本文關(guān)鍵詞： 生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量 指標(biāo)體系 主成分分析法　出處：《青島大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：城市生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量水平的高低不僅關(guān)系到城市的經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)、社會公平和生態(tài)和諧,更是對城市的可持續(xù)發(fā)展有決定性的影響作用�！笆濉睍r期,山東省更加重視生態(tài)文明城市的建設(shè),因此人們也更為關(guān)注對生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量的評價。為了對城市生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量有更深的認(rèn)識,研究城市各方面的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r和趨勢,為城市的未來發(fā)展方向提供有效依據(jù),本文選取山東省最具經(jīng)濟(jì)活力的青島市為研究對象,以“社會一經(jīng)濟(jì)一自然復(fù)合生態(tài)系統(tǒng)”的生態(tài)學(xué)理論為基礎(chǔ),借鑒國內(nèi)外具有代表性的評價指標(biāo)體系,從經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會、環(huán)境三個方向構(gòu)建青島市生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量評價指標(biāo)體系,同時在每個準(zhǔn)則層下又分出若干個要素層以得到更為全面的評價結(jié)果。評價方法采用主成分分析法,首先分別計算經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會和環(huán)境三個子系統(tǒng)的生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量指數(shù)得分,根據(jù)主成分得分和子系統(tǒng)綜合指數(shù)得分具體分析城市某個方面的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r,再計算青島市城市生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量綜合得分,從而對城市整體生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量發(fā)展優(yōu)劣狀況進(jìn)行評價。根據(jù)評價得分結(jié)果,計算經(jīng)濟(jì)-社會-環(huán)境發(fā)展耦合協(xié)調(diào)度來進(jìn)行協(xié)調(diào)性分析,同時通過多元回歸模型,計算各子系統(tǒng)對青島市整體生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量的貢獻(xiàn)度。通過主成分分析得到的綜合得分可以看出青島市生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量在2000-2015年十六年間總體上是上升的,處于良性發(fā)展之中。從各子系統(tǒng)來看,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展速度和發(fā)展規(guī)模都處于持續(xù)穩(wěn)步上升狀態(tài),但在經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)性方面要進(jìn)一步加大污染治理和科研經(jīng)費的投入力度;社會發(fā)展總體上呈上升趨勢,居民生活水平穩(wěn)步提升,但人口結(jié)構(gòu)上從2009年開始出現(xiàn)了老齡化現(xiàn)象;環(huán)境發(fā)展并不穩(wěn)定,霧霾、工業(yè)固體排放物等因素影響了青島市的整體環(huán)境質(zhì)量水平,使得近幾年青島市環(huán)境質(zhì)量有所下降。根據(jù)協(xié)調(diào)性和貢獻(xiàn)度分析,可以看出青島市的經(jīng)濟(jì)-社會-環(huán)境耦合協(xié)調(diào)度在2000-2004年間處于輕度失調(diào)階段,2005-2009年間處于一般協(xié)調(diào)階段,2010-2015年間處于初步協(xié)調(diào)階段,在城市整體建設(shè)中經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)的貢獻(xiàn)度最大,起到主導(dǎo)因素的作用,社會發(fā)展的貢獻(xiàn)度最低�？傮w上,青島市生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量發(fā)展良好,但是社會和環(huán)境的發(fā)展跟不上經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的速度,協(xié)調(diào)性有待進(jìn)一步加強(qiáng)。據(jù)此提出優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境協(xié)調(diào)融合發(fā)展、加大環(huán)保力度等對策建議。
[Abstract]:The quality of urban ecological environment is not only related to the economic construction, social equity and ecological harmony, but also has a decisive effect on the sustainable development of the city. Shandong Province pays more attention to the construction of ecological civilization city, so people pay more attention to the evaluation of ecological environment quality. In order to provide an effective basis for the future development of the city, this paper selects Qingdao, which is the most economically active city in Shandong Province, as the research object, based on the ecological theory of "Socio-economic-natural complex ecosystem". Based on the representative evaluation index system at home and abroad, the evaluation index system of ecological environment quality in Qingdao is constructed from three directions: economy, society and environment. At the same time, a number of element layers are divided under each criterion layer to obtain more comprehensive evaluation results. The evaluation method adopts principal component analysis to calculate the score of eco-environmental quality index of three subsystems of economy, society and environment, respectively. According to the principal component score and subsystem comprehensive index score, the development of a certain aspect of the city is analyzed, and the comprehensive score of urban ecological environment quality in Qingdao is calculated. According to the evaluation results, the coordination analysis is carried out by calculating the coupling coordination degree of economic, social and environmental development, at the same time, through the multivariate regression model, The contribution of each subsystem to the whole ecological environment quality of Qingdao is calculated. The comprehensive score obtained by principal component analysis shows that the ecological environment quality of Qingdao city rose in general from 2000 to 16. From the view of each subsystem, the speed and scale of economic development are rising steadily, but in the aspect of economic sustainability, we should further increase the investment of pollution control and scientific research funds; On the whole, the social development is on the rise, the living standard of the residents is improving steadily, but the population structure has been aging since 2009, the environmental development is not stable, haze, Industrial solid emissions and other factors have affected the overall environmental quality level of Qingdao, resulting in a decline in environmental quality in Qingdao in recent years. According to the analysis of coordination and contribution, It can be seen that the degree of economic, social and environmental coupling and coordination in Qingdao is in a mild maladjustment period from 2000 to 2004. During 2005-2009, it is in the initial coordination stage in the general coordination stage, and the contribution of economic construction is the largest in the overall urban construction. In general, the quality of the ecological environment in Qingdao has developed well, but the development of society and environment has not kept pace with the pace of economic development. The coordination needs to be further strengthened. On the basis of this, some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward, such as optimizing the industrial structure, promoting the harmonious development of the economic environment, and increasing the intensity of environmental protection.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：青島大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：X821;X321

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