發(fā)布時間：2019-06-15 12:44

【摘要】：通過對中國1985~2010年的工業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)中國工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)生了較大的變化,結(jié)構(gòu)升級效應(yīng)十分顯著;隨后在VAR模型的基礎(chǔ)上,運(yùn)用協(xié)整分析、誤差修正模型、脈沖響應(yīng)和方差分解計量方法發(fā)現(xiàn),長期內(nèi)技術(shù)吸收能力、制度變遷和FDI都對工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化與升級起到促進(jìn)作用,四者之間存在長期穩(wěn)定的均衡關(guān)系,且有效的制度變遷是工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與升級的原因,不僅存在短期水平效應(yīng),而且也存在長期增長效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:Through the analysis of industrial data from 1985 to 2010 in China, it is found that great changes have taken place in China's industrial structure, and the effect of structural upgrading is very significant. Then, on the basis of VAR model, using cointegration analysis, error correction model, impulse response and variance decomposition measurement methods, it is found that technology absorption capacity, institutional change and FDI all play an important role in promoting the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure in the long run. There is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship among the four, and the effective institutional change is the cause of industrial structure adjustment and upgrading, which not only has short-term horizontal effect. And there is also a long-term growth effect.
【作者單位】： 南京大學(xué);中共河池市委黨校;
【基金】：國家社會科學(xué)基金重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目(項(xiàng)目編號:11AJL003)
【分類號】：F424

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本文編號：2500214