本文選題：風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈 + 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理�。� 參考：《華北電力大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著全球能源危機(jī)加劇、環(huán)境問題凸顯,世界各國紛紛進(jìn)行能源戰(zhàn)略調(diào)整。風(fēng)電作為清潔、高效的可再生能源,成為我國實(shí)施可再生能源戰(zhàn)略的支柱性能源,獲得了廣闊的發(fā)展空間與市場前景。《能源發(fā)展十二五規(guī)劃》的出臺(tái)將推動(dòng)我國風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展更上一個(gè)新的臺(tái)階。我國風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)在迅速發(fā)展的過程中,風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈各環(huán)節(jié)問題逐漸顯現(xiàn)。公共服務(wù)體系不完善、風(fēng)電設(shè)備制造環(huán)節(jié)出現(xiàn)結(jié)構(gòu)性產(chǎn)能過剩、風(fēng)電設(shè)備研發(fā)設(shè)計(jì)能力不足、風(fēng)電場開發(fā)與電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃不一致、風(fēng)電上網(wǎng)技術(shù)不足等問題在不同程度上制約了我國風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)進(jìn)一步發(fā)展。 本文首先分析了我國風(fēng)電發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀和發(fā)展趨勢,構(gòu)建了中國風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈結(jié)構(gòu)模型。其次,借鑒供應(yīng)鏈運(yùn)作參考模型(SCOR模型),結(jié)合我國風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈特點(diǎn),從產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈外部環(huán)境、產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈模塊、產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈業(yè)務(wù)流程三個(gè)層次對(duì)我國風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)分析,并建立中國風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系。再次,在定性分析的基礎(chǔ)上利用層次分析法(AHP)確定指標(biāo)權(quán)重,建立多層次模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)(FCE)模型,對(duì)風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈各環(huán)節(jié)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行量化評(píng)價(jià),通過定性和定量評(píng)價(jià)方法的結(jié)合,對(duì)我國風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行綜合評(píng)估。最后,建立風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制體系框架,根據(jù)不同風(fēng)險(xiǎn)類型提出相應(yīng)的控制策略。 本文對(duì)于研究中國風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展和風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)防及管理具有一定的參考意義。
[Abstract]:With the aggravation of global energy crisis and environmental problems, countries all over the world adjust their energy strategy one after another. Wind power, as a clean and efficient renewable energy, has become the pillar energy for our country to implement the renewable energy strategy. The introduction of the 12th Five-Year Plan of Energy Development will promote the development of wind power industry in China to a new level. In the process of rapid development of wind power industry in our country, every link problem of wind power industry chain appears gradually. The public service system is not perfect, there is structural overcapacity in the manufacturing of wind power equipment, the R & D and design capacity of wind power equipment is insufficient, and the development of wind farm is inconsistent with the power network planning. The lack of wind power technology restricts the further development of wind power industry in China. This paper first analyzes the current situation and development trend of wind power in China, and constructs the structure model of wind power industry chain in China. Secondly, referring to the supply chain operation reference model (SCOR model), combined with the characteristics of wind power industry chain in China, the risk factors of wind power industry chain in China are analyzed in detail from three levels: the external environment of industry chain, the module of industry chain and the business process of industry chain. And establish China wind power industry chain risk evaluation index system. Thirdly, on the basis of qualitative analysis, the index weight is determined by AHP, and the multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) model is established to evaluate the risk of every link of wind power industry chain quantitatively, through the combination of qualitative and quantitative evaluation methods. This paper evaluates the risk of wind power industry chain in China. Finally, the framework of risk control system is established, and corresponding control strategies are put forward according to different risk types. This paper has some reference significance to study the development of wind power industry and risk prevention and management of wind power industry chain in China.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F426.61

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本文編號(hào)：2057719