中美在朝鮮半島上的戰(zhàn)略博弈
發(fā)布時間:2018-05-10 23:10
本文選題:朝鮮半島 + 中美戰(zhàn)略 ; 參考:《外交學院》2010年碩士論文
【摘要】: 朝鮮半島由于自身特殊的自然地理位置、錯綜復雜的地緣政治關系,因而具有特殊的地緣戰(zhàn)略價值,成為了大國的爭奪之地。冷戰(zhàn)結(jié)束以來,朝鮮半島局勢一直動蕩不安,嚴重威脅著東北亞,乃至整個亞太地區(qū)的安全和穩(wěn)定。 然而,由于中國與朝鮮半島國家歷史上特殊的溝通交流關系,以及冷戰(zhàn)后美國在朝鮮半島事務上所擁有的巨大影響力,中、美兩國在朝鮮半島上的戰(zhàn)略博弈,很大程度上決定了未來朝鮮半島局勢的發(fā)展趨勢。因此,如果能找出中、美在朝鮮半島上戰(zhàn)略博弈的穩(wěn)定、可預測的互動行為模式,無論是對中國還是對朝鮮半島局勢的發(fā)展,乃至對整個東北亞地區(qū)的安全和穩(wěn)定,都有著及其重要的意義。 由此,本文試圖借助博弈理論的基本原理,在理清中、美各自朝鮮半島戰(zhàn)略的基礎上,通過分析兩國在朝鮮半島戰(zhàn)略博弈中的利益得失,建立中、美在朝鮮半島上戰(zhàn)略博弈的抽象模型,以借此找出中、美戰(zhàn)略博弈的穩(wěn)定、可預測的互動行為模式,進而得出未來朝鮮半島局勢可能的發(fā)展趨勢。
[Abstract]:Because of its special geographical location and complicated geopolitical relations, the Korean Peninsula has a special geo strategic value, which has become the contention of a great power. Since the end of the cold war, the situation of the Korean Peninsula has been unsettled, seriously threatening Northeast Asia and the security and stability of the whole Asia Pacific Region.
However, because of the special communication relations between China and the Korean Peninsula, as well as the great influence of the United States on the Korean Peninsula after the cold war, the strategic game between the two countries on the Korean Peninsula, to a great extent, determines the future trend of the situation in the Korean Peninsula. The stability of the strategic game on the peninsula and the predictable interactive mode of behavior are of great significance both to the development of the situation in China and to the Korean Peninsula, and to the security and stability of the whole Northeast Asia.
With the help of the basic principles of the game theory, this paper tries to find out the stability and predictable interaction of the United States strategic game by analyzing the interests and losses of the two countries in the Korean Peninsula strategic game and establishing the abstract model of the strategic game on the Korean Peninsula by analyzing the interests and losses of the two countries in the Korean Peninsula strategic game. Pattern, and then draw the possible development trend of the Korean peninsula situation in the future.
【學位授予單位】:外交學院
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2010
【分類號】:D815.2;D822.371.2
【引證文獻】
相關碩士學位論文 前1條
1 汲鵬;冷戰(zhàn)后美國國會在對朝政策上的作用[D];吉林大學;2012年
,本文編號:1871327
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