發(fā)布時(shí)間：2017-12-27 15:29

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：吉林省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響研究　出處：《吉林大學(xué)》2017年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) 優(yōu)化升級(jí) 城鎮(zhèn)化 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)

【摘要】：2013年我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值首次超過第二產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值,服務(wù)業(yè)增加值超過工業(yè),第三產(chǎn)業(yè)成為占國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)比重最大的產(chǎn)業(yè)部門,服務(wù)業(yè)成為國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)。目前綜合考慮產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、城鎮(zhèn)化水平等因素,我國(guó)已經(jīng)開始呈現(xiàn)工業(yè)化發(fā)展后期的特征,進(jìn)入新常態(tài)。隨著人口和產(chǎn)業(yè)的不斷集聚,服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展及其內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化也迎來了新的發(fā)展機(jī)遇。優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),大力發(fā)展現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè),加快推進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí),實(shí)現(xiàn)新舊動(dòng)能的轉(zhuǎn)換,成為當(dāng)前研究的重要課題之一。因此,本文以吉林省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)為線索,試圖尋找吉林省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)的規(guī)律以及其對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響,為推動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)提供參考。本文梳理分析了區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展相關(guān)理論和全國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)歷程的宏觀環(huán)境。從全國(guó)產(chǎn)出結(jié)構(gòu)看,目前第三產(chǎn)業(yè)居主導(dǎo)地位,服務(wù)業(yè)已經(jīng)成為接替工業(yè)成為推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的新動(dòng)力。在此基礎(chǔ)上,本文對(duì)吉林省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)歷程進(jìn)行了全面梳理,并對(duì)各階段的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)特點(diǎn)進(jìn)行了分析,梳理了吉林省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)特征。綜合考慮經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、三次產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值結(jié)構(gòu)、城鎮(zhèn)化率、第一產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人員占比等因素,吉林省的工業(yè)化進(jìn)程落后于全國(guó)的平均水平,與全國(guó)相比相對(duì)滯后,沒有進(jìn)入工業(yè)化后期。從吉林省三次產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)出結(jié)構(gòu)看,在目前第二產(chǎn)業(yè)仍居主導(dǎo)地位,服務(wù)業(yè)尚未能接替工業(yè)成為城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中推動(dòng)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的新動(dòng)力,服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展水平低于全國(guó)的平均水平。從就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)看,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)從業(yè)人員占比較大,服務(wù)業(yè)已經(jīng)成為吸納就業(yè)的主力產(chǎn)業(yè)部門。吉林省服務(wù)業(yè)地區(qū)發(fā)展不均衡,長(zhǎng)春、吉林兩地優(yōu)勢(shì)突出,兩地服務(wù)業(yè)占全省服務(wù)業(yè)比重較高,成為吉林省服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的兩大增長(zhǎng)極,是全省服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的核心區(qū)域,其優(yōu)勢(shì)明顯強(qiáng)于東西部地區(qū)。本文基于全國(guó)省際統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù),研究了我國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響,全面了考察城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的直接和間接傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制的影響。得到以下主要結(jié)論:工業(yè)化對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響具有地區(qū)差異,在東部和西部地區(qū)具有促進(jìn)作用,中部地區(qū)做并不顯著,東北地區(qū)有抑制作用。產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高級(jí)化也存在地區(qū)差異,在東部和西部地區(qū)具有促進(jìn)作用,在東北地區(qū)和中部地區(qū)具有抑制作用。在四大區(qū)域城鎮(zhèn)進(jìn)程的推進(jìn)均有利于經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng),并且城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)呈倒“U”型關(guān)系。城鎮(zhèn)化的間接傳導(dǎo)途徑存在區(qū)域性的差異,在東部和東北地區(qū)存在抑制作用,在中西部地區(qū)存在促進(jìn)作用,并且間接的傳導(dǎo)效應(yīng)明顯低于直接效應(yīng)。改革開放以來,吉林省經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展,各產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展成績(jī)顯著。工業(yè)和服務(wù)業(yè)已成為拉動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的主要?jiǎng)恿?尤其是服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展成為經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的重要衡量指標(biāo)。本文基于吉林省的統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù),研究了吉林省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響,全面了考察吉林省城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的直接和間接傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制的影響。得到以下主要結(jié)論:工業(yè)化、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高級(jí)化對(duì)吉林省三大區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)具有促進(jìn)作用。從全省的角度,城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響呈現(xiàn)出明顯的區(qū)域性差異,在東部和西部地區(qū)具有促進(jìn)作用,在中部地區(qū)出現(xiàn)了不顯著的情況,但間接作用上在三大區(qū)域都具有促進(jìn)作用,城鎮(zhèn)化仍是吉林省加快發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵。