【摘要】：火電是中國(guó)電力的重要支柱之一,火力發(fā)電在中國(guó)電力市場(chǎng)占有很大的比例,隨著人們對(duì)國(guó)際全球變暖、環(huán)境污染等問題的不斷關(guān)注和各種新能源的不斷發(fā)展,越來越多地要求我們對(duì)火電建設(shè)項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行科學(xué)充分的經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)。火電建設(shè)項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)主要包括財(cái)務(wù)評(píng)價(jià)、國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)及不確定分析三個(gè)方面。影響火電建設(shè)項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)的因素主要分為：組織管理類因素、規(guī)劃決策類因素、政策性因素、技術(shù)類因素和其它因素。 本文首先闡述了火電建設(shè)經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)的概念和相關(guān)原理,在綜合考慮經(jīng)濟(jì)、環(huán)境、能源結(jié)構(gòu)等方面因素的前提下,通過可靠的經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)數(shù)據(jù)和科學(xué)的分析方法,從國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)、財(cái)務(wù)評(píng)價(jià)及不確定性分析等方面對(duì)擬建項(xiàng)目的財(cái)務(wù)可行性及經(jīng)濟(jì)合理性進(jìn)行分析。運(yùn)用歸納方法,依據(jù)國(guó)家現(xiàn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)規(guī)范,結(jié)合火力發(fā)電工程投資特點(diǎn),研究得出影響其經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)的關(guān)鍵因素并運(yùn)用層次分析方法得出各種因素之間的重要性,同時(shí)以實(shí)證分析的方式,選取代表性的關(guān)鍵因素(技術(shù)因素、政策因素等),對(duì)關(guān)鍵因素變化之于火電建設(shè)項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)產(chǎn)生的影響進(jìn)行分析,旨在對(duì)火電建設(shè)項(xiàng)目日后的發(fā)展及生產(chǎn)提出參考意見,避免造成資產(chǎn)浪費(fèi),從而達(dá)到合理利用資源的目的。
[Abstract]:Thermal power is one of the important pillars of China's electric power, and thermal power generation accounts for a large proportion of China's electricity market. With the constant concern about international global warming, environmental pollution and other issues, and the continuous development of various new energy sources, More and more, we are required to carry on the scientific and full economic evaluation to the thermal power construction project. Economic evaluation of thermal power construction projects mainly includes financial evaluation, national economic evaluation and uncertainty analysis. The main factors influencing the economic evaluation of thermal power construction projects are organization and management, planning and decision-making, policy-making, technology and other factors. In this paper, the concept and related principles of economic evaluation of thermal power construction are first expounded. On the premise of comprehensive consideration of economic, environmental, energy structure and other factors, through reliable economic evaluation data and scientific analysis methods, the economic evaluation is based on the national economy. The financial feasibility and economic rationality of the proposed project are analyzed in the aspects of financial evaluation and uncertainty analysis. Using the inductive method, according to the current national economic evaluation norms, combined with the investment characteristics of thermal power project, the key factors affecting its economic evaluation are studied, and the importance of various factors is obtained by using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method. At the same time, by the way of empirical analysis, the representative key factors (technical factors, policy factors, etc.) are selected to analyze the impact of the changes of key factors on the economic evaluation of thermal power construction projects. The purpose of this paper is to put forward some suggestions on the future development and production of thermal power construction projects, so as to avoid the waste of assets and achieve the purpose of rational utilization of resources.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F426.61

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