乳腺癌新輔助化療療效相關(guān)因素的探索及療效預(yù)測模型的建立
[Abstract]:Background and purpose: anemia is a common malignant tumor complication. Previous studies suggest that anemia may be a predictor of adverse outcomes after chemotherapy for breast cancer. However, most studies focus on the relationship between anemia and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy outcomes. In this case, it is often difficult to evaluate the curative effect intuitively, and it is difficult to accurately evaluate anemia and chemotherapy. Correlation. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy, also known as preoperative chemotherapy, is an important treatment for breast cancer, which provides direct evidence for the effect of tumor chemotherapy in vivo. In the new adjuvant chemotherapy, it can better explore the true influence of anemia on the therapeutic effect of chemotherapy. Pre treatment anemia as a clinical factor on the pathological effect and long-term survival of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer, that is, to determine whether anemia is a predictive factor and prognostic factor for neoadjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer before treatment. Methods: This study included 655 patients with surgical or locally advanced breast cancer (stage II a- III C), all of which were 199 A new adjuvant chemotherapy with anthracycline combined paclitaxel regimen was accepted in our hospital from January to December 2011 9. The patients were divided into anemia group (Hb12.0g/dL) and non anemia group (Hb > 12.0g/dL) according to the pre treatment hemoglobin (hemoglobin, Hb) level. The main end point was complete pathological remission (pathological complete remission, pCR), and secondary end point. The study endpoint was relapse-free survival RFS, tumor specific survival (cancer-specific survival, CSS) and total survival (overall survival, OS). Compare the pCR rates of the anemia and non anemia groups, RFS, CSS, and other factors, and to determine whether various clinical factors including anemia were new adjuvant to breast cancer by multiple regression analysis. Prognostic factors and prognostic factors. Results: 166 people (25.3%) combined with anemia before treatment. The pCR rate in anemia group was significantly lower than non anemia group (5.4% vs.11.7%; p=0.024); pre treatment anemia was an independent predictor of pCR and was negatively correlated with pCR (OR 0.428,95% C10.198-0.927, p=0.031); baseline Hb level as a continuous variable and a new auxiliary There was no significant correlation between the curative effects of chemotherapy and chemotherapy (OR 1.007,95% CI 0.990-1.024, p=0.452); age (OR 4.805,95% CI 1.845-12.515, p=0.001) and ER expression were also independent predictors. Compared with the non anemia group, the 10 years of anemia group (59.1%, 66%, 90.9%) 001) and CSS (82.4% vs 94.4%, p0.001) decreased significantly. Multivariate analysis suggested that pre treatment anemia was an independent prognostic factor of RFS (HR 1.453,95% CI 1.077-1.962, p=0.015), OS (HR 2.873,95%, 2.961, 95%). It was found that CSS (HR 0.979,95% CI 0.961-0.997, p=0.021) and OS (HR 0.977,95% CI 0.962-0.992) were superior to those with low levels. The baseline level was also a prognostic factor for breast cancer. Conclusion: This study showed that anemia before treatment was negatively correlated with breast cancer neoadjuvant chemotherapy and anemia was a new supplement. The independent predictors for the therapeutic effect of chemotherapy, anemia before treatment are also significantly related to the long-term survival of breast cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Anemia is a bad prognostic factor for breast cancer. There are many adverse reactions to the treatment of anemia, and further optimization of anemia intervention should be made in the future in order to improve the incidence of anemia associated with breast cancer. Background and objective: neoadjuvant chemotherapy is an important treatment for local advanced breast cancer. In recent years, the application in early operable invasive breast cancer is increasing. The prognosis of patients with complete pathologic remission through neoadjuvant chemotherapy is better, and the patients who have no remission or even the progression of the disease after chemotherapy are born. Poor survival, so there is a need for a biomarker that can predict chemosensitivity to breast cancer to screen patients who may benefit from neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Circulating minute RNA (microRNA, miRNA) refers to the presence of miRNA in body fluids such as plasma and serum, to explore the diagnosis, prognosis, and monitoring of the tumor as a swelling tumor, and the study day of prognostic indicators. This study intends to dynamically monitor changes in plasma miRNA in breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy and explore the correlation between this dynamic change and efficacy in order to find molecular markers for early prediction of breast cancer sensitivity to neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Method: This study was based on a new contrast of different subtypes of breast cancer. A prospective clinical trial of chemotherapeutic regimens was carried out in 109 patients with surgical or locally advanced breast cancer, with 4-6 cycles of epirubicin combined with paclitaxel (ET) neoadjuvant chemotherapy in our hospital. According to the hormone receptor (hormone receptor, HR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, H) ER2) was divided into HR positive /HER2 negative, HER2 positive and three negative breast cancer (triple-negative breast cancer, TNBC) groups in each subgroup. The patients were studied in each subgroup. The patient baseline, 2 cycles of chemotherapy (C2) and preoperative peripheral blood specimens and plasma miRNA tests were carried out. The patients were divided into chemotherapeutic sensitivity according to the clinical effect. Complete / partial remission) and insensitivity (disease stability / progression). First, TaqMan miRNA chip detection was used to screen candidate miRNA for possible dynamic changes associated with chemosensitivity; miRNA was detected by real-time quantitative PCR in baseline, C2 and preoperative specimens, and the baseline /C2miRNA expression level was evaluated by logistic regression analysis. Results: chemosensitivity was predicted. Results: 31.2% (34/109) was not sensitive to chemotherapy. The miRNA chip detection showed that the trend of miRNA fluctuation in two plasma may be related to the curative effect: 1, the difference between the sensitive group and the insensitive group at baseline was significantly different, and the difference of plasma in the preoperative plasma was increased step by step; 2, the expression of the two groups was similar in the baseline. 