發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-01-01 16:17

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化與土地市場(chǎng)化的作用關(guān)系研究　出處：《中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)科學(xué)院》2016年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化 土地市場(chǎng)化 作用關(guān)系 市場(chǎng)響應(yīng)

【摘要】：功能完善的農(nóng)地市場(chǎng)在調(diào)節(jié)土地資源配置,提高土地利用效率和社會(huì)福利水平等方面具有積極意義,但受制于城鄉(xiāng)二元土地制度與產(chǎn)權(quán)關(guān)系模糊性,實(shí)現(xiàn)農(nóng)地城市流轉(zhuǎn)和非農(nóng)化的市場(chǎng)調(diào)節(jié)任重而道遠(yuǎn)。為更好地發(fā)揮市場(chǎng)配置土地資源的作用,就有必要對(duì)農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化與土地市場(chǎng)化間的邏輯關(guān)系和影響作用展開研究。論文基于近年來我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化加速推進(jìn)的背景,在城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)于農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化強(qiáng)烈需求的形勢(shì)下,從農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化與土地市場(chǎng)化的關(guān)系入手,探索兩者間的作用機(jī)制,著重分析土地市場(chǎng)化對(duì)于農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化的影響途徑,為農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化的市場(chǎng)調(diào)控方式提供了思路和依據(jù)。本文首先構(gòu)建了農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化行為和農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化市場(chǎng)調(diào)控的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論模型,認(rèn)為農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化進(jìn)程中的市場(chǎng)調(diào)節(jié)一方面體現(xiàn)在土地出讓價(jià)格和利益分配,另一方面是對(duì)于土地交易的數(shù)量調(diào)控。以理論模型為基礎(chǔ),結(jié)合農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化與土地市場(chǎng)化的政策演變與改革進(jìn)程,我國(guó)農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化進(jìn)程體現(xiàn)了強(qiáng)制性制度變遷與誘導(dǎo)性制度變遷的結(jié)合,并帶有市場(chǎng)邏輯。這種市場(chǎng)邏輯從政策突破、基層實(shí)踐、利益主體博弈行為以及土地隱形市場(chǎng)發(fā)育等方面均得到體現(xiàn)。為證實(shí)農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化和土地市場(chǎng)化間的關(guān)系,通過國(guó)有土地出讓的招拍掛比重加權(quán)測(cè)度了土地市場(chǎng)化水平,采用向量自回歸(VAR)模型對(duì)于全國(guó)層面的關(guān)系進(jìn)行分析,得出兩者間關(guān)系以土地市場(chǎng)化對(duì)于農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化水平的作用為主,并且存在時(shí)滯作用。進(jìn)一步結(jié)合城鎮(zhèn)化和農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化進(jìn)程,通過面板數(shù)據(jù)的雙向固定效應(yīng)模型與脈沖分析,得出對(duì)于拉動(dòng)擴(kuò)張型(PE)、穩(wěn)定擴(kuò)張型(SE)和后發(fā)擴(kuò)張型(LE)三類地區(qū),土地市場(chǎng)化對(duì)于農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化的長(zhǎng)期影響表現(xiàn)為降低或者制約作用。為深入發(fā)掘土地市場(chǎng)化對(duì)于農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化的影響,引入收斂性分析方法,得出農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化在全國(guó)和分地區(qū)層面均存在條件收斂,并且土地市場(chǎng)化水平加速了非農(nóng)化的收斂趨勢(shì)。采用門檻效應(yīng)模型,考察土地市場(chǎng)化在不同出讓價(jià)格變化區(qū)間的影響程度。結(jié)果表明全國(guó)和三類地區(qū)都存在三個(gè)門檻值,土地市場(chǎng)化對(duì)于農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化的影響是分不同價(jià)格區(qū)間變化的。但無論是全國(guó)還是地區(qū)內(nèi)部,在城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中隨著市場(chǎng)出讓價(jià)格的提高,土地市場(chǎng)的逐步健全和完善,都產(chǎn)生了對(duì)于農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化水平的抑制作用。但由于不同地區(qū)的價(jià)格區(qū)間并不相同,會(huì)出現(xiàn)“高價(jià)位陷阱”的現(xiàn)象,即在市場(chǎng)化相對(duì)完善的地區(qū),處于門檻值以下存在較高的價(jià)格區(qū)間,在該出讓價(jià)格區(qū)間下土地市場(chǎng)化對(duì)于農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化產(chǎn)生促進(jìn)作用,甚至導(dǎo)致農(nóng)地的過度非農(nóng)化,這是土地市場(chǎng)化水平較高地區(qū)在城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中應(yīng)避免的。以天津市作為案例,通過分析農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化和出讓價(jià)格的時(shí)間序列和脈沖關(guān)系,證實(shí)了全國(guó)層面門檻效應(yīng)模型的正確性,進(jìn)一步驗(yàn)證了“高價(jià)位陷阱”的觀點(diǎn)。未來土地制度改革方向應(yīng)盡可能彌補(bǔ)目前土地市場(chǎng)機(jī)制的缺失,在農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化進(jìn)程中通過探索農(nóng)地入市、產(chǎn)權(quán)抵押、提高補(bǔ)償?shù)确绞桨l(fā)揮市場(chǎng)作用,在資源配置真實(shí)價(jià)格的指導(dǎo)下,有效控制和約束農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化水平,使其回歸至合理區(qū)間,不斷優(yōu)化土地制度績(jī)效和釋放制度潛力。本文研究結(jié)論為農(nóng)地制度設(shè)計(jì)提供了有啟示意義的參考,并從農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化控制與土地市場(chǎng)化體系構(gòu)建兩方面提出政策建議,有助于創(chuàng)新政府主導(dǎo)下的土地市場(chǎng)化改革思路。
