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心理因素是影響投資者的財務(wù)決策的過程

發(fā)布時間:2016-05-15 19:14

1. Introduction介紹


對于投資者的金融決策過程研究,研究者最關(guān)注的是心理因素。心理因素的研究經(jīng)歷了從標(biāo)準(zhǔn)決策到?jīng)Q策的演變過程,,在有限理性資源的基礎(chǔ)上,將決策規(guī)則發(fā)展到?jīng)Q策策略的抽象意義上。
心理因素是投資者財務(wù)決策過程中的重要因素。本研究主要介紹了四種心理因素,探討其對投資者的財務(wù)決策過程的影響。這項研究的結(jié)果有一致性的認(rèn)知心理學(xué)領(lǐng)域。
心理因素研究形成了四種重要觀點。一個問題是,在價值下降后,不愿意進(jìn)行投資,這意味著不愿意出售投資。一,這也被稱為“盈虧平衡”的影響。另一點是投資者的投資風(fēng)險,投資者更痛心的損失比他們預(yù)期所預(yù)期收益感知快樂。下一個觀點是,在投資選擇上,它與股票的購買價格相關(guān)聯(lián)的是心理賬戶。最后一點是錯誤使你人陷入賭徒謬誤(Shefrin,1999),就像你認(rèn)為它更可能是一個黑色的數(shù)字“打”的一系列紅色號碼后打。
For researches on financial decision-making process of investors, researchers pay most close attention to the psychological factors. The psychological factors research has experienced from the standard decision to the evolution process of decision making, the abstract meaning of decision rules developing into the decision making strategy on the basis of limited rational resources fitting society. 

Psychological factors are important factors financial decision-making process of investors. This study introduces four psychological factors to investigate their influence on the financial decision-making process of investors. The results of this study have consistency in the area of cognitive psychology.

The psychological factors research has formed four kind of important points of view. One point is disposition effect which means a reluctance to sell investments after they have fallen in value. A, which is also known as the “breakeven” effect. Another point is Investors’ perception of risk which investors are much more distressed by prospective losses than they are happy aboutby prospective gains. The next point is mental accounting on investment choices which Associating associate a stock with its purchase price. The finally point is mispricing which makes you people stuck in the Gambler’s Fallacy (Shefrin,1999), just like you think that it is more likely for a black number to “hit” after a series of red numbers have hit.

2. Four Psychology Factors
2.1 Disposition Effect 
2.2Investors’ Perception of Risk
2.3Impact of mental accounting on investment choices
2.4Mispricing

3. Conclusion總結(jié)


From the literature review of previous researches and the experiment carried out in this study, Psychology of economy which relates to attitude data is in complete same as economic situation changeable trend, and more significant thing is that the curve of the attitude in the economic situation data which is always changing may be predicted 3 weeks to 6 months ahead of time. This paper argues that: economy and psychology are still in development, they are at a high level of understanding of human behaviors. Therefore, simply giving any positive conclusion may not scientific, and is likely to mislead further research, and scientific attitude may be true, see which is better able to explain the economic behaviors in the human reality. This article does not just economics influence on psychology to review and comment, on the contrary, the main purpose of this article is to briefly review and comb the psychology found and its influence on economics, so as to research in the field, and it is helpful to the development of economics.

Reference文獻(xiàn)


[1]Daniel Kahneman (born March 5, 1934) is an Israeli-American psychologist and winner of the 2002Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. 

[2]Odean T. Are investors reluctant to realize their losses? [J]. The Journal of finance, 1998, 53(5): 1775-1798. 

[3]Zaiane S. Overconfidence, trading volume and the disposition effect: Evidence from the Shenzhen Stock Market of China [J]. 2013.

[4]Hamel J Y. Information and communication technologies and migration [J]. 2009.

[5]Kumbirai M, Webb R. A financial Ratio Analysis of Commercial Bank Performance in South Africa [J]. African Review of Economics and Finance, 2013, 2(1): 30-53.

[6]Selten R. (2001). Bounded Rationlity: The adaptive toolbox. The MIT Press.

[7]Lamont O A, Thaler R H. Can the market add and subtract? Mispricing in tech stock carve-outs [R]. National bureau of economic research, 2001.




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