【摘要】：全球金融危機的爆發(fā),顯現(xiàn)了以美元為中心的現(xiàn)行國際貨幣體系的弊端,國際貨幣多元化是國際貨幣體系的發(fā)展方向。在傳統(tǒng)的國際貨幣體系下,大多數(shù)發(fā)展中國家因缺少自己的貨幣錨而無力維持國內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟的穩(wěn)定。因此,對發(fā)展中國家來說提升發(fā)展中國家在國際貨幣體系中的地位,完善國際貨幣體系迫在眉睫。金融危機恢復(fù)期間,人民幣穩(wěn)定的購買力為穩(wěn)定亞洲及東南亞經(jīng)濟起到了不可低估的貢獻,這使得人民幣國際化的呼聲越發(fā)高漲。人民幣實現(xiàn)區(qū)域化是國際化進程中的重要戰(zhàn)略步驟,中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)作為我國建立最早、進展最快、效果最實的自貿(mào)區(qū),現(xiàn)階段人民幣在東盟地區(qū)實現(xiàn)區(qū)域化的條件日漸成熟。研究中國-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)框架下的人民幣區(qū)域化影響因素,對繼續(xù)推動區(qū)域內(nèi)或其他區(qū)域人民幣區(qū)域化具有戰(zhàn)略現(xiàn)實意義。本文從市場驅(qū)動及戰(zhàn)略驅(qū)動角度,從中國經(jīng)濟實力、貿(mào)易發(fā)展情況、金融市場發(fā)展、人民幣價值穩(wěn)定、“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略的實施以及亞投行的成立等方面分析了其對人民幣區(qū)域化的影響,在分析各因素發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上提出了進一步推進中國-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)框架下人民幣區(qū)域化的建議,得出結(jié)論：(1)我國經(jīng)濟實力的迅猛發(fā)展是實現(xiàn)區(qū)域化的前提條件,應(yīng)繼續(xù)轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟發(fā)展模式,支撐本國經(jīng)濟的可持續(xù)增長；(2)我國與東盟貿(mào)易規(guī)模的不斷的擴大及東盟國家對我國的貿(mào)易依存度的不斷提升為人民幣在東盟實現(xiàn)區(qū)域化奠定了堅實的基礎(chǔ),應(yīng)繼續(xù)完善貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu),擴大貿(mào)易規(guī)模；(3)貿(mào)易逆差對人民幣區(qū)域化有推動作用,我國應(yīng)擴大從東盟的貿(mào)易進口,扭轉(zhuǎn)貿(mào)易順差；(4)我國目前的貿(mào)易發(fā)展初見成效,但金融發(fā)展相對滯后,應(yīng)該積極加快金融體系調(diào)整,繼續(xù)發(fā)展新加坡人民幣離岸金融中心、漸進有序開放資本賬戶、擴寬海外人民幣的投融資渠道,為人民幣在東盟區(qū)域化開拓渠道；(5)人民幣對內(nèi)幣值穩(wěn)定不足,通脹問題比較嚴重,應(yīng)擴大內(nèi)需,積極維持幣值穩(wěn)定,解決民生問題；(6)“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略的推進和中國在亞投行話語權(quán)提升為人民幣區(qū)域化提供了新的動力與保障。
[Abstract]:With the outbreak of the global financial crisis, the malpractice of the current international monetary system centered on the US dollar has been revealed, and the diversification of the international currency is the development direction of the international monetary system. Under the traditional international monetary system, most developing countries are unable to maintain the stability of their domestic and foreign economies due to the lack of their own currency anchor. Therefore, it is urgent for developing countries to improve their position in the international monetary system. During the recovery of the financial crisis, the stable purchasing power of the RMB played an important role in stabilizing the economies of Asia and Southeast Asia, which made the calls for the internationalization of the yuan more and more strong. The regionalization of RMB is an important strategic step in the process of internationalization. China-ASEAN Free Trade area (CAFTA) is the earliest, fastest and most effective free trade zone in China. At present, the condition of RMB regionalization in ASEAN area is maturing day by day. It is of strategic practical significance to study the influencing factors of RMB regionalization in the framework of China-ASEAN Free Trade area. From the angle of market driving and strategic driving, this paper discusses the economic strength, the development of trade, the development of financial market, and the stability of RMB value. The implementation of "Belt and Road" strategy and the establishment of the AIIB are analyzed in terms of its impact on the regionalization of the RMB. On the basis of analyzing the current situation of the development of various factors, this paper puts forward some suggestions for further promoting the regionalization of RMB under the framework of China-ASEAN Free Trade area, and draws the following conclusions: (1) the rapid development of China's economic strength is the prerequisite for realizing regionalization. We should continue to transform the pattern of economic development and support the sustainable growth of our economy; (2) the continuous expansion of trade scale between China and ASEAN and the increasing degree of trade dependence of ASEAN countries have laid a solid foundation for the RMB to realize regionalization in ASEAN, and should continue to perfect the trade structure and expand the scale of trade; (3) the trade deficit promotes the regionalization of RMB, China should enlarge the trade import from ASEAN and reverse the trade surplus; (4) China's current trade development is beginning to show results, but the financial development is relatively lagging behind. We should actively speed up the adjustment of the financial system, continue to develop the Singapore RMB offshore financial center, and gradually open the capital account in an orderly manner. Broaden the overseas RMB investment and financing channels, for the RMB in ASEAN regionalization channels; (5) the domestic currency value of RMB is not stable enough, the inflation problem is serious, we should expand domestic demand, actively maintain currency stability, and solve the livelihood problem; (6) the promotion of Belt and Road's strategy and the promotion of China's voice in the AIIB provide new impetus and guarantee for RMB regionalization.
【學位授予單位】：東北師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F832.6

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前7條

1 蔣序懷;;基于人民幣國際化視角的亞投行(AIIB)與東亞貨幣金融合作[J];學術(shù)研究;2015年07期

2 馬廣奇;李潔;;“一帶一路”建設(shè)中人民幣區(qū)域化問題研究[J];經(jīng)濟縱橫;2015年06期

3 陳建奇;張岸元;;人民幣國際化研究文獻綜述[J];經(jīng)濟研究參考;2014年06期

4 楊榮海;;貨幣國際化與股票市場發(fā)展關(guān)系的實證分析[J];首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學學報;2012年04期

5 元惠萍;;國際貨幣地位的影響因素分析[J];數(shù)量經(jīng)濟技術(shù)經(jīng)濟研究;2011年02期

6 陳衛(wèi)東;李建軍;;日元國際化過程中值得關(guān)注的若干問題——兼論一國貨幣國際化的基本條件與模式[J];國際金融研究;2010年06期

7 商務(wù)部計財司、國務(wù)院發(fā)展研究中心"人民幣區(qū)域化與邊境貿(mào)易發(fā)展政策研究"課題組;陳星;隆國強;張麗平;;開拓正規(guī)金融渠道——人民幣區(qū)域化發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀研究[J];國際貿(mào)易;2003年05期

相關(guān)博士學位論文 前1條

1 姚曉東;基于國際貨幣合作視角的人民幣區(qū)域化路徑研究[D];天津財經(jīng)大學;2011年

相關(guān)碩士學位論文 前3條

1 王帥;人民幣在東盟區(qū)域化的可行性及路徑研究[D];河北大學;2014年

2 祖雯婷;人民幣國際化程度及影響因素的統(tǒng)計分析[D];遼寧大學;2014年

3 李淑;中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)（CAFTA）框架下人民幣區(qū)域化研究[D];西南財經(jīng)大學;2012年

，

本文編號：2427223