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生態(tài)補獎?wù)吆托竽翗I(yè)生產(chǎn)風(fēng)險對牧戶放牧行為的影響 ——中國內(nèi)蒙古實證研究

發(fā)布時間:2021-08-13 02:48
  草地退化是中國北方地區(qū)面臨的主要環(huán)境問題,超載過牧是造成草地退化的主要原因。為了實現(xiàn)草地生態(tài)的恢復(fù),中國政府根據(jù)草地退化的程度,在各地了實施以禁牧和草畜平衡為主要內(nèi)容的草原生態(tài)補獎?wù)吆痛胧。然?縱觀國內(nèi)外研究進展,關(guān)于牧民超載過牧行為的社會生態(tài)驅(qū)動因素的研究還很薄弱。本文基于風(fēng)險的角度對中國北方草原牧戶超載過牧行為的驅(qū)動因素進行實證研究。主要內(nèi)容包括:(1)第一輪草原生態(tài)補獎?wù)邔嵤┢趦?nèi)內(nèi)蒙古草原牧民超載過牧行為;(2)牧民補飼行為對草場超載率的影響;(3)牧民草地流轉(zhuǎn)行為、影響因素及其與草場載畜量和家庭收入的關(guān)系;(4)牧區(qū)可持續(xù)發(fā)展視角下牧民畜牧業(yè)生產(chǎn)和市場化的生計策略選擇。本研究以2010年(1000戶)和2015(900戶)年在內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)草甸草原、典型草原、荒漠草原、沙地草原、草原化荒漠5大草原類型區(qū)以及2018年(450戶)在草甸草原、典型草原、荒漠草原3大草原類型區(qū)的牧戶入戶調(diào)研面板數(shù)據(jù)為樣本,采用多元線性回歸模型、逐步多元線性回歸模型、多項邏輯回歸、方差分析、皮爾遜相關(guān)、描述性統(tǒng)計等計量研究方法開展上述四方面研究。研究結(jié)果如下:(1)第一輪草地生態(tài)補獎?wù)邔嵤┣?牧... 

