本文關(guān)鍵詞：云南糧食生產(chǎn)效率及其影響因素研究　出處：《中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)》2017年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 糧食生產(chǎn)效率 生產(chǎn)要素投入 糧食安全 影響因素

【摘要】：云南省地處我國(guó)西南邊陲,糧食生產(chǎn)條件復(fù)雜,表現(xiàn)出特殊的資源稟賦情況。云南適宜糧食生產(chǎn)的平壩面積較少,且主要分布在滇中、滇西和滇東地區(qū)。其中,滇中地區(qū)的代表為昆明、楚雄,滇西地區(qū)的代表為大理、保山,滇東地區(qū)為曲靖等,糧食生產(chǎn)效率高,但種植比例較小。滇東北地區(qū)(昭通)、滇西北地區(qū)(麗江、迪慶、怒江)地勢(shì)較高,土地貧瘠,種植的糧食品種少、產(chǎn)量低,糧食生產(chǎn)效率極低。滇東南地區(qū)(玉溪、文山)、滇西地區(qū)(德宏、臨滄)、滇南地區(qū)(普洱、紅河、西雙版納)具有典型的熱帶、亞熱帶氣候特征,雨熱充足,土地肥沃,種植經(jīng)濟(jì)作物效益遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)高于糧食生產(chǎn),使得上述地區(qū)糧食生產(chǎn)面積不斷被經(jīng)濟(jì)作物擠壓�；谏鲜龇治�,在國(guó)家提出"藏糧于地、藏糧于技"下保證糧食安全,本文認(rèn)為分析云南糧食生產(chǎn)效率具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文主要內(nèi)容如下:第一,分析云南糧食生產(chǎn)效率,通過數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)法的非經(jīng)向SBM模型,測(cè)算出云南省糧食生產(chǎn)效率,并與其它省份糧食生產(chǎn)效率比較。第二,云南省糧食生產(chǎn)全要素生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)分解分析,通過DEA-Malmquist生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)對(duì)云南省糧食生產(chǎn)規(guī)模效率、純技術(shù)效率、技術(shù)效率變化進(jìn)行測(cè)算和分析。第三,云南糧食生產(chǎn)效率空間集聚效應(yīng)分析,通過DEA-Moran' s I指數(shù)分析法,運(yùn)用空間計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)模型,對(duì)云南省各市州糧食生產(chǎn)效率空間收斂、功能劃分分析。第四,云南糧食生產(chǎn)環(huán)境效率分析,通過建立糧食生產(chǎn)環(huán)境DEA窗口模型,對(duì)云南糧食生產(chǎn)環(huán)境效率進(jìn)行測(cè)算和分析。第五,云南糧食生產(chǎn)效率的影響因素分析,通過構(gòu)建影響云南糧食生產(chǎn)效率的Tobit回歸模型,找出云南糧食生產(chǎn)效率的顯著影響因素,從生產(chǎn)要素投入角度找到提高云南糧食生產(chǎn)效率的方法和途徑。通過本文數(shù)據(jù)分析和模型估計(jì),得到的主要結(jié)論如下:第一,2014年云南省糧食生產(chǎn)效率遠(yuǎn)低于全國(guó)大多數(shù)省份,表現(xiàn)出糧食生產(chǎn)的無(wú)效率,在與國(guó)內(nèi)其他糧食生產(chǎn)有效率省份的比較中,云南省應(yīng)該向吉林省借鑒和學(xué)習(xí)有關(guān)糧食生產(chǎn)的經(jīng)驗(yàn)。第二,云南省糧食全要素生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)中,技術(shù)進(jìn)步帶來(lái)的增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)大于技術(shù)效率帶來(lái)的水平效應(yīng)。云南省糧食生產(chǎn)的先進(jìn)技術(shù)成為提升糧食全要素生產(chǎn)率的主要來(lái)源,說明云南省糧食生產(chǎn)日益重視技術(shù)進(jìn)步,科技成為云南省糧食增產(chǎn)的主要手段和方式,且存在顯著的地區(qū)差異。第三,云南糧食生產(chǎn)效率集群由省會(huì)城市昆明向邊緣空間擴(kuò)散,由漢族地區(qū)向少數(shù)民族地區(qū)擴(kuò)散,在空間上存在顯著的集聚現(xiàn)象。第四,云南省北部糧食生產(chǎn)環(huán)境效率較高,主要分布為高寒高原地區(qū),生產(chǎn)要素如化肥、農(nóng)藥、機(jī)械投入較少,所以非期望產(chǎn)出(碳排放量)較少;而云南省南部糧食生產(chǎn)中環(huán)境效率較低,多數(shù)是熱帶亞熱帶氣候,糧食生產(chǎn)對(duì)化肥、農(nóng)藥需求旺盛,投入的化肥、農(nóng)藥等生產(chǎn)要素較多,使得糧食生產(chǎn)非期望產(chǎn)出(碳排放量)較多。第五,糧食播種面積和糧食生產(chǎn)機(jī)械總動(dòng)力對(duì)云南糧食生產(chǎn)效率具有顯著的負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,糧食生產(chǎn)從業(yè)人數(shù)對(duì)云南糧食生產(chǎn)具有顯著的正相關(guān)關(guān)系,糧食生產(chǎn)化肥施用量對(duì)糧食生產(chǎn)不具有顯著的相關(guān)關(guān)系。最后,根據(jù)研究結(jié)論提出相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Yunnan province is located in the southwest of China, grain production conditions are complex, showing special resources. The Yunnan area is less suitable Pingba grain production, and is mainly distributed in Yunnan, Western and eastern Yunnan. Among them, on behalf of Yunnan area for Kunming, Chuxiong, on behalf of the western Yunnan area for Dali, Baoshan, Yunnan in Qujing, the grain production efficiency is high, but the planting proportion is smaller. Northeast Yunnan (Zhaotong), Northwest Yunnan (Lijiang, Diqing, Nu River) higher, barren land, planted grain less varieties, low yield, grain production efficiency is very low. The Southeast Yunnan Province (Yuxi, Wenshan), western Yunnan (Dehong, Lincang), southern Yunnan (Puer tea, red river, Xishuangbanna) is a typical tropical, subtropical climate, rain hot enough, fertile land, planting crops benefit is far higher than the grain production, the area of grain production area By economic crops extrusion. Based on the above analysis, the state proposed for grain storage, grain storage technology to "ensure food security, it has important practical significance to analysis of the efficiency of