配網(wǎng)用戶(hù)用電特性市場(chǎng)分析預(yù)測(cè)應(yīng)用系統(tǒng)方案設(shè)計(jì)
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-25 17:40
本文選題:用電特性 + 市場(chǎng)分析預(yù)測(cè) ; 參考:《電力系統(tǒng)保護(hù)與控制》2017年12期
【摘要】:基于大數(shù)據(jù)平臺(tái)模式下建立科學(xué)合理的電量分析預(yù)測(cè)管理辦法及分析預(yù)測(cè)模型具有重要意義;诖,設(shè)計(jì)一種基于用電分析的配網(wǎng)用戶(hù)用電特性市場(chǎng)分析預(yù)測(cè)應(yīng)用系統(tǒng)方案。給出了系統(tǒng)總體方案設(shè)計(jì),包括系統(tǒng)總體架構(gòu)、技術(shù)平臺(tái)架構(gòu)和大數(shù)據(jù)分析方法。其次,重點(diǎn)對(duì)系統(tǒng)功能架構(gòu)、源數(shù)據(jù)平臺(tái)層、大數(shù)據(jù)計(jì)算平臺(tái)、系統(tǒng)接口和安全管理進(jìn)行了方案設(shè)計(jì),給出了設(shè)計(jì)應(yīng)遵循的原則和技術(shù)實(shí)現(xiàn)方式。最后,應(yīng)用系統(tǒng)設(shè)計(jì)方案中的電力相似月法模型,以廣東某市2000~2008年歷史用電量數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ),進(jìn)行了實(shí)例分析。所設(shè)計(jì)的應(yīng)用系統(tǒng)方案,具備對(duì)用電市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行深入分析、挖掘的能力,科學(xué)預(yù)測(cè)的能力及提高全局用電市場(chǎng)分析的管理能力,為用電市場(chǎng)的營(yíng)銷(xiāo)服務(wù)策略制定提供支撐與保證。
[Abstract]:It is of great significance to establish scientific and reasonable management method and model of electricity quantity analysis and prediction based on big data platform. Based on this, an application system for market analysis and prediction of power consumption characteristics of distribution network users is designed. The overall scheme design of the system is given, including the system architecture, technical platform architecture and big data analysis method. Secondly, the system function structure, source data platform layer, big data computing platform, system interface and security management are designed. Finally, based on the historical data of electricity consumption from 2000 to 2008 in a certain city in Guangdong province, an example is analyzed by using the similar monthly model of electric power in the design scheme of the system. The designed application system has the ability to analyze and excavate the power market data, to predict scientifically and to improve the management ability of the overall power market analysis. Provide support and guarantee for the marketing service strategy of electricity market.
【作者單位】: 廣東電網(wǎng)有限責(zé)任公司東莞供電局;
【基金】:中國(guó)南方電網(wǎng)科技項(xiàng)目資助(GDKJ00000052)~~
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:TM73;TP311.52
【相似文獻(xiàn)】
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1 鄭祥華,羅擁軍,陳?ài)?住宅小區(qū)用電特性分析及思考[J];農(nóng)村電工;2000年06期
2 孫云勇,錢(qián)紋,梁永,曹世斌;紅河州的用電特性分析[J];云南電力技術(shù);2003年02期
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