本文關(guān)鍵詞：我國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)收斂性和知識(shí)溢出效應(yīng)檢驗(yàn)　出處：《吉林大學(xué)》2016年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì) 改革開(kāi)放 知識(shí)溢出 經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂 總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率

【摘要】：隨著我國(guó)改革開(kāi)放程度的不斷加深和社會(huì)主義市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)體制的逐步確立,我國(guó)當(dāng)前的經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行正向著與國(guó)際接軌的方向發(fā)展,可以說(shuō)我國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)體制改革取得了舉世矚目的巨大成功,但在成功的背后,卻隱藏著諸多亟需解決的問(wèn)題。其中一個(gè)最為嚴(yán)重的問(wèn)題就是在改革開(kāi)放過(guò)程中為加速改革開(kāi)放的步伐、盡快建立起市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)體制,黨中央采取的各種階段性的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展政策進(jìn)而導(dǎo)致的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡。這種區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的不平衡已經(jīng)嚴(yán)重阻礙了我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的高速發(fā)展和綜合國(guó)力的提升。運(yùn)用西方經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中有關(guān)“經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂”的理論去衡量我國(guó)當(dāng)前區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的不平衡狀況、從“經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂”的角度去分析影響我國(guó)各區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)均衡發(fā)展的各種因素,以及如何通過(guò)調(diào)整這些因素來(lái)達(dá)到促進(jìn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的目的已成為我國(guó)當(dāng)前宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)研究的熱點(diǎn)。本文以對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂的研究為基礎(chǔ),首先運(yùn)用傳統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂測(cè)度方法(?-收斂檢驗(yàn)、絕對(duì)?-收斂檢驗(yàn)、條件?-收斂檢驗(yàn))對(duì)在不考慮到知識(shí)溢出影響情況下我國(guó)各區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的收斂情況進(jìn)行了檢驗(yàn),檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)我國(guó)在1978-2012年這段時(shí)期各區(qū)域(省)間的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)存在弱收斂態(tài)勢(shì)。隨后對(duì)當(dāng)前西方經(jīng)濟(jì)理論中有關(guān)知識(shí)溢出的理論進(jìn)行了系統(tǒng)、詳細(xì)的闡述并將其應(yīng)用到我國(guó),對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域間的知識(shí)溢出現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了分析。接著以總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率的變化為起點(diǎn),經(jīng)區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出的變化過(guò)程過(guò)渡到考慮到知識(shí)溢出的總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率變化,根據(jù)不同前提假設(shè)構(gòu)建了三類考慮到知識(shí)溢出的總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率模型,并應(yīng)用實(shí)際數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出對(duì)總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率的影響情況進(jìn)行了實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)。最后利用“方差分解技術(shù)”將知識(shí)溢出與經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂有機(jī)地聯(lián)系在一起,分別從“因素分解分析”和“時(shí)間序列分析”兩個(gè)角度應(yīng)用1978—2012年的實(shí)際經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂的影響效應(yīng)進(jìn)行了實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)。檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)與影響經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂的其它因素相比區(qū)域間的知識(shí)溢出在決定我國(guó)各區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)情況呈現(xiàn)收斂抑或發(fā)散態(tài)勢(shì)的過(guò)程中僅起次要的輔助作用,即:我國(guó)各區(qū)域間存在著明顯的知識(shí)溢出障礙。實(shí)證過(guò)程所用分析方法主要包括:?-收斂檢驗(yàn)、?-收斂檢驗(yàn)、空間計(jì)量分析、面板數(shù)據(jù)模型計(jì)量分析、時(shí)間序列分析以及因素分解分析。本文各章主要內(nèi)容如下:第一章是緒論部分。首先介紹了本文的選題背景、選題意義、研究方法以及國(guó)內(nèi)外關(guān)于這一領(lǐng)域的研究現(xiàn)狀,其次是本文研究的獨(dú)特之處和可能的創(chuàng)新,最后給出論文的結(jié)構(gòu)安排和研究框架。第二章是對(duì)我國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀的分析。主要分析了我國(guó)在建國(guó)以后實(shí)施的各項(xiàng)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展政策以及當(dāng)前重點(diǎn)實(shí)施的各項(xiàng)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展政策。第三章是對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域(省)間經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)收斂情況的測(cè)度,并以此作為后續(xù)分析的基礎(chǔ)。后續(xù)對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出情況的分析以及知識(shí)溢出對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂影響的分析都是以對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂情況的分析為基礎(chǔ)而展開(kāi)的。在這一部分中本文分別采用?-收斂檢驗(yàn)、絕對(duì)?-收斂檢驗(yàn)、條件?-收斂檢驗(yàn)以及考慮到空間影響下的?-收斂檢驗(yàn)對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域(省)間經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的收斂情況進(jìn)行了測(cè)度,所得結(jié)論不盡相同。第四章是對(duì)知識(shí)溢出理論全面、系統(tǒng)的闡述,并以此作為后續(xù)研究的基礎(chǔ)。與知識(shí)溢出相關(guān)的基礎(chǔ)理論主要包括單邊知識(shí)溢出和雙邊知識(shí)溢出兩個(gè)方向。但無(wú)論是單邊知識(shí)溢出還是雙邊知識(shí)溢出都認(rèn)為:影響區(qū)域知識(shí)溢出的全部因素可歸結(jié)為三個(gè)方面:一是知識(shí)流入方,二是知識(shí)流出方,三是知識(shí)流入方與知識(shí)流出方的交流。第五章是對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域(省)間知識(shí)溢出現(xiàn)狀的分析,并以此作為對(duì)前一章“知識(shí)溢出的理論基礎(chǔ)”的實(shí)證研究和對(duì)后續(xù)“我國(guó)各區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂影響”研究的基礎(chǔ)。