社會融資規(guī)模與GDP增速偏離的經(jīng)濟學闡釋——基于江蘇省數(shù)據(jù)
發(fā)布時間:2018-06-16 02:02
本文選題:社會融資規(guī)模 + GDP增速; 參考:《地方財政研究》2014年12期
【摘要】:2013年以來,社會融資規(guī)模與GDP增速偏離的現(xiàn)象引發(fā)了決策層和學術(shù)界的廣泛關(guān)注。與以往社會融資規(guī)模迅速增長后,GDP增速總存在小幅上升不同,此次則表現(xiàn)為社會融資規(guī)模增速擴大后,GDP持續(xù)保持下降趨勢。本文認為此次偏離是在中國經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展的新時期,各種結(jié)構(gòu)性和周期性力量相互作用基礎(chǔ)上,周期性因素、結(jié)構(gòu)性因素、存量周轉(zhuǎn)因素、漏損因素以及統(tǒng)計技術(shù)因素等五個方面共同作用的結(jié)果,應該從加強宏觀審慎監(jiān)管、推進金融市場化改革、發(fā)展普惠金融以及完善相關(guān)統(tǒng)計制度等多方面采取有針對性措施,以進一步提升宏觀調(diào)控效果和經(jīng)濟發(fā)展質(zhì)量。
[Abstract]:Since 2013, the deviation between the scale of social financing and GDP growth has aroused widespread concern among policy makers and academics. The GDP growth rate is different from that in the past after the rapid growth of social financing scale, but this time it shows that the GDP continues to decline after the expansion of social financing scale growth. This paper holds that this deviation is based on the interaction of various structural and cyclical forces in the new period of China's economic transformation and development, cyclical factors, structural factors, stock turnover factors. As a result of the combined action of leakage factors and statistical technical factors, we should take targeted measures from many aspects, such as strengthening macro-prudential supervision, promoting financial marketization reform, developing inclusive finance and perfecting related statistical systems, etc. In order to further improve the macroeconomic control effect and the quality of economic development.
【作者單位】: 中國人民銀行南京分行;
【分類號】:F832.5;F127
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本文編號:2024706
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