本文選題：用電特性 + 市場分析預測�。� 參考：《電力系統(tǒng)保護與控制》2017年12期

【摘要】：基于大數(shù)據(jù)平臺模式下建立科學合理的電量分析預測管理辦法及分析預測模型具有重要意義。基于此,設計一種基于用電分析的配網(wǎng)用戶用電特性市場分析預測應用系統(tǒng)方案。給出了系統(tǒng)總體方案設計,包括系統(tǒng)總體架構(gòu)、技術(shù)平臺架構(gòu)和大數(shù)據(jù)分析方法。其次,重點對系統(tǒng)功能架構(gòu)、源數(shù)據(jù)平臺層、大數(shù)據(jù)計算平臺、系統(tǒng)接口和安全管理進行了方案設計,給出了設計應遵循的原則和技術(shù)實現(xiàn)方式。最后,應用系統(tǒng)設計方案中的電力相似月法模型,以廣東某市2000~2008年歷史用電量數(shù)據(jù)為基礎,進行了實例分析。所設計的應用系統(tǒng)方案,具備對用電市場數(shù)據(jù)進行深入分析、挖掘的能力,科學預測的能力及提高全局用電市場分析的管理能力,為用電市場的營銷服務策略制定提供支撐與保證。
[Abstract]:It is of great significance to establish scientific and reasonable management method and model of electricity quantity analysis and prediction based on big data platform. Based on this, an application system for market analysis and prediction of power consumption characteristics of distribution network users is designed. The overall scheme design of the system is given, including the system architecture, technical platform architecture and big data analysis method. Secondly, the system function structure, source data platform layer, big data computing platform, system interface and security management are designed. Finally, based on the historical data of electricity consumption from 2000 to 2008 in a certain city in Guangdong province, an example is analyzed by using the similar monthly model of electric power in the design scheme of the system. The designed application system has the ability to analyze and excavate the power market data, to predict scientifically and to improve the management ability of the overall power market analysis. Provide support and guarantee for the marketing service strategy of electricity market.
【作者單位】： 廣東電網(wǎng)有限責任公司東莞供電局;
【基金】：中國南方電網(wǎng)科技項目資助(GDKJ00000052)~~
【分類號】：TM73;TP311.52

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本文編號：1802317