在這一章中首先是對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域間是否存在知識(shí)溢出情況的存在性檢驗(yàn)。具體的檢驗(yàn)方法包括圖檢驗(yàn)和莫蘭指數(shù)(Moran’s I)檢驗(yàn),檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果一致認(rèn)為:我國(guó)各區(qū)域間存在知識(shí)溢出。在經(jīng)過(guò)檢驗(yàn)確定存在知識(shí)溢出的情況下,本章的第二部分是對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域(省)間知識(shí)溢出數(shù)據(jù)的計(jì)算,具體計(jì)算過(guò)程包括應(yīng)用Verspagen(1991)與Canel(2001)給出的知識(shí)溢出模型進(jìn)行指標(biāo)構(gòu)建以及應(yīng)用SAS 9.0軟件編寫(xiě)計(jì)算程序并對(duì)計(jì)算所得知識(shí)溢出數(shù)據(jù)的有效性進(jìn)行了檢驗(yàn)。隨后的“描述性統(tǒng)計(jì)分析”、“面板數(shù)據(jù)分析”都是針對(duì)這一數(shù)據(jù)的分析。在本章中還應(yīng)用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型計(jì)量分析方法分析了我國(guó)各區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出對(duì)知識(shí)生產(chǎn)的影響并以此作為對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出現(xiàn)狀分析的深入。第六章是對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出對(duì)總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率影響的分析,并以此作為本文核心內(nèi)容“我國(guó)各區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂影響”分析的過(guò)渡。在本章中首先在理論上從單純的總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率變化過(guò)程經(jīng)區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出的變化過(guò)程過(guò)渡到考慮到知識(shí)溢出的總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率變化過(guò)程上。隨后通過(guò)構(gòu)建三類考慮到知識(shí)溢出的總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率模型、應(yīng)用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型計(jì)量分析方法對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域(省)間知識(shí)溢出對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率的影響進(jìn)行了實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)。檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果顯示,區(qū)域知識(shí)溢出在提高我國(guó)各區(qū)域總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率上所起到的作用很小,這也正揭示了我國(guó)各區(qū)域(省)間在知識(shí)溢出的流動(dòng)上存在障礙。也是導(dǎo)致我國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡、落后地區(qū)與發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)水平差距大、落后地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)緩慢的一個(gè)主要原因。第七章是本文的最后部分——對(duì)我國(guó)各區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂影響的分析。本章以第六章的分析為基礎(chǔ),可以說(shuō)是在第六章基礎(chǔ)上繼續(xù)進(jìn)行的分析,利用第六章所構(gòu)建的三類考慮到知識(shí)溢出的總產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)率變化模型通過(guò)方差分解技術(shù)將其過(guò)渡到“經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂”問(wèn)題上,同時(shí)解決了以區(qū)域個(gè)體為研究對(duì)象的知識(shí)溢出與以區(qū)域整體為研究對(duì)象的經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂之間的融合問(wèn)題。隨后從“因素分解分析”和“時(shí)間序列分析”兩個(gè)角度考察了我國(guó)各區(qū)域間知識(shí)溢出對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂的影響效應(yīng)。分析結(jié)果顯示,與其它影響因素相比吸收外來(lái)知識(shí)溢出對(duì)我國(guó)在1978—2012年期間各區(qū)域(省)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)斂散情況的影響作用是較小的,它不足以成為決定我國(guó)各區(qū)域(間)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)呈現(xiàn)出收斂抑或發(fā)散態(tài)勢(shì)的主要原因,僅起次要的輔助作用。決定我國(guó)各區(qū)域(省)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)情況在1978—2012年期間呈現(xiàn)出收斂或是發(fā)散態(tài)勢(shì)的主要影響因素為:1、區(qū)域自主知識(shí)研發(fā),2、區(qū)域勞動(dòng)力投入增長(zhǎng)率,3、區(qū)域資本投入增長(zhǎng)率。
[Abstract]:With the gradual establishment of China's reform and opening up degree deepening and the socialist market economic system, China's current economic operation is in line with international standards in the direction of development, it can be said that China's economic system reform has achieved great success in attracting worldwide attention, but behind the success, but hidden many problems to be solved. One of the most serious problems is to speed up the pace of reform and opening up and establish a market economic system as soon as possible in the process of reform and opening up, and the phased regional economic development policies adopted by the Central Committee of the CPC lead to unbalanced regional economic development. The imbalance of this regional economic development has seriously hindered the rapid development of China's economy and the promotion of comprehensive national strength. To analyze the various factors affecting China's regional economic balanced development of the use of "economic convergence" theory in western economics to measure China's current regional economic development imbalance, from "economic convergence" point of view, and how to adjust these factors to achieve the purpose of promoting the coordinated development of regional economy has become a hot topic the current macroeconomic research in china. Based on the study of regional economic convergence, first use the traditional method to measure the economic convergence (? - convergence test, absolute convergence test, -?? - convergence test) was carried out on the test without taking into account the knowledge spillover effect of China's regional economic growth convergence condition, test results I found the country in various regions during this period 1978-2012 years (province) economic growth between the weak convergence trend. Then, the theories of knowledge