韜晦之“鷙”:安倍晉三人格特質(zhì)與對(duì)外政策偏好
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-05 20:27
本文選題:安倍晉三 + 人格特質(zhì)。 參考:《外交評(píng)論(外交學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào))》2017年06期
【摘要】:人是外交的核心,但既往研究往往忽視甚至無(wú)視個(gè)人的作用。作為日本外交的最高決策者,安倍晉三首相具有鮮明的個(gè)性和獨(dú)特的執(zhí)政風(fēng)格。本輪大選后,"安倍一強(qiáng)"格局仍在持續(xù)。安倍將沿著既定戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo),全力落實(shí)"安倍路線"。在"擺脫戰(zhàn)敗"的強(qiáng)烈信念驅(qū)動(dòng)下,安倍人格方面的某些特質(zhì),能在一定程度上形塑其對(duì)外政策偏好。作為改革型領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人,安倍自比"戰(zhàn)斗型政治家",在發(fā)揮領(lǐng)導(dǎo)力時(shí)積極主動(dòng),以目標(biāo)為指向。安倍權(quán)力需求較為旺盛,敢于直面政治挫折并注重方式方法。在核心人際關(guān)系層面,安倍政權(quán)呈現(xiàn)明顯的"小集團(tuán)"色彩,一度注重任用"側(cè)近"人士。他既重"面子",也要"里子"。當(dāng)"面子"與"里子"相沖突時(shí),后者優(yōu)先。影響安倍人格形成的因素,既有其老家"長(zhǎng)州藩"的精神滋養(yǎng),也有"岸DNA"與晉太郎的"遺產(chǎn)",其求學(xué)、入職、特別是從政的錘煉也不容忽視。在具有"外溢"效應(yīng)的國(guó)家重大政策問(wèn)題上,安倍既在戰(zhàn)略上固守"內(nèi)核",又在策略上相對(duì)務(wù)實(shí)。安倍注重推行以"俯瞰地球儀的外交"與"積極和平主義"為代表的戰(zhàn)略外交與安全保障,當(dāng)前重要抓手則是"自由開放的印太戰(zhàn)略"。在對(duì)美認(rèn)知及偏好上,他主張親美,但心存"怨念";對(duì)華則主張政經(jīng)分離,以利益而非友好來(lái)建立新型中日關(guān)系;對(duì)朝施加壓力并注重利用朝鮮因素爭(zhēng)取國(guó)內(nèi)輿論的支持?傮w來(lái)看,安倍具有復(fù)古的國(guó)家觀,他身上既有鷹派政治家所特有的對(duì)外強(qiáng)硬的一面,又有現(xiàn)實(shí)主義者極度務(wù)實(shí)的一面。安倍的政治宿愿是擺脫"戰(zhàn)后體制",為此致力于推動(dòng)戰(zhàn)略與決策機(jī)制的"雙轉(zhuǎn)型"。他重經(jīng)濟(jì),但更重外交與安全保障,目的是讓日本成為一個(gè)全面崛起的大國(guó)。安倍治下的日本,值得國(guó)際社會(huì)長(zhǎng)期關(guān)注、深入研究,保持一定的警惕。
[Abstract]:People are the core of diplomacy, but previous studies have often ignored or ignored the role of individuals. As Japan's top foreign policy maker, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has a distinctive personality and unique governing style. After this round of elections, the "one-strength Abe" pattern continues. Abe will follow the established strategic objectives, fully implement the "Abe line." Driven by a strong belief in getting rid of defeat, some of Abe's personality traits shape his foreign policy preferences to a certain extent. As a reformist leader, Abe is a "combat politician" who is proactive and goal-oriented in his leadership. Abe's demand for power is strong, dare to face political setbacks and focus on ways and means. At the core interpersonal level, Abe's regime has a clear "clique" color, once focused on the appointment of "close" people. He wants both face and lining. When face conflicts with Rizi, the latter takes precedence. The factors influencing the formation of Abe's personality are not only the spiritual nourishment of his hometown Changzhou Fan, but also the "heritage" of "shore DNA" and Jintaro. On the major national policy issues with spillover effect, Abe sticks to the "core" strategically and is relatively pragmatic in strategy. Abe focuses on promoting strategic diplomacy and security guarantees represented by "diplomacy overlooking the globe" and "positive pacifism," while the current important grasp is the "free and open India-Pacific strategy." In terms of cognition and preference for the United States, he advocates pro-America, but has a "grudge" in mind; toward China, he advocates separation of politics and economy, establishing a new type of Sino-Japanese relationship based on interests rather than friendship; exerting pressure on the DPRK and paying attention to the use of the Korean factor to win the support of domestic public opinion. Overall, Abe has a retro view of the state, he has a hawkish politician unique to the external tough side, but also realism extremely pragmatic side. Abe's political ambition is to move away from the post-war system and to promote a dual transformation of strategy and decision-making mechanisms. He put more emphasis on economics, but more on diplomacy and security, to make Japan a full-fledged power. Japan under Abe deserves long-term attention from the international community, in-depth study and vigilance.
【作者單位】: 中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)院日本研究所;
【分類號(hào)】:D831.3
【相似文獻(xiàn)】
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1 孫紅未;安倍晉三的二戰(zhàn)史觀析論[D];上海師范大學(xué);2017年
2 陳麗萍;安倍政府開發(fā)援助研究[D];青島大學(xué);2017年
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