中國區(qū)域環(huán)境規(guī)制碳排放效應研究
本文選題:環(huán)境規(guī)制 + 碳排放。 參考:《重慶工商大學》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:環(huán)境污染、全球氣候變暖引發(fā)了人類對經濟發(fā)展與環(huán)境保護這兩大問題的思考。作為一個碳排放大國,我國承擔了全球碳減排的重大壓力。在國家日益強調轉變經濟發(fā)展方式,促進產業(yè)結構升級的大背景下,研究環(huán)境規(guī)制對我國碳排放的影響具有更加重要的意義。本研究以波特假說、污染避難所以及“綠色悖論”等理論為基礎,選取了2004-2014年中國大陸30省市自治區(qū)(西藏除外)的相關數(shù)據,首先,用熵值賦權法分別測算了命令控制型規(guī)制、市場激勵型規(guī)制和隱性規(guī)制三種規(guī)制指標;其次,在本文設置的四種空間權重矩陣下,對30省市自治區(qū)的二氧化碳強度進行了空間相關性檢驗;再次,利用空間面板數(shù)據模型從全國層面分析了環(huán)境規(guī)制碳排放的直接效應和間接效應;最后,在三大區(qū)域層面上,對各個區(qū)域的環(huán)境規(guī)制碳排放直接效應與間接效應進行了分解,以探求環(huán)境規(guī)制碳排放效應的地區(qū)差異性。研究結論主要包括:(1)我國30省市自治區(qū)2004-2014年的二氧化碳強度呈現(xiàn)顯著的正空間相關性且逐年增強;從空間分布來看,二氧化碳強度呈“南低北高”的特征。(2)從全國層面來看,環(huán)境規(guī)制本身并不存在明顯的“綠色悖論”效應,其中,命令控制型規(guī)制和隱性規(guī)制沒有明顯的碳排放效應,而市場激勵型規(guī)制發(fā)揮了明顯的減排效應;就間接效應而言,無論是污染光環(huán)還是污染避難所假說在實證研究中均沒有得到驗證,而波特假說在實證研究中得到了驗證,但其成立也取決于環(huán)境規(guī)制的類型。(3)從三大區(qū)域的效應分解圖來看,無論是直接還是間接效應,由其分解出的本地效應最強,溢出效應在鄰近地區(qū)次之,對非鄰近地區(qū)影響較弱甚至可以忽略;環(huán)境規(guī)制碳減排效應呈現(xiàn)由東向西逐漸遞減的特征,“綠色悖論”現(xiàn)象更有可能發(fā)生在內陸地區(qū),且更有可能通過命令控制型規(guī)制來引發(fā);由污染光環(huán)機制產生的碳減排效應呈現(xiàn)由中向東、西遞減的特征,由波特假說機制產生的碳減排效應呈現(xiàn)由東、西向中遞減的特征。為促進我國經濟可持續(xù)發(fā)展,實現(xiàn)經濟與環(huán)境的共贏,應當充分發(fā)揮減排示范效應,協(xié)調區(qū)域減排政策,完善環(huán)境規(guī)制體系,提高政策執(zhí)行力度,注重市場機制運用,充分運用碳減排的污染光環(huán)機制和波特假說機制,轉變經濟發(fā)展方式。
[Abstract]:Environmental pollution and global warming lead to the consideration of economic development and environmental protection. As a big carbon emission country, China bears the great pressure of global carbon emission reduction. Under the background of changing the mode of economic development and promoting the upgrading of industrial structure, it is of great significance to study the impact of environmental regulation on carbon emissions in China. Based on the Porter hypothesis, pollution shelters and the "Green Paradox" theory, this study selected data from 30 provinces and autonomous regions (excluding Tibet) in mainland China from 2004 to 2014. First of all, The entropy weighting method is used to calculate the three regulation indexes: command control regulation, market incentive regulation and implicit regulation. Secondly, under the four kinds of spatial weight matrix set up in this paper, The spatial correlation of carbon dioxide intensity in 30 provinces and autonomous regions is tested. Thirdly, the direct and indirect effects of environmental regulation on carbon emissions are analyzed from the national level by using the spatial panel data model. Finally, at the three regional levels, The direct and indirect effects of environmental regulation on carbon emissions are decomposed in order to find out the regional differences of the effects of environmental regulation on carbon emissions. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) the carbon dioxide intensity of 30 provinces and autonomous regions in China from 2004 to 2014 showed a significant positive spatial correlation and increased year by year; from the spatial distribution, the carbon dioxide intensity showed the characteristics of "low in the south and high in the north". (2) from the national level, There is no obvious "green paradox" effect in environmental regulation itself, among which, there is no obvious carbon emission effect between command-controlled regulation and recessive regulation, while market-stimulating regulation plays a significant role in reducing emissions; as far as indirect effects are concerned, Neither the pollution halo nor the pollution shelter hypothesis has been verified in the empirical study, while the Porter hypothesis has been verified in the empirical study, but its establishment also depends on the type of environmental regulation. (3) from the view of the effect decomposition diagram of the three major regions, Whether it is direct or indirect effect, the local effect decomposed by it is the strongest, the spillover effect is the second in the neighboring region, and the influence on non-adjacent area is weak or even negligible. The carbon abatement effect of environmental regulation gradually decreases from east to west. The phenomenon of "Green Paradox" is more likely to occur in inland areas, and is more likely to be triggered by command-controlled regulation. The carbon abatement effect produced by Porter hypothesis mechanism is decreasing from east to west. In order to promote the sustainable development of our economy and realize the win-win of economy and environment, we should give full play to the demonstration effect of emission reduction, coordinate the regional emission reduction policy, perfect the environmental regulation system, enhance the policy implementation, and pay attention to the application of market mechanism. Make full use of pollution halo mechanism of carbon emission reduction and Porter hypothesis mechanism to change the mode of economic development.
【學位授予單位】:重慶工商大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:X321
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