spillover in western economic theories are systematically elaborated, and applied to China, and the current situation of knowledge spillovers in different regions in China is analyzed. Then the total output growth rate changes as the starting point, the change process of the transition of regional knowledge spillovers to consider the change of the total output of knowledge spillover growth rate, according to the different assumptions of establishing three types of taking into account the total output growth rate model of knowledge spillover, and the practical application of data empirical test on the impact of the regional in our country the knowledge spillover on total output growth rate. Finally, using variance decomposition technology knowledge spillover and economic convergence together, separately from the "factor decomposition analysis and time sequence analysis, two aspects of application of 1978 - 2012 the actual economic data on the effect of knowledge spillover effect on China's regional economic convergence between the empirical test. The test results showed that only play a supporting role, the secondary process compared with other factors affecting the economic convergence of regional knowledge spillovers in determining each China's regional economic growth is convergence and divergence trend that China's regional barriers exist between knowledge spillover obvious. The analysis methods used in the empirical process mainly include: - convergence test, - convergence test, spatial econometric analysis, panel data model econometric analysis, time series analysis and factor decomposition analysis. The main contents of the chapters are as follows: the first chapter is the introduction part. First of all, we introduce the background, significance and research methods of this topic, as well as the current research situation in this field at home and abroad. Secondly, the uniqueness and possible innovation of this research. Finally, we give the structure and research framework of this paper. The second chapter is an analysis of the current situation of regional economic development in China. This paper mainly analyzes the regional economic development policies implemented in China after the founding of the people's Republic of China and the various regional economic development policies which are mainly implemented at present. The third chapter is the measure of economic growth convergence between various regions (provinces) in China, which is the basis of the follow-up analysis. The subsequent analysis of knowledge spillovers among regions in China and the analysis of the impact of knowledge spillovers on economic convergence are based on the analysis of regional economic convergence in China. In this part, we use the convergence test, the absolute convergence test, the conditional convergence test and the convergence test under the influence of space to measure the convergence of regional economic growth in China. The fourth chapter is a comprehensive and systematic exposition of the theory of knowledge spillover, which is the basis of the follow-up study. The basic theory related to knowledge spillover mainly includes two directions: single side knowledge spillover and bilateral knowledge spillover. But either unilateral knowledge spillovers or bilateral knowledge spillovers all think that all factors that influence regional knowledge spillovers can be reduced to three aspects: one is knowledge influx, the two is knowledge outflow, and the three is knowledge inflow and knowledge outflow. The fifth chapter is the analysis of the current situation of knowledge spillovers among different provinces in China, which is the basis for the research on the theoretical basis of knowledge spillover in the previous chapter and the follow-up study of the impact of knowledge spillovers on economic convergence in different regions in China. In this chapter, the first is a test of the existence of knowledge spillovers in each region of our country. The specific testing methods include graph test and Moran index (Moran 's I) test. The results agree that there is knowledge spillover between various regions in China. After the test confirms the presence of knowledge spillover under the situation, the second part of this chapter is on China's regional (provincial) calculation of knowledge spillovers among data, the specific calculation process including the application of Verspagen (1991) and Canel (2001) model of knowledge spillover are indicators to construct and application of SAS 9 software program and the validity of the calculated data of the tested knowledge spillovers. The subsequent "descriptive statistical analysis" and "panel data analysis" are all analysis of this data. In this chapter, the econometric analysis method of panel data model is also applied
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F124.1
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本文編號(hào)：1347230