grain production in Yunnan. The main contents of this paper are as follows: first, analysis of the efficiency of grain production in Yunnan, through data envelopment analysis to non SBM model and calculate the efficiency of grain production in Yunnan Province, and compared with other provinces in food production efficiency. Second, total factor productivity index decomposition analysis of production of grain in Yunnan Province, through the DEA-Malmquist productivity index of Yunnan province grain production scale efficiency, pure technical efficiency, technical efficiency change calculation and analysis. Third, analysis of the efficiency of spatial agglomeration of Yunnan grain production the effect of DEA-Moran's, through the I index analysis method, using spatial econometric model, the cities of Yunnan Province, the grain production efficiency of spatial convergence, functional analysis. Fourth, analysis of the environmental efficiency of Yunnan grain production, grain production environment through the establishment of DEA window model, calculating and analyzing the environmental efficiency of grain production in Yunnan. Fifth, analysis of the factors affecting the efficiency of food production in Yunnan, affecting the efficiency of grain production in Yunnan by constructing the Tobit regression model, and find out the factors significantly affecting the efficiency of Yunnan grain production, from production the input factors to find ways to improve the efficiency of grain production in Yunnan. Through the data analysis and model estimation, the main conclusions are as follows: first, in 2014 the Yunnan province grain production efficiency is much lower than most of the provinces in the country, showing no food production efficiency, in comparison with other domestic provinces and the efficiency of grain production in Yunnan to the Jilin province should learn from the experience of grain production. In second, Yunnan province grain total factor productivity growth, The growth effect caused by the technological progress is greater than the level effect. Technical efficiency has become a major source of food to enhance the total factor productivity of advanced technology of grain production in Yunnan Province, shows that grain production in Yunnan province increasing emphasis on technological progress, science and technology has become the main means of grain yield in Yunnan Province, and there are significant regional differences. Third clusters in Yunnan the grain production efficiency from the provincial capital city of Kunming to the edge of space diffusion, diffusion from the Han areas to minority regions, there is a significant agglomeration phenomenon in space. In fourth, the northern part of Yunnan province food environment of high production efficiency, mainly for alpine plateau, factors of production such as chemical fertilizers, pesticides, machinery costs less, so undesirableoutputs (carbon emissions) less; and in southern Yunnan province of grain production in the environment of low efficiency, mostly tropical and subtropical climate, grain production of chemical fertilizer, Pesticide demand, input of chemical fertilizers, pesticides and other factors of production more, the grain production undesirableoutputs (carbon emissions). Fifth more, the total power of grain planting area and grain production machinery has a significant negative correlation between the efficiency of Yunnan grain production, grain production has a significant positive correlation between the number of employees of food in Yunnan the amount of chemical fertilizer production, food production is not significant correlation between the grain production. Finally, put forward the corresponding policy recommendations according to the conclusion of the study.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F326.11