【文章來源】:中國農(nóng)業(yè)科學(xué)院北京市

【文章頁數(shù)】:197 頁

【學(xué)位級別】:博士

【文章目錄】:
ABSTRACT(摘要)
ABSTRACT(English)
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER ONE:INTRODUCTION
    1.1 GENERAL INTRODUCTION
    1.2 JUSTIFICATION OF THE STUDY
    1.3 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES
        1.3.1 Specific objectives
    1.4 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
    1.5 RESEARCH CONTENT AND OUTLINE
    Research Outline
CHAPTER TWO:LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1 DEFINITION OF GRASSLANDS
    2.2 ECOLOGY OF GRASSLANDS
    2.3 THE CONCEPT OF STOCKING RATE
    2.4 EFFECT OF STOCKING RATE ON GRASSLAND ECOSYSTEM
    2.5 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN STOCKING RATE AND RISK
    2.6 HERDERS OVERGRAZING BEHAVIOUR AND PERCEPTION OF STOCKING RATE
    2.7 THE LINK BETWEEN STOCKING RATE,RISK,AND PASTORAL PERCEPTION
    2.8 OVERGRAZING AND GRASSLAND DEGRADATION IN NORTHERN CHINA
    2.9 SUPPLEMENTARY FEED,STOCKING RATE,AND LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION
        2.9.1 Supplementary feed cost
    2.10 GRASSLAND ECOLOGICAL POLICIES IN CHINA
        2.10.1 Household contract responsibility system
        2.10.2 Returning grazing land to grassland project
        2.10.3 Eco-compensation policy
    2.11 GRASSLAND POLICIES AND LAND RENTAL MARKETS
        2.11.1 Transfer of grassland use right
    2.12 THE CONCEPT OF LIVELIHOOD
    2.13 LIVELIHOOD DIVERSIFICATION
    2.14 LIVELIHOOD STRATEGIES
        2.14.1 Factors affecting livelihood strategies
CHAPTER THREE:RISK-OVERGRAZING RELATIONSHIP MODEL:AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF GRASSLAND FARMS IN INNER MONGOLIA,CHINA
    3.1 INTRODUCTION
    3.2 METHODS
        3.2.1 Study area
        3.2.2 Household survey
        3.2.3 Statistical analysis
    3.3 RESULTS
        3.3.1 Descriptive statistics of the surveyed households
        3.3.2 Drivers of stocking rate before subsidy and reward policy
        3.3.3 Drivers of stocking rate after subsidy and reward policy implementation
        3.3.4 Drivers of stocking rate2010 vs 2015
    3.4 DISCUSSION
        3.4.1 Drivers of stocking rate before the subsidy and reward policy
        3.4.2 Drivers of stocking rate after subsidy and reward policy implementation
        3.4.3 Implications of subsidy and reward policy on stocking rate
    3.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER FOUR:UNDERSTANDING STOCKING RATE IN RESPONSE TO SUPPLEMENTARY FEED IN INNER MONGOLIA,CHINA
    4.1 INTRODUCTION
        4.1.1 Livestock production and supplementary feed
        4.1.2 Benefits and consequences of supplementary feed
            4.1.2.1 Benefits
            4.1.2.2 Ecological consequences
            4.1.2.3 Supplementary feed cost
        4.1.3 Relationship between stocking rate and supplementary feed
    4.2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
        4.2.1 Study area
        4.2.2 Sampling procedure and data collection
        4.2.3 Data analysis
    4.3 RESULTS
        4.3.1 Socio-economic characteristics of respondents
        4.3.2 Stocking rate
        4.3.3 Supplementary feed cost
        4.3.4 Multivariate regression analysis
            4.3.4.1 Aggregated panel data regression results
    4.4 DISCUSSION
    4.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER FIVE:INTEGRATION OF SOCIO-ECOLOGICAL FACTORS AND RISK PERCEPTION OF HERDERS TO ASSESS GRASSLAND RENT IN INNER MONGOLIA,CHINA
    5.1 INTRODUCTION
    5.2 MATERIALS AND METHODS
        5.2.1 Study area
        5.2.2 Analytical framework
        5.2.3 Household survey and data collection
        5.2.4 Households herd structure and livestock production
        5.2.5 Statistical analysis
            5.2.5.1 Multiple linear regression analysis
            5.2.5.2 Inspecting assumptions
            5.2.5.3 Assessing suitable method of multiple linear regression
            5.2.5.4 Stepwise multiple linear regression model equation
            5.2.5.5 Analysis of variance
            5.2.5.6 Descriptive statistics
    5.3 RESULTS
    5.4 DISCUSSION
    5.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER SIX:SENSITIVITY OF LIVELIHOOD STRATEGY TO LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION AND MARKETISATION IN INNER MONGOLIA,CHINA
    6.1 INTRODUCTION
        6.1.1 The concept of livelihood and livelihood strategy
        6.1.2 Factors affecting livestock strategy
        6.1.3 Livestock production and marketisation in Inner Mongolia
        6.1.4 Justification for the study
    6.2 MATERIALS AND METHODS
        6.2.1 Description of the study area
        6.2.2 Sampling distribution and data collection
        6.2.3 Descriptive analysis
        6.2.4 Livelihood strategy classification
        6.2.5 Data standardization
        6.2.6 Sensitivity of livelihood strategy:application of logistic regression modeling
        6.2.7 Test for multicollinearity
        6.2.8 Estimation of lambing rate and selling rate
    6.3 RESULTS
        6.3.1 Summary statistics of surveyed households
        6.3.2 Multinomial logistic regression results
        6.3.3 Sensitivity of livelihood strategy to livestock production
        6.3.4 Sensitivity of livelihood strategy to livestock marketisation
        6.3.5 Herders perception of market risk
    6.4 DISCUSSION
        6.4.1 Sensitivity of livelihood strategy to livestock production
        6.4.2 Sensitivity of livelihood strategy to livestock marketisation
        6.4.3 Herders perception of market risk
        6.4.4 Policy implications
    6.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER SEVEN:CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
    7.1 INTRODUCTION
    7.2 CONCLUSIONS FROM THE RESEARCH FINDINGS
    7.3 CONTRIBUTION TO SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE
        7.3.1 Stocking rate,overgrazing,and grassland policies
        7.3.2 Supplementary feed and livestock intensification
        7.3.3 Transfer of grassland use right and livestock production
        7.3.4 Sensitivity of livelihood strategy to livestock production and marketisation
    7.4 RECOMMENDATIONS
REFERENCES
APPENDIX A
APPENDIX B
    RESEARCH QUESTIONNAIRE Ⅰ
    RESEARCH QUESTIONNAIRE Ⅱ
APPENDIX C
    RESEARCH GALLERY
    Research Gallery
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
JIMOH SAHEED OLAIDE


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