21世紀(jì)初日本東亞地緣安全戰(zhàn)略研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-06-25 04:03
本文選題:日本 + 東亞地緣安全戰(zhàn)略; 參考:《吉林大學(xué)》2017年博士論文
【摘要】:21世紀(jì)初,日本的東亞地緣安全戰(zhàn)略正在步入一個(gè)新的戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型期。謀求“普通國家”化的日本,將追求何種目標(biāo)、遵循何種理念、基于何種規(guī)范、秉持何種原則設(shè)計(jì)、制定和推進(jìn)東亞安全戰(zhàn)略,已成為一個(gè)地區(qū)性的焦點(diǎn)問題。高調(diào)宣稱“日本回來了(Japan is back)”的日本,在東亞安全中將成為“中心”還是被“邊緣化”,是成為“和平的力量”還是走“軍事超級(jí)大國”化的老路,再一次成為東亞國家關(guān)注日本安全的固定話題。堅(jiān)持大陸還是海洋戰(zhàn)略,謀取主導(dǎo)權(quán)勢(shì)還是追求增加財(cái)富、邁向大日本還是小日本主義,也再一次成為思考、研究和評(píng)判日本東亞地緣安全戰(zhàn)略的原點(diǎn)。從歷史來看,日本的地緣安全戰(zhàn)略設(shè)計(jì)易使之與鄰國產(chǎn)生潛在和危險(xiǎn)性的沖突,21世紀(jì)初的日本是否能建立起“金發(fā)姑娘共識(shí)”(goldilocks consensus)來解決這一難題仍有待觀察。這種“既不太硬又不太軟,既不太東方也不太西方”的大戰(zhàn)略,是否會(huì)增強(qiáng)日本的自主性和威望,是否能讓日本選擇“自我保險(xiǎn)的政策”而不是成為一個(gè)威脅,也是目前需要認(rèn)真研究的課題。有鑒于未來日本發(fā)展的不確定性、安全戰(zhàn)略走向的非確定性,本文從日本的戰(zhàn)略理論與歷史、戰(zhàn)略環(huán)境與認(rèn)知、戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)、原則與手段、戰(zhàn)略設(shè)計(jì)與結(jié)構(gòu)安排、未來的戰(zhàn)略走向、戰(zhàn)略影響與應(yīng)對(duì)等六個(gè)方面,對(duì)日本的東亞地緣安全戰(zhàn)略進(jìn)行了系統(tǒng)地研究。在總體勾畫21世紀(jì)初日本東亞地緣安全戰(zhàn)略全貌的同時(shí),也從局部的變化透析日本轉(zhuǎn)型的幅度、變化的速度、影響的深度。在對(duì)日本歷史戰(zhàn)略、現(xiàn)實(shí)戰(zhàn)略和未來戰(zhàn)略的關(guān)聯(lián)性探析中,對(duì)日本的戰(zhàn)略選擇進(jìn)行了清晰定位和合理評(píng)判。除緒論外,本文共由六部分組成。具體內(nèi)容如下:第一章主要從歷史視角、理論視角、戰(zhàn)略軌跡三個(gè)維度,對(duì)日本與東亞的關(guān)系及其戰(zhàn)略進(jìn)行了宏觀闡釋。分析了日本在東亞扮演的角色,解析了其地緣戰(zhàn)略的思想根源,審視了日本安全戰(zhàn)略的歷史變遷與其戰(zhàn)略布局的變化。第二章主要以東亞地緣環(huán)境變遷和日本戰(zhàn)略調(diào)整為主線,透視戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型期日本的外部環(huán)境認(rèn)知、因應(yīng)政策選擇的諸多相關(guān)問題。從具體的現(xiàn)實(shí)層面揭示了地緣安全戰(zhàn)略之于日本的時(shí)代意義,解析了日本戰(zhàn)略認(rèn)知、思考、定位與摸索的論爭及其戰(zhàn)略決策問題。第三章主要從戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)、基本原則和戰(zhàn)略手段分析日本東亞地緣安全戰(zhàn)略的價(jià)值取向、路線方針和推進(jìn)方式等問題。主要是從“內(nèi)在本質(zhì)”的層面,闡述日本總體戰(zhàn)略架構(gòu)的領(lǐng)域目標(biāo)、關(guān)切重點(diǎn)、利益建構(gòu)和機(jī)制偏好等問題。第四章側(cè)重于研究日本東亞地緣安全戰(zhàn)略的“外在形態(tài)”。重點(diǎn)研究其戰(zhàn)略層級(jí)結(jié)構(gòu)的設(shè)計(jì)和安排。自主還是結(jié)盟、雙邊還是多邊、國家還是地區(qū)等的戰(zhàn)略設(shè)計(jì),是日本基于歷史獨(dú)特性所形成和繼承的基本框架。日美同盟的雙邊安排、有限的多邊安全機(jī)制、地區(qū)性的安全制度建設(shè),是日本不同安全訴求的承載體。第五章主要探討日本東亞地緣安全戰(zhàn)略的未來走向,據(jù)此對(duì)其進(jìn)行定位。日本東亞地緣安全戰(zhàn)略仍處于是回歸、是轉(zhuǎn)向、還是整合的一個(gè)戰(zhàn)略摸索時(shí)期;富國強(qiáng)兵、重構(gòu)對(duì)美安全依賴成為一種趨勢(shì)。兩面下注的機(jī)會(huì)主義戰(zhàn)略仍是日本慣用的做法。第六章主要從戰(zhàn)略特征、戰(zhàn)略效能、戰(zhàn)略制約、戰(zhàn)略困境等四個(gè)維度總體透視日本的戰(zhàn)略影響,從日本戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型的幅度、變化的程度、轉(zhuǎn)變的速度等來透視其影響的廣度、深度。最后,基于對(duì)日本的客觀研判和理性評(píng)估,為中國設(shè)計(jì)合理、高效的應(yīng)對(duì)政策提供現(xiàn)實(shí)可行的戰(zhàn)略路徑。
[Abstract]:At the beginning of twenty-first Century, Japan's East Asian geo security strategy is stepping into a new strategic transition period. It has become a regional focus problem for Japan to seek "general state", what objectives to follow, what principles to follow, what principles to be based on, what principles to be designed, and the formulation and promotion of East Asia security strategy. Japan, which has come back (Japan is back), will become "center" or "marginalized" in East Asia security, is the old way to become a "force of peace" or "a military superpower", and once again become a fixed topic for East Asian countries to pay attention to Japan's security. In order to increase wealth, move towards Japan or small Japanese, it is once again the origin of the study and evaluation of the Japanese East Asian geo security strategy. In history, the geo security strategy of Japan is likely to create a potential and dangerous conflict with the neighbouring countries, and whether Japan can establish "the golden hair girl consensus" in the