4 plasma miRNA (miR222, miR-20a, miR-451, miR-9) were selected in the HR+/HER2- subtype (n=51) to further verify that the baseline miR-222 expression in the insensitive group was significantly increased (2.065 times, p=0.047) compared with the sensitive group baseline, and continued to increase (4.870 times, p0.001) after 2 weeks of chemotherapy, but not in the sensitive group. The trend of chemotherapy induced fluctuation (C2 vs. baseline, 0.977 times, p=0.826), and no significant difference (p=0.218) between sensitive and insensitive groups at baseline (p=0.218), the expression of miR-20a in the non sensitive group after chemotherapy was up (C2 vs. baseline, 2.637 times, p=0.008), and there was no significant change in the expression of miR-20a in the sensitive group (C2 vs. baseline, 0.986 times,); 1 the fluctuation trend was roughly the opposite of miR-20a (baseline vs. baseline, p=0.673; insensitive group C2 vs. baseline, 0.762 times, p=0.014; sensitive group C2 vs. baseline, 1.194 times, p=0.060). In the 3 subtypes, the dynamic changes of plasma miR-34a were found to be related to chemosensitivity: the plasma miR-34a in the baseline was similar between the two groups, and the insensitive patients after chemotherapy miR-3 4A level decreased. Baseline miR-222 (OR=6.422, p=0.049), C2 miR-20a (OR=0.144, p=0.021), C2 miR-451 (OR=8.213, p=0.012) were predictors of the clinical efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for positive negative breast cancer. Conclusion: This study monitored the changes of plasma levels dynamically in breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Trend, the high expression of baseline miR-222, up regulation of miR-20a expression and decrease of miR-451 expression after 2 cycles of chemotherapy are predictors for chemosensitivity of HR positive /HER2 negative breast cancer. In addition, the decrease of miR-34a expression after 2 cycles of chemotherapy is associated with chemotherapy insensitivity, suggesting that miR-34a is a potential prognostic marker for early efficacy. The results of previous studies on the predictive factors of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer are often inconsistent, suggesting that the single factor is not able to predict the curative effect, combining various potential therapeutic factors together to establish a model or to improve the accuracy of the prediction. Prognostic factors for adjuvant chemotherapy; biological factors such as dynamic changes in plasma miRNA are potential prognostic molecular markers, in which the down-regulation of plasma miR-34a after chemotherapy is associated with poor clinical efficacy. A column map is a statistical tool used to estimate the possibility or risk of individual occurrence of a specific clinical outcome. To explore the clinical and biological factors related to the effectiveness of the breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy and to establish a line map that can predict the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy early to estimate the possibility of breast cancer patients benefiting from the neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Methods: This study included 149 patients, of which 109 were from a different contrast. A prospective clinical trial of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for subtype breast cancer received 4-6 cycles of epirubicin combined with paclitaxel (ET) neoadjuvant chemotherapy. The group was defined as a training set; another 40 patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy in our hospital, but the group was not involved in the clinical trials. The group was defined as a validation set. According to clinical efficacy, the group was defined as a test set. The patient is defined as chemotherapy sensitive (complete / partial remission) or insensitivity (disease stability / progression). In the training set (n=109), the clinicopathological information of the patient and the relative expression of the C2 plasma miR-34a are collected, and the predictive factors associated with the clinical efficacy (insensitivity to chemotherapy) are screened and modeled, and the prediction of the prediction is presented through the line diagram. Model; in the above training center, the area indexing of the prediction model (area under curve, AUC) is measured and the correction is examined, that is, internal verification. In the verification set (n=40), the established prediction model is verified externally, and the degree and correction of the area are evaluated. Results: in the training concentration, combined with the logistic regression knot. Determine baseline Ki-67, pre treatment anemia, C2 miR-34a expression, HER2 expression, and clinical N staging as potential prognostic factors for neoadjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer. Based on these 5 factors, a predictive model is established and a line map is depicted. The predictive ability of the model is evaluated in the two aspects of the training centralization and correction. The AUC of the model is 0.765, the internal verification by bootstrap method and the corrected AUC are 0.726. The correction of the model is good, there is no obvious difference between the prediction probability and the actual occurrence rate (Hosmer-Lemeshow test p=0.835). In the verification of the centralized prediction model, the AUC is 0.751, indicating the good distinction of the model; the model prediction probability and the actual view. The rate of detection was consistent and no significant difference was found, indicating that the correction was good (the corresponding p value of U statistics 0.99). Conclusion: Based on the clinical biological factors, a new model for predicting the efficacy of new adjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer was proposed in this study, and a column diagram was used to predict the new individual from the ET scheme. The probability of benefiting in adjuvant chemotherapy, but the prediction ability of the model still needs to be further verified in the large sample and multi center research. In the future, the model can be further optimized and its scope of application can be expanded.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:北京協(xié)和醫(yī)學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級別】:博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2016
【分類號】:R737.9
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