外商在華直接投資對中美貿易不平衡影響的研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-08-08 14:39
【摘要】：改革開放以來,中美雙邊貿易迅速發(fā)展,尤其是中國加入WTO后,中美雙邊貿易規(guī)模越來越大,貿易范圍越來越廣,與此同時中國對美貿易順差也越來越大。雖然2008年爆發(fā)的全球性金融危機使中美進出口貿易額有所減少,中美貿易差額相對縮小,但中美貿易仍呈上升趨勢,中美貿易差額也越來越大。在中美貿易迅速發(fā)展的同時,外商在華直接投資規(guī)模越來越大,投資范圍越來越廣泛。根據(jù)國際直接投資和國際貿易關系的理論,國際直接投資和貿易之間存在著互補或替代的關系,那么外商在華直接投資和中美貿易之間也必然會存在一定的關系。因此,分析外商在華直接投資是如何影響中美貿易不平衡,對于緩解中美貿易不平衡,促進中美貿易健康發(fā)展,有著十分重要的現(xiàn)實意義。 本研究首先回顧了國際直接投資和國際貿易關系的相關理論和研究成果,并在此基礎上分析資本能自由流動時,貿易國雙方的貿易模式,為本文的研究奠定理論基礎。之后運用實證分析方法,檢驗外商在華直接投資和中美貿易之間的相關性,并用格蘭杰因果關系檢驗二者之間的因果關系。 之后,在實證檢驗的基礎上,分別從外商在華投資的規(guī)模、行業(yè)結構及投資來源地的角度詳細分析外商在華直接投資是如何影響中美貿易不平衡的。最后,提出緩解中美貿易不平衡的相關政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, bilateral trade between China and the United States has developed rapidly, especially after China's entry into WTO, the scale of bilateral trade between China and the United States has become larger and wider, and the trade surplus between China and the United States has also become larger and larger. Although the global financial crisis broke out in 2008, Sino-US trade volume and trade balance between China and the United States have been reduced, but Sino-US trade still shows an upward trend, and the Sino-US trade balance is also increasing. With the rapid development of Sino-American trade, foreign direct investment in China is becoming larger and wider. According to the theory of international direct investment and international trade relations, there is a complementary or substitute relationship between international direct investment and trade, so there is bound to be a certain relationship between foreign direct investment in China and Sino-US trade. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to analyze how foreign direct investment in China affects the trade imbalance between China and the United States, which can alleviate the trade imbalance between China and the United States and promote the healthy development of Sino-US trade. This study first reviews the relevant theories and research results of international direct investment and international trade relations, and on this basis analyzes the trade patterns of trading countries when capital can flow freely, thus laying a theoretical foundation for this study. Then we use the empirical analysis method to test the correlation between foreign direct investment and Sino-US trade, and use Granger causality to test the causality between them. Then, on the basis of empirical test, this paper analyzes in detail how foreign direct investment in China affects the trade imbalance between China and the United States from the perspective of the scale of foreign investment in China, the industry structure and the source of investment. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions to alleviate the trade imbalance between China and the United States.
【學位授予單位】：西南交通大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F832.6;F752.7
本文編號：2172102
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, bilateral trade between China and the United States has developed rapidly, especially after China's entry into WTO, the scale of bilateral trade between China and the United States has become larger and wider, and the trade surplus between China and the United States has also become larger and larger. Although the global financial crisis broke out in 2008, Sino-US trade volume and trade balance between China and the United States have been reduced, but Sino-US trade still shows an upward trend, and the Sino-US trade balance is also increasing. With the rapid development of Sino-American trade, foreign direct investment in China is becoming larger and wider. According to the theory of international direct investment and international trade relations, there is a complementary or substitute relationship between international direct investment and trade, so there is bound to be a certain relationship between foreign direct investment in China and Sino-US trade. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to analyze how foreign direct investment in China affects the trade imbalance between China and the United States, which can alleviate the trade imbalance between China and the United States and promote the healthy development of Sino-US trade. This study first reviews the relevant theories and research results of international direct investment and international trade relations, and on this basis analyzes the trade patterns of trading countries when capital can flow freely, thus laying a theoretical foundation for this study. Then we use the empirical analysis method to test the correlation between foreign direct investment and Sino-US trade, and use Granger causality to test the causality between them. Then, on the basis of empirical test, this paper analyzes in detail how foreign direct investment in China affects the trade imbalance between China and the United States from the perspective of the scale of foreign investment in China, the industry structure and the source of investment. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions to alleviate the trade imbalance between China and the United States.
【學位授予單位】：西南交通大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F832.6;F752.7
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，本文編號：2172102
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