early twenty-first Century (go Ldilocks consensus) to solve this problem remains to be observed. This big strategy, "neither too hard nor too soft, neither too Eastern nor too Western", will enhance Japan's autonomy and prestige, whether it will allow Japan to choose "self insurance policy" rather than become a threat, but a subject that needs to be studied seriously. In view of the uncertainty of the future development of Japan and the uncertainty of the security strategy, this article from the six aspects of Japan's strategic theory and history, strategic environment and cognition, strategic objectives, principles and means, strategic design and structure arrangement, future strategic trend, strategic impact and response to Japan's East Asian Geopolitical Security Strategy. As a whole, the overall picture of Japan's East Asian geo security strategy in the early twenty-first Century has been outlined, and the extent of the transformation of Japan, the speed of change, and the depth of the influence are dialysated from local changes. In the analysis of the relevance of the Japanese historical strategy, the realistic strategy and the future strategy, the strategic choice of Japan is clearly defined and combined. Besides the introduction, this article is composed of six parts. The specific content is as follows: the first chapter mainly explains the relationship and strategy of Japan and East Asia from the historical perspective, the theoretical perspective and the strategic path three dimensions, analyzes the role of Japan in East Asia, analyzes the ideological root of its geo strategy, and examines Japan's security. The historical change of the whole strategy and the change of its strategic layout. The second chapter mainly focuses on the East Asian Geopolitical Environment Change and the adjustment of Japan's strategy as the main line. The third chapter mainly analyzes the value orientation, the route and the way of the Japanese East Asian geo security strategy from the strategic objectives, the basic principles and the strategic means, mainly from the "intrinsic essence", and expounds the overall strategic framework of Japan from the "intrinsic essence". The fourth chapter focuses on the study of the "external form" of the Japanese East Asian geo security strategy. The emphasis is on the design and arrangement of its strategic hierarchy. The strategic design of autonomy or alliance, bilateral or multilateral, national or regional, is based on the historical uniqueness of Japan. The basic framework of formation and inheritance. The bilateral arrangement of the Japan American alliance, the limited multilateral security mechanism and the regional security system construction are the carrier of the different security demands of Japan. The fifth chapter mainly discusses the future trend of the East Asian geo security strategy in Japan. Accordingly, the Japanese East Asian Geopolitical security strategy is still in the return, The sixth chapter mainly from four dimensions of strategic characteristics, strategic effectiveness, strategic constraints, strategic predicament, and the Japanese strategic influence, from Japan war. The extent of the transition, the degree of change, the speed of transformation, etc., to examine the breadth and depth of its influence. Finally, based on the objective evaluation and rational assessment of Japan, it provides a practical and feasible strategic path for China to design a reasonable and efficient policy to cope with it.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:D831.3
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本文編號(hào):2064477
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