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安徽省生態(tài)足跡驅(qū)動(dòng)力分析及管控對(duì)策研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-06-28 09:10

  本文選題:生態(tài)足跡 + 驅(qū)動(dòng)力 ; 參考:《安徽理工大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文


【摘要】:本論文以安徽省域?yàn)檠芯繉?duì)象,以安徽省生態(tài)足跡的驅(qū)動(dòng)因素為主要研究內(nèi)容,以生態(tài)足跡模型為理論指導(dǎo)基礎(chǔ),采用了文獻(xiàn)分析法、生態(tài)指標(biāo)分析法、相關(guān)分析法、主成分分析法、多元線性回歸分析法等為研究手段進(jìn)行研究。研究的主要內(nèi)容包括:(1)生態(tài)足跡和驅(qū)動(dòng)力相關(guān)理論。掌握了生態(tài)足跡模型的概念、計(jì)算、以及指標(biāo)所表示的含義,功能以及生態(tài)足跡模型的優(yōu)點(diǎn)和缺點(diǎn)和生態(tài)足跡驅(qū)動(dòng)力的相關(guān)理論部分,以及驅(qū)動(dòng)力的指標(biāo)如何選取。(2)分析了安徽省生態(tài)足跡發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀。運(yùn)用了生態(tài)足跡模型、相關(guān)指標(biāo)法、相關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒對(duì)安徽省生態(tài)足跡進(jìn)行了分析。(3)分析了安徽省生態(tài)足跡歷年動(dòng)態(tài)演變。運(yùn)用了生態(tài)足跡模型以及相關(guān)指標(biāo)法和相關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒對(duì)安徽省2004-2014年生態(tài)足跡的動(dòng)態(tài)演變?cè)诳v向進(jìn)行了分析。(4)分析了安徽省生態(tài)足跡驅(qū)動(dòng)因素。運(yùn)用了 2004-2014年人均生態(tài)足跡動(dòng)態(tài)演變的數(shù)據(jù),并結(jié)合了相關(guān)分析法、主成分分析法、多元線性回歸分析法分析了安徽省生態(tài)足跡驅(qū)動(dòng)力影響因素。(5)安徽省生態(tài)足跡可持續(xù)發(fā)展管控對(duì)策。針對(duì)安徽省生態(tài)足跡發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀和安徽省生態(tài)足跡驅(qū)動(dòng)力影響因素并結(jié)合安徽省自身?xiàng)l件提出合理管控對(duì)策。通過研究,得到以下主要結(jié)論:①2014年安徽人均生態(tài)赤字0.6158Ha/cap,表明了安徽省生態(tài)呈現(xiàn)不可持續(xù)發(fā)展?fàn)顟B(tài);②2004-2014年安徽人均生態(tài)足跡和人均生態(tài)赤字呈現(xiàn)出不斷上升趨勢;③安徽省生態(tài)人均足跡具有顯著相關(guān)性的驅(qū)動(dòng)力因素為城鄉(xiāng)居民消費(fèi)水平、第二產(chǎn)業(yè)比重、總?cè)丝、人口自然增長率、第一產(chǎn)業(yè)比重、非農(nóng)業(yè)人口、國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值以及能源消費(fèi)總量等因素。為了改善和抑制安徽省生態(tài)不可持續(xù)發(fā)展的狀態(tài),提出管控對(duì)策如下:①構(gòu)建合理的消費(fèi)模式;②合理的劃分產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu);③加強(qiáng)人口管制;④減少能源消費(fèi);⑤調(diào)整能源結(jié)構(gòu)等等。
[Abstract]:This paper takes Anhui Province as the research object, takes the driving factor of Anhui Province ecological footprint as the main research content, takes the ecological footprint model as the theoretical basis, adopts the literature analysis method, the ecological index analysis method, the correlation analysis method. Principal component Analysis (PCA) and multiple Linear regression Analysis (MLR) were used as research methods. The main contents are as follows: (1) the theory of ecological footprint and driving force. Grasp the concept of ecological footprint model, calculation, as well as the meaning of indicators, functions, the advantages and disadvantages of ecological footprint model and the relevant theoretical part of the driving force of ecological footprint. And how to select the index of driving force. (2) analyze the current situation of ecological footprint development in Anhui Province. The ecological footprint of Anhui Province was analyzed by using ecological footprint model, correlation index method and statistical yearbook. (3) the dynamic evolution of ecological footprint in Anhui Province over the years was analyzed. The dynamic evolution of ecological footprint in Anhui Province from 2004 to 2014 was analyzed longitudinally by using ecological footprint model and related index method and statistical yearbook. (4) the driving factors of ecological footprint in Anhui Province were analyzed. Multiple linear regression analysis of the impact factors of Anhui ecological footprint driving force. (5) Anhui Province ecological footprint sustainable development management and control measures. According to the present situation of Anhui Province's ecological footprint development and the influencing factors of Anhui's ecological footprint driving force, and combining with Anhui's own conditions, the reasonable management and control countermeasures are put forward. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) the ecological deficit per capita of Anhui Province in 2014 was 0.6158 Ha/ cap. it indicated that the ecological deficit of Anhui Province showed an increasing trend from 2004 to 2014. (3) the driving factors of significant correlation of ecological per capita footprint in Anhui Province are the consumption level of urban and rural residents, the proportion of secondary industry, the total population, the natural growth rate of population, the proportion of primary industry, the non-agricultural population. Gross domestic product and total energy consumption and other factors. In order to improve and restrain the status of ecological unsustainable development in Anhui Province, the following countermeasures are put forward as follows: (1) to construct a reasonable consumption pattern and 2) to divide the industrial structure reasonably; (3) to strengthen population control and reduce energy consumption; Adjust the energy structure and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:安徽理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:X22;F127

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