人民幣國(guó)際化成本收益分析
[Abstract]:Since the financial crisis broke out in 2008, China's economy has been affected to a certain extent. Sixty percent of China's foreign exchange reserves are in dollars, and the depreciation of the dollar sharply shrinks China's foreign exchange reserves. At the same time, China has also taken some positive measures to deal with the crisis, conducted RMB trade settlement pilot and actively carried out currency swap cooperation with other countries in the world, which has boosted the confidence of all countries in the world. It can be said that the financial crisis also provides a certain opportunity for the internationalization of RMB. Against this background, RMB internationalization is very necessary, and China already has some necessary conditions for RMB internationalization. But RMB internationalization has certain costs and benefits, in order to facilitate comparison, this paper studies the cost and benefit of RMB internationalization. First, the literature review part. This paper mainly introduces the definition of currency internationalization, the cost, benefit, and the cost and income of RMB internationalization. Then the current situation of RMB internationalization is analyzed qualitatively and quantitatively. Secondly, taking the cost and income of RMB internationalization as the two main lines, the paper qualitatively and quantitatively analyzes the cost and benefit of RMB internationalization. In content, the cost of RMB internationalization is summarized as follows: falling into the "ternary paradox"; facing the "Triffin problem"; the risk of RMB internationalization reversal; the risk of currency substitution; the threat to the stability of domestic finance and economy. The income of RMB internationalization is divided into two parts: measurable income and non-measurable income. Among them, the measurable income mainly includes the international seigniorage income and the financial net income generated by the investment of RMB reserve assets abroad. According to the calculation of this paper, the actual international seigniorage income in 2011 is 83.734 billion yuan. According to the import growth rate, we can calculate that the real income of RMB internationalization by 2020 is 1.30344 trillion yuan, and the income is considerable. The non-quantifiable benefits mainly include: enhancing international status, obtaining foreign exchange reserve income, perfecting the international monetary system, promoting the development of financial market and promoting international trade and foreign investment. Finally, according to the comparison of the cost and income of RMB internationalization, it is concluded that the benefit of RMB internationalization is greater than the cost. And put forward some countermeasures and suggestions to promote the process of RMB internationalization.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F832.6
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