[Abstract]:Improve the function of the land market in the regulation of the allocation of land resources, has the positive significance to improve the efficiency of land use and the level of social welfare, but subject to the two urban and rural land system and fuzzy property rights, realize the land circulation of city and non agriculture market regulation go15. In order to better play the role of market allocation of land resources. It is necessary to study the logical relationship and the effect of farmland conversion and land market of our country in recent years. This paper is based on the background of accelerating urbanization, urbanization in the land conversion for strong demand situation, starting from the relationship between farmland conversion and land market, to explore the mechanism of action between the two the analysis of land market for farmland conversion way influence, provides basis for market regulation of farmland conversion. Firstly, construct The economics theory model of farmland conversion and farmland conversion market regulation, that the farmland area is reflected in the land price and the distribution of interests in the process of urbanization of the market regulation, on the other hand is to control the number of land transactions. Based on theory model, combined with the evolution and reform of non agriculturalization of farmland policy and land market the process of China's farmland conversion process embodies the combination of compulsory institutional change and induced institutional change, and with the market logic. The logic of the market from the policy breakthrough, grass-roots practice, interests game behavior and invisible land market development and other aspects were reflected. In order to verify the relationship between agricultural land conversion and land market. The transfer of state-owned land by auction and the proportion of the weighted measure of land marketization level, using vector autoregressive (VAR) model for the national level. This paper analyzes the relationship between the land, the market for farmland conversion level effect, and time lag effect. Further combined with urbanization and farmland conversion process, through analysis and pulse two-way fixed effect panel data model, the drive for expansion (PE), stable expansion (SE) and after the expansion (LE) in three kinds of areas, the land market for farmland conversion for long-term effects to reduce or restrict the role. In order to deeply dig up the land market for farmland conversion effect, and the analysis method of convergence, the farmland conversion in the national and regional level are conditional convergence, and land the level of the market to speed up the convergence trend of non agriculturalization. The threshold effect model, and studied the land market in different ranges of transfer price changes. The results showed that three kinds of national and Area there are three threshold value, the influence of land market for farmland conversion is different price range change. But whether it is inside the country or region in the process of urbanization with the increase in the price of the transfer market, the land market and gradually improve, has inhibiting effect on the level of farmland conversion but due to the difference in the price range is not the same, there will be a "high price trap" phenomenon, namely in the market relatively perfect in the area, the threshold value exists below the higher price range, the transfer price interval of the land market to promote farmland conversion, and even lead to excessive farmland conversion this is the land market, the regions with higher level in the process of urbanization should be avoided. Taking Tianjin city as a case, through the analysis of farmland conversion and land price time sequence and pulse The relationship between the national level, verified the threshold effect model, further validation of the "high price trap" point of view. The future direction of land reform should be possible to make up for the current lack of land market mechanism, through the exploration of agricultural land market in the process of farmland conversion, property mortgage, improve the compensation way to play the role of the market in guiding the real price of the allocation of resources, effective control and constraint of farmland conversion level, the return to a reasonable interval, constantly optimize the land system performance and release potential of the system. In this paper, the results of this study provide a meaningful reference for the design and construction of the farmland system, from land conversion and land market control system is put forward policy suggestions in two aspects, the idea of reform of the land market contributes to the innovation under the guidance of the government.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)科學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F301
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本文編號(hào)：1365252