges and universities, and provides a scientific policy basis for optimizing the allocation of resources. The results show that the marginal contribution of various input indicators to the different output indicators is significant. Therefore, the base areas are needed in the development of the University Science and technology in the region. In the actual situation, we should improve the science and technology input elements of universities with higher marginal contribution, adjust the structure of science and technology input, and optimize the allocation of science and technology resources.
【學位授予單位】：南京信息工程大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：G644

【引證文獻】

相關博士學位論文 前1條

1 范明;江蘇省高等教育與經(jīng)濟協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展研究[D];河海大學;2003年

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本文編號：2083573