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 哈樂群;;考慮生態(tài)環(huán)境因素的農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率——來(lái)自我國(guó)各省、區(qū)、市2003～2011年的實(shí)證分析[J];系統(tǒng)工程;2016年05期

2 謝楓;;我國(guó)糧食生產(chǎn)全要素生產(chǎn)率實(shí)證分析[J];中國(guó)市場(chǎng);2016年16期

3 張燦強(qiáng);王莉;華春林;金書秦;劉鵬濤;;中國(guó)主要糧食生產(chǎn)的化肥削減潛力及其碳減排效應(yīng)[J];資源科學(xué);2016年04期

4 尹朝靜;李谷成;葛靜芳;;糧食安全:氣候變化與糧食生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)——基于HP濾波和序列DEA方法的實(shí)證分析[J];資源科學(xué);2016年04期

5 李青松;徐國(guó)勁;鄧素君;孫江偉;孟慶香;;基于DEA-Malmquist-Tobit模型的河南省生態(tài)效率研究[J];環(huán)境科學(xué)與技術(shù);2016年04期

6 鄧明君;鄧俊杰;劉佳宇;;中國(guó)糧食作物化肥施用的碳排放時(shí)空演變與減排潛力[J];資源科學(xué);2016年03期

7 何彩蓮;鄧文;鄭順林;;糧食生產(chǎn)技術(shù)效率研究綜述[J];湖南農(nóng)業(yè)科學(xué);2016年02期

8 彭代彥;文樂;;農(nóng)村勞動(dòng)力老齡化、女性化降低了糧食生產(chǎn)效率嗎——基于隨機(jī)前沿的南北方比較分析[J];農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì);2016年02期

9 張可;豐景春;;強(qiáng)可處置性視角下中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)環(huán)境效率測(cè)度及其動(dòng)態(tài)演進(jìn)[J];中國(guó)人口·資源與環(huán)境;2016年01期

10 李寧;;規(guī)�；c小農(nóng)經(jīng)濟(jì)生產(chǎn)方式在糧食生產(chǎn)效率上的差別分析——基于成本收益的角度[J];中國(guó)集體經(jīng)濟(jì);2015年36期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 馮晗;開放環(huán)境下中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈演進(jìn)研究[D];浙江大學(xué);2013年

2 閔銳;湖北省糧食生產(chǎn)效率研究[D];華中農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué);2012年

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前9條

1 張倩;江蘇省糧食生產(chǎn)效率與生產(chǎn)能力的區(qū)域比較研究[D];揚(yáng)州大學(xué);2015年

2 張紅彥;農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率分析方法的研究及應(yīng)用[D];西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué);2015年

3 魏浩好;基于階段DEA模型的云南省高原特色農(nóng)業(yè)效率分析[D];昆明理工大學(xué);2015年

4 劉曉曄;我國(guó)省域農(nóng)業(yè)環(huán)境效率動(dòng)態(tài)差異研究[D];東北財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué);2014年

5 么明;匈牙利農(nóng)地產(chǎn)權(quán)變更、農(nóng)地規(guī)模與農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)率的關(guān)系研究[D];遼寧大學(xué);2014年

6 鄧建波;耕地細(xì)碎化成因及其與生產(chǎn)效率的關(guān)系[D];四川農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué);2013年

7 徐敏輪;經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)規(guī)模農(nóng)業(yè)土地生產(chǎn)率、生產(chǎn)效率分析及適度規(guī)模優(yōu)化研究[D];南京農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué);2013年

8 楊華;中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)效率和全要素生產(chǎn)率研究[D];暨南大學(xué);2012年

9 尚慧;丘陵區(qū)耕地種植規(guī)模與生產(chǎn)效率的關(guān)系[D];西南大學(xué);2011年

，

本文編號(hào)：1377436