本文選題：扒竊　切入點(diǎn)：日�；顒�(dòng)理論　出處：《地理學(xué)報(bào)》2017年02期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：扒竊現(xiàn)象與居民的日�；顒�(dòng)有較強(qiáng)的關(guān)系,已有文獻(xiàn)研究了不同活動(dòng)場(chǎng)所對(duì)扒竊的影響,但鮮有考慮不同類型居民活動(dòng)出行量及其場(chǎng)所對(duì)扒竊影響的時(shí)間差異。本文基于日�；顒�(dòng)理論,以南方某大城市為例,以派出所為分析單元,利用居民入戶調(diào)查問(wèn)卷、興趣點(diǎn)(Point of Interest,POI)、扒竊報(bào)警數(shù)據(jù),檢驗(yàn)不同類型活動(dòng)出行量與扒竊的時(shí)間相關(guān)性,并劃分時(shí)間段,建立多個(gè)空間滯后負(fù)二項(xiàng)回歸模型分析不同時(shí)段居民日�；顒�(dòng)對(duì)應(yīng)場(chǎng)所與扒竊的關(guān)系。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),扒竊警情存在明顯的時(shí)空集聚性,其中,凌晨和早上的集聚性最強(qiáng),白天和晚上相對(duì)較弱;不同類型的日�；顒�(dòng)對(duì)扒竊時(shí)空格局的作用存在差異。買(mǎi)菜活動(dòng)出行量與扒竊的時(shí)間變化存在正相關(guān)關(guān)系,買(mǎi)菜場(chǎng)所在凌晨和早上容易吸引扒竊者;購(gòu)物活動(dòng)與扒竊亦存在較強(qiáng)的時(shí)間正相關(guān),白天和晚上在購(gòu)物場(chǎng)所附近被盜的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)較高;外出吃飯的出行量與扒竊行為無(wú)直接關(guān)系,但在凌晨和早上餐館周邊容易吸引扒竊者;娛樂(lè)活動(dòng)與扒竊同樣存在較強(qiáng)的時(shí)間正相關(guān),不同類型的娛樂(lè)場(chǎng)所對(duì)扒竊的影響存在差異,電影院、酒吧在大部分時(shí)間段均會(huì)吸引犯罪者,凌晨時(shí)段KTV附近區(qū)域的被盜風(fēng)險(xiǎn)較高。場(chǎng)所對(duì)扒竊的影響主要與犯罪機(jī)會(huì)吸引(犯罪目標(biāo)的豐富性、暴露性)及場(chǎng)所自身屬性有關(guān)(是否為犯罪者的集聚地)。文中最后對(duì)時(shí)間地理學(xué)和犯罪地理學(xué)結(jié)合的可能性、研究的應(yīng)用意義等方面進(jìn)行了探討。
[Abstract]:The phenomenon of pickpocketing has a strong relationship with the daily activities of residents. The influence of different activity places on pickpocketing has been studied in the literature. However, it is rare to consider the time difference between different types of activities and the influence of the place on pickpocketing. Based on the theory of daily activities, this paper takes a large city in southern China as an example, takes the police station as an analysis unit, and makes use of the household questionnaire. Point of interest Point of InterestPoi, pickpocketing alarm data, to test the time correlation between different types of activity travel and pickpocketing, and divide the time period, A multiple spatial lag negative binomial regression model was established to analyze the relationship between the corresponding places of residents' daily activities and pickpocketing in different periods of time. It was found that the police situation of pickpocketing had obvious spatial and temporal agglomeration, among which, the concentration in the early morning and in the morning was the strongest. The effect of different types of daily activities on the spatial and temporal pattern of pickpocketing is different. There is a positive correlation between the amount of shopping activities and the time variation of pickpocketing, and pickpockets are easily attracted in the early morning and morning. There is also a strong correlation between shopping activities and pickpocketing, the risk of theft in the vicinity of shopping places is higher during the day and night, the amount of going out to eat is not directly related to pickpocketing, but it is easy to attract pickpockets in the early morning and around the restaurants in the morning. There is also a strong temporal correlation between entertainment and pickpocketing. Different types of entertainment have different effects on pickpocketing. Cinemas and bars attract offenders for most of the time. The risk of theft is high in the area near KTV in the early hours of the morning. The influence of the place on pickpocketing is mainly related to the attraction of the crime opportunity (the richness of the crime target, Finally, the possibility of the combination of temporal geography and criminal geography, and the application significance of the research are discussed.
【作者單位】： 中山大學(xué)地理科學(xué)與規(guī)劃學(xué)院綜合地理信息研究中心;廣東省城市化與地理環(huán)境空間模擬重點(diǎn)實(shí)驗(yàn)室;

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