發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-20 15:45

  本文選題：G-匯率波動(dòng)　切入點(diǎn)：進(jìn)口商品價(jià)格　出處：《山東社會(huì)科學(xué)》2011年10期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：穩(wěn)定的G-3匯率對(duì)發(fā)展中國(guó)家意味著更加穩(wěn)定的貿(mào)易條件。如果G-3匯率頻繁波動(dòng),將會(huì)降低發(fā)展中國(guó)家和地區(qū)投資者信心,引發(fā)國(guó)內(nèi)通貨膨脹,降低該國(guó)的國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。作為發(fā)展中國(guó)家的中國(guó),自2005年匯率制度改革、人民幣名義匯率逐步上升以來,大量外匯不斷涌入,不僅提高了出口商品的價(jià)格,降低了出口企業(yè)的國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力,而且助推了國(guó)內(nèi)通貨膨脹。本文基于真實(shí)匯率增長(zhǎng)率標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差的匯率波動(dòng)測(cè)度模型,計(jì)算出G-3匯率波動(dòng)對(duì)中國(guó)進(jìn)口商品和國(guó)內(nèi)物價(jià)的影響。結(jié)果表明:日元/美元匯率波動(dòng)對(duì)中國(guó)進(jìn)口商品價(jià)格和國(guó)內(nèi)物價(jià)水平均存在顯著影響,而歐元/美元匯率波動(dòng)對(duì)中國(guó)商品價(jià)格的影響并不顯著。
[Abstract]:A stable G-3 exchange rate means more stable terms of trade for developing countries. If the G-3 exchange rate fluctuates frequently, it will reduce investor confidence in developing countries and regions and trigger domestic inflation. Reducing the country's international competitiveness. As a developing country, since the exchange rate reform in 2005 and the gradual rise in the nominal exchange rate of the RMB, a large amount of foreign exchange has been pouring in, which has not only raised the prices of export commodities, It reduces the international competitiveness of export enterprises and boosts domestic inflation. This paper is based on the measurement model of exchange rate fluctuation based on the standard deviation of real exchange rate growth rate. The effect of G-3 exchange rate fluctuation on China's import commodities and domestic prices is calculated. The results show that the fluctuation of yen / US dollar exchange rate has a significant effect on both the price of imported goods and the domestic price level of China. But the euro / dollar exchange rate fluctuation to the Chinese commodity price influence is not remarkable.
【作者單位】： 濟(jì)南大學(xué);山東理工大學(xué);
【基金】：國(guó)家社科基金一般項(xiàng)目(項(xiàng)目編號(hào):09BJL044)的部分成果
【分類號(hào)】：F832.6;F752.62;F224

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本文編號(hào)：1639743