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我國(guó)區(qū)域電力競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2019-06-17 16:12
【摘要】:電力行業(yè)是國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的基礎(chǔ)能源產(chǎn)業(yè),支撐國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)各個(gè)產(chǎn)業(yè)的健康發(fā)展,同時(shí)也有利于人民群眾生活水平的提高,在國(guó)民社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)中占據(jù)著舉足輕重的地位。2011年,金融海嘯的負(fù)面影響?yīng)q存,不過(guò)電力行業(yè)已經(jīng)走出低谷,正在步入新的發(fā)展周期;與此同時(shí),隨著我國(guó)進(jìn)一步深化電力體制改革,競(jìng)爭(zhēng)態(tài)勢(shì)在我國(guó)的電力行業(yè)發(fā)電領(lǐng)域已經(jīng)開(kāi)始形成,供電領(lǐng)域也引入了競(jìng)爭(zhēng)機(jī)制;另外,我國(guó)電力行業(yè)技術(shù)水平得到迅速的提高,輸配電領(lǐng)域的技術(shù)也隨著得到很快的提高。 文章以競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的視角通過(guò)指標(biāo)評(píng)價(jià)方法、多元統(tǒng)計(jì)分析方法的因子分析和聚類(lèi)分析來(lái)研究我國(guó)電力競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力、我國(guó)電力格局特點(diǎn)和電力產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,希望對(duì)我國(guó)的電力產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展,提出一些具有針對(duì)性的參考意見(jiàn)和建議。具體地來(lái)說(shuō),首先在競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力評(píng)價(jià)理論的基礎(chǔ)上,通過(guò)構(gòu)建指標(biāo)體系平均得出31個(gè)地區(qū)總指數(shù)及綜合排名。然后通過(guò)因子分析從電力建設(shè)投入、電力生產(chǎn)和電力消費(fèi)以及綠色能源四方面出發(fā),得到2001年到2011年11年的綜合排名結(jié)果,并對(duì)兩種排名進(jìn)行了對(duì)比分析解釋,并在此基礎(chǔ)上作出聚類(lèi)分析。 研究結(jié)果表明,首先就全國(guó)電力產(chǎn)業(yè)格局來(lái)說(shuō),我國(guó)電力供不應(yīng)求,長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)在部分地區(qū)部分時(shí)段會(huì)出現(xiàn)電力緊張的局面。其次,我國(guó)電力資源分布不均勻,因而存在大范圍長(zhǎng)距離的電力調(diào)度。最后,我國(guó)發(fā)電無(wú)論是電力生產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu)還是電力消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu),都過(guò)分依賴于火力發(fā)電。為了實(shí)現(xiàn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展以及加快建設(shè)“美麗中國(guó)”的步伐,選擇綠色能源作為電力生產(chǎn)的途徑,是實(shí)現(xiàn)我國(guó)電力產(chǎn)業(yè)不斷發(fā)展的必然趨勢(shì)。
[Abstract]:The electric power industry is the basic energy industry of the national economy, which supports the healthy development of various industries of the national economy, and is also conducive to the improvement of the living standards of the people, and occupies an important position in the national social economy. In 2011, the negative impact of the financial tsunami still exists, but the electric power industry has come out of the trough and is entering a new development cycle. At the same time, with the further deepening of the reform of the power system in our country, the competition situation has begun to form in the field of power generation in our country, and the competition mechanism has also been introduced in the field of power supply. In addition, the technical level of the power industry in our country has been rapidly improved, and the technology in the field of transmission and distribution has also been rapidly improved. From the perspective of competitiveness, this paper studies the competitiveness of electric power in China, the characteristics of electric power pattern and the present situation of electric power industry development in China through factor analysis and cluster analysis of index evaluation method, multivariate statistical analysis method, and hopes to put forward some targeted reference opinions and suggestions for the development of electric power industry in China. Specifically, first of all, on the basis of competitiveness evaluation theory, the average total index and comprehensive ranking of 31 regions are obtained by constructing the index system. Then, through factor analysis, the comprehensive ranking results from 2001 to 2011 are obtained from four aspects: power construction input, power production and power consumption, and the two rankings are compared and explained, and on this basis, cluster analysis is made. The results show that, first of all, as far as the national power industry pattern is concerned, the power supply in China is in short supply, and there will be electricity shortage in some areas for a long time. Secondly, the distribution of power resources in China is uneven, so there is a wide range of long-distance power dispatching. Finally, both power production structure and power consumption structure in China rely too much on thermal power generation. In order to realize the sustainable development of China's economy and society and speed up the pace of building "beautiful China", the choice of green energy as the way of electric power production is the inevitable trend to realize the continuous development of China's electric power industry.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F426.61;F224

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