本文選題：中俄　切入點：自由貿(mào)易區(qū)　出處：《吉林大學(xué)》2016年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：在全球貿(mào)易體系重大變革中,區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化正在成為世界潮流,中國也提出“一帶一路”的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略。目前,中國已經(jīng)簽署的自貿(mào)協(xié)定已經(jīng)達到14個,涉及22個國家和地區(qū)。2015年俄羅斯與中國雙邊貿(mào)易額為690.3億美元,同比下降27.5%,但是中國仍然是俄羅斯第一大貿(mào)易伙伴,在其貿(mào)易總額中所占比重由上年同期的11.3%上升至12.1%。加入WTO后的俄羅斯也正在加緊與其他國家進行自貿(mào)區(qū)的籌建與談判中。而中俄之間以中國東北地區(qū)與俄羅斯遠(yuǎn)東地區(qū)的邊境小額貿(mào)易和能源貿(mào)易為主的情形,已經(jīng)跟不上時代發(fā)展的步伐,發(fā)展和深化中俄雙邊經(jīng)貿(mào)合作已經(jīng)成為一項非常具有意義的戰(zhàn)略。雙邊協(xié)商構(gòu)建中俄自由貿(mào)易區(qū)已越發(fā)迫切,這必將強有力地推動中俄經(jīng)貿(mào)合作升級。本文以大量文獻的閱讀及相關(guān)資料的搜集為行文基礎(chǔ),采用了絕對優(yōu)勢和比較優(yōu)勢理論、要素稟賦理論、關(guān)稅同盟理論、共同市場理論及大市場理論、自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的效應(yīng)理論等相關(guān)理論作為研究基礎(chǔ)。首先從經(jīng)濟聯(lián)系、政治互信、國家安全、文化交流等方面闡述構(gòu)建中俄自貿(mào)區(qū)的必要性,又從貿(mào)易互補性角度對構(gòu)建中俄自由貿(mào)易區(qū)進行了可行性分析。然后,以中俄經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系發(fā)展的演進軌跡和現(xiàn)狀對中俄經(jīng)貿(mào)合作的問題進行了探討。再次,通過貿(mào)易引力模型對中俄雙邊貿(mào)易中的影響因素進行量化分析,重點分析了中俄自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的經(jīng)濟效應(yīng),分別從中俄自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的靜態(tài)效應(yīng)和動態(tài)效應(yīng)進行闡述。最后通過對世界上主要自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的模式進行經(jīng)驗借鑒,提出了構(gòu)建中俄自由貿(mào)易區(qū)模式的戰(zhàn)略構(gòu)想,以及推進中俄自由貿(mào)易區(qū)構(gòu)建的對策建議。本文著重以中俄自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的經(jīng)濟效應(yīng)為分析問題的主要視角,對中俄雙邊貿(mào)易的具體影響因素進行認(rèn)真研究,對中俄自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的模式進行了戰(zhàn)略構(gòu)想。構(gòu)建中俄自由貿(mào)易區(qū)是一個系統(tǒng)、復(fù)雜的過程,對兩國經(jīng)貿(mào)合作有著重要意義,特別是能促進中國東北地區(qū)轉(zhuǎn)型升級,希望本文的研究能對構(gòu)建中俄自由貿(mào)易區(qū)起到積極的推動作用。
[Abstract]:In the midst of major changes in the global trading system, regional economic integration is becoming a global trend. China has also proposed the development strategy of "Belt and Road." at present, China has signed 14 free trade agreements. In 2015, the bilateral trade volume between Russia and China was 69.03 billion US dollars, a decrease of 27.5% over the same period last year. However, China is still Russia's largest trading partner. Russia's share of its total trade volume rose to 12. 1% from 11.3% a year earlier. After joining the WTO, Russia is also stepping up preparations and negotiations with other countries for the establishment of a free trade zone. Between china and Russia, northeast china is far away from Russia. The situation of small trade and energy trade on the border in the eastern region, The development and deepening of bilateral economic and trade cooperation between China and Russia has become a very meaningful strategy. The establishment of a Sino-Russian Free Trade area through bilateral consultations has become more and more urgent. This will strongly promote the upgrading of Sino-Russian economic and trade cooperation. Based on the reading of a large number of documents and the collection of relevant materials, this paper adopts the theories of absolute advantage and comparative advantage, factor endowment theory, and customs union theory. The common market theory, the big market theory, the effect theory of free trade area and other related theories are the basis of the research. First of all, from the aspects of economic ties, political mutual trust, national security, cultural exchanges, and so on, the necessity of constructing a Sino-Russian free trade zone is expounded. From the perspective of trade complementarity, the feasibility of building a Sino-Russian free trade zone is analyzed. Then, the problems of Sino-Russian economic and trade cooperation are discussed based on the evolution and current situation of Sino-Russian economic and trade relations. Through the quantitative analysis of the influencing factors in the bilateral trade between China and Russia through the trade gravity model, the economic effects of the Sino-Russian Free Trade area are analyzed. The static and dynamic effects of China-Russia Free Trade area are expounded respectively. Finally, through the experience of the main free trade area in the world, the paper puts forward the strategic conception of constructing the Sino-Russian free trade zone model. As well as the countermeasures and suggestions to promote the construction of Sino-Russian Free Trade area. This paper focuses on the economic effects of the Sino-Russian Free Trade area as the main perspective of the analysis of the specific factors affecting the bilateral trade between China and Russia. This article has carried on the strategic conception to the pattern of the Sino-Russian free trade area. The construction of the Sino-Russian free trade area is a systematic and complicated process, which is of great significance to the economic and trade cooperation between the two countries, especially in promoting the transformation and upgrading of Northeast China. I hope this study can play a positive role in the construction of Sino-Russian Free Trade area.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F752.7;F755.12

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