財(cái)政支出水平對(duì)吉林省區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響具有明顯的區(qū)域性差異,在東部地域負(fù)相關(guān),但在中部和西部地區(qū)能夠促進(jìn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)。金融發(fā)展水平的提高對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的促進(jìn)作用還沒有發(fā)揮出來。在經(jīng)驗(yàn)分析的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合目前吉林省經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行的主要特點(diǎn),進(jìn)一步對(duì)吉林省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級(jí)進(jìn)行swot分析,找出吉林省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整面臨的內(nèi)部?jī)?yōu)勢(shì)和劣勢(shì),外部的機(jī)遇和挑戰(zhàn)。從吉林省內(nèi)部情況看,吉林省具有發(fā)展支持政策多,開發(fā)區(qū)綜合實(shí)力強(qiáng),汽車、石化、農(nóng)產(chǎn)品加工三大支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展態(tài)勢(shì)良好,人才培養(yǎng)優(yōu)勢(shì)明顯,科技創(chuàng)新能力較強(qiáng),投資結(jié)構(gòu)不斷優(yōu)化,對(duì)外投資邁出新步伐等多方面的優(yōu)勢(shì);同時(shí)面臨著三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不合理、內(nèi)部工業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)失衡,內(nèi)需乏力,投入產(chǎn)出效率較低,服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展區(qū)域結(jié)構(gòu)失衡等劣勢(shì)。從外部環(huán)境看,國(guó)家出臺(tái)了支持東北地區(qū)發(fā)展的一系列優(yōu)惠政策,吉林省面臨著重要的政策機(jī)遇期,長(zhǎng)春吉林區(qū)域一體化穩(wěn)步推進(jìn),邊境口岸服務(wù)能力不斷提升,交通物流基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施進(jìn)一步完善,“互聯(lián)網(wǎng)+”方興未艾。但也面臨著東北地區(qū)三省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)同質(zhì)化的挑戰(zhàn),人口人才流失,外貿(mào)形勢(shì)嚴(yán)峻,市場(chǎng)化程度不高等問題。最后,基于吉林省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演進(jìn)歷程和經(jīng)驗(yàn)分析結(jié)論,結(jié)合吉林省區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展實(shí)際,為了實(shí)現(xiàn)吉林省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí),提出了要合理布局產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),提高金融服務(wù)能力,提高自主創(chuàng)新能力,科學(xué)推進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程,優(yōu)化對(duì)外通道,優(yōu)化發(fā)展軟環(huán)境,加強(qiáng)區(qū)域間合作,積極融入一帶一路戰(zhàn)略等建議。
[Abstract]:In 2013, the added value of the third industry in China for the first time exceeds the value added of the second industry. The added value of the service industry exceeds that of the industry. The third industry has become the largest sector of the national economy. The service industry has become the pillar industry of the national economy. At present, considering the industrial structure, the level of urbanization and other factors, China has begun to present the characteristics of the late development of industrialization and enter a new normal. With the continuous gathering of population and industry, the development of service industry and the optimization of its internal structure have also welcomed new opportunities for development. Optimizing industrial structure, vigorously developing modern service industry, speeding up the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure and realizing the transformation of new and old kinetic energy have become one of the important topics in current research. Therefore, taking the change of industrial structure in Jilin Province as a clue, this paper tries to find out the law of industrial structure change in Jilin province and its impact on economic growth, so as to provide references for promoting transformation and upgrading of industrial structure. This paper analyzes the related theories of regional economic development and the macro environment of the evolution of the national industrial structure. From the view of the national output structure, the third industry is at the dominant position, and the service industry has become a new driving force for the replacement of industry to promote economic development. On this basis, this paper makes a comprehensive combing of the evolution of Jilin's industrial structure, analyzes the characteristics of industrial structure at various stages, and combs the evolution characteristics of Jilin's industrial structure. Considering the economic development level, the three industry output structure, the urbanization rate and the employment ratio of the first industry and other factors, the industrialization process of Jilin is lagging behind the national average level, which is lagging behind the whole country and has not entered the late stage of industrialization. From Jilin Province, three industrial structure, in the second industry still dominates, the service industry has yet to succeed industry has become a new driving force to promote regional economic development in the process of urbanization, the development level of the service sector is lower than the national average levels. From the view of the employment structure, the employment of the third industry is relatively large, and the service industry has become the main industry department to absorb the employment. The development of Jilin's service industry is not balanced. The advantages of Changchun and Jilin are outstanding. The service industry accounts for a relatively high proportion of the whole province's service industry. It has become the two growth pole of the development of the service industry in Jilin Province, and the core area of the whole province's service industry development. Its advantage is stronger than that of the eastern and western regions. Based on the inter provincial statistical data, this paper studies the impact of China's industrial structure on economic growth, and comprehensively examines the impact of urbanization on the direct and indirect transmission mechanism of economic growth. The following conclusions are drawn: the impact of industrialization on economic growth has regional differences, and has a promoting role in the eastern and western regions. There are regional differences in the advanced industrial structure, which can promote the eastern and western regions, and have an inhibitory effect in the northeast and central regions. The progress of urban processes in the four major regions is conducive to economic growth, and the process of urbanization and economic growth have an inverted "U" relationship. There are regional differences in indirect transmission of urbanization, which has inhibitory effects in the eastern and northeastern regions, and has a promoting role in the central and western regions, and the indirect conduction effect is obviously lower than the direct effect. Since the reform and opening up, the economy of Jilin province has developed rapidly, and the achievements of various industries have been remarkable. Industry and service industry have become the main driving force for stimulating economic growth, especially the development of service industry has become an important measure of economic structure optimization. Based on the statistical data of Jilin Province, this paper studies the impact of Jilin's industrial structure on economic growth, and comprehensively examines the impact of Jilin's urbanization on the direct and indirect transmission mechanism of regional economic growth. The following main conclusions are obtained: industrialization and industrial structure advanced to promote economic and economic growth of the three major regions of Jilin province. From the angle of urbanization shows obvious regional difference effects on regional economic growth, plays a promoting role in the eastern and western regions, the situation is not significant in the central region, but the indirect effect in the three regions have a role in promoting the urbanization is still the key to accelerate the development of Jilin province. The impact of fiscal expenditure on Jilin's regional economic growth has obvious regional differences, and negatively related to eastern regions. But in the central and western regions, it can promote regional economic growth. The improvement of the level of financial development has not yet played a role in promoting economic growth. On the basis of empirical analysis and combined with the main characteristics of Jilin's economic operation, SWOT analysis of Jilin's industrial structure optimization and upgrading is carried out to find out the internal strengths and weaknesses, external opportunities and challenges faced by Jilin's industrial structure adjustment. From the internal situation in Jilin Province, Jilin Province, with the development of policy support, the development zone comprehensive strength, the development trend of automobile, petrochemical, agricultural products processing industry three pillars of good talent advantages, strong technological innovation, constantly optimize the investment structure, foreign investment has taken new steps and many other advantages; at the same time face the industrial structure is not reasonable, three internal industrial structure imbalance, weak domestic demand, the low efficiency of input and output, the service industry development of regional structural imbalances and other weaknesses. From the external environment, the state issued a series of preferential policies to support the development of the northeast region, Jilin province is facing important opportunities policy, Jilin regional integration Changchun steadily, constantly improve the border service capacity, transportation and logistics infrastructure to further improve, "Internet plus" just unfolding. But it also faces the challenge of the homogeneity of the industrial structure of the three provinces in Northeast China, the loss of the population, the severe foreign trade situation and the low degree of marketization. Finally, based on the evolution process of the industrial structure of Jilin
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F127
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本文編號